Posted: Wednesday, September 2, 2009, 5:00 AM | 1 comments |
 
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By Mel Greenberg

Well, forget about waiting for mid-September and the postseason. Playoff mode is in full swing with teams scrambling to break out of the gridlock.

Tuesday night, with a five-game slate, was exceptionally noteworthy.

The big winners with two steals from underdog status were second-year Atlanta with an 84-79 win at Los Angeles, while Detroit knocked off Western leader Phoenix, 101-99, to enhance the defending champions' chances to make the postseason . San Antonio gained a big win with its 84-82 double overtime win against Minnesota to go one up for the last available playoff berth. Seattle's 65-58 win in New York moved the Storm to within one game of first place behind Phoenix in the West. And Sacramento kept a faint playoff pulse alive in the bottom of the West with a 90-70 win over Connecticut that dealt some damage to the Sun.

Atlanta's win temporarily held up the champagne party in Indiana for its first-ever Eastern crown, though the Fever can take care of its own celebration by beating Phoenix in the Midwest.

  Besides the Sun, New York and Minnesota obviously suffered major setbacks.

So with that adjustment let's go back to the board, which will not be adjusted in the next post because the outcome either way will be mute to what's being tracked. If not mentioned in the previous post, the Guru plans to be in Washington Thursday for a huge game with Seattle.

Eastern Group:

Atlanta: Road (3):  at Sacramento - Sept. 4; at Phoenix - Sept. 5; at Washington - Sept. 12.

Home (1) Connecticut- Sept. 11.

Washington: Road (3) at Chicago - Sept. 4; at Indiana - Sept. 5; at New York - Sept. 13.

Home (2) Seattle - Sept. 3; Atlanta - Sept. 12.

Chicago: Road (1) ar Detroit - Sept. 6.

Home (3) Washington - Sept. 4; Indiana - Sept. 10; Detroit - Sept. 12.

Connecticut: Road (1) at Atlanta, Sept. 11.

Home (2) New York - Sept. 4; Indiana - Sept. 13.

Detroit: Road (2) at Minnesota - Sept. 9; at Chicago - Sept. 12

Home (3)  Indiana - Sept. 4; Chicago - Sept. 6; New York - Sept. 10.

New York: Road (2) at Connecticut - Sept. 4; at Detroit - Sept. 10.

Home (2)  Indiana - Sept. 8; Washington - Sept. 13.

Summary: New York is closer to the draft lottery because the Liberty needs three teams in front to all slide, which mathematically can't happen bcause they meet each other toward the finish.

Here are best-case scenaio forecasts without regard to upsets. Wild card will be how Indiana finishes out. Also, remember that while each is looked at as team's best hope, those that success will be costly to others' best hopes.

Atlanta: 1-3 The Dream reduced one anticipated loss and easily could  to 2-2 while 3-1 is not out of the question.

Washington: 3-2 but could easily be forecasted anywhere from 0-5 to 2-3.

Chicago: 0-4 but could steal here and there and get to 2-2.

Connecticut: lost a forecasted win and now could be either 2-1 or 1-2 with help needed. Being right behind a bunched ground of Washington, and Chicago, the Sun may have to go 3-0 because Detroit does not appear likely to take a deep slide and Connecticut needs to minimize tie-breakers for the last spot.

Detroit: 4-1 picked up a steal from a projected loss but could also fall to 3-2 or 2-3.

New York: 0-4 but a a few steals could mean 2-2, which doesn't appear good enough when looking at the probables in front of the Liberty.

Western Group (and remember we're talking about qualifying, not placement):

Minnesota: Road (2)  at Los Angeles - Sept. 11; at Sacramento - Sept. 13.

Home: (2) Seattle - Sept. 5; Detroit - Sept. 9.

San Antonio: Road (2) at Los Angeles - Sept. 8; at Sacramento - Sept. 10.

Home (2)  Los Angeles - Sept. 5; Seattle - Sept. 12.

Sacramento: Road (0) 

Home (3)  Atlanta - Sept. 4; Sacramento - Sept. 10; Minnesota - Sept. 13.

Summary: It's still wild with long odds on Sacramento despite beating Connecticut.

Minnesota: 1-3 but could lose all 4. The Lynx really needed to beat San Antonio.

San Antonio: 3-1 is not out of question but more likely 2-2 although nothing is a lock in projected wins.

Sacramento: 1-2 but could go 2-1. However, won't be good enough to pass two teams in front.

 -- Mel

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About Mel Greenberg
Mel Greenberg covers college and pro women’s basketball for the Philadelphia Inquirer, where he has worked for 38 years. Greenberg pioneered national coverage of the game, including the original Top 25 women's college poll. His knowledge has earned him nicknames such as "The Guru" and "The Godfather. He was inducted into the Women's Basketball Hall of Fame in 2007.



Click here for Mel's list of All-Decade players from Philadelphia-area schools.

Other contributors

Jonathan Tannenwald is a producer with Philly.com. In addition to covering the local college scene, he spent two years as the Washington Mystics beat writer for Women's Hoops Guru. He also writes his own blog, Soft Pretzel Logic, which covers men's college basketball, football, and other sports.

Kathleen Radebaugh is a recent graduate of St. Joseph's University in Philadelphia. She covered women's basketball for the school's newspaper, The Hawk, and served as sports editor her sophomore year. She was also a four-year member of the varsity crew team.

Erin Semagin Damio covers the University of Connecticut and the WNBA's Connecticut Sun for the blog, and contributes other features. The Storrs, Conn., native also attends Northeastern University, where she is a coxswain on the varsity crew team.

Acacia O'Connor is based in Washington, D.C., where she reports on the Mystics and the college basketball scene in the nation's capital. A graduate of Vassar college, she played on the varsity women's basketball team and was editor of the student newspaper.

Click on any of the contributors' names above to e-mail them.