Posted: Friday, April 24, 2009, 7:58 PM | 4 comments |
 
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Tonight might be the clearest indication of where this series is heading. Are the Orlando Magic going to continue to miss shots? Can the 76ers avoid falling behind by 18? Can they avoid falling behind at all? 

In a seven-game series, so many story lines seem to develop. So many topics are rehashed, night after night. Here are a few crucial ones.

1.) The Orlando Magic's outside shooting. I really believe this will determine the series. Through two games they have choked from the outside. They have left 2-3 made three-pointers on the table -- outside shots they made for 82 games in the regular season -- in each of the first two games. That additional scoring, or lack thereof, has cost them. Yes, I think the Sixers have influenced some of those shots. They've flown out at Turkoglu and Rashard Lewis when they have been open. But some of Orlando's shooters are just missing. Considering the Magic aren't a seasoned postseason team, you can think the first two games were a fluke. But if they continue to miss shots tonight, we could be looking at a series where they struggle from the perimeter, where they've gone cold. But if the Magic find their outside stroke, I think it will be difficult for the Sixers to put up enough points to match an Orlando team clicking on all levels.

2.) Samuel Dalembert. He has been less than a non-factor. He has more fouls, 8, than rebounds, 7. Reserve center Theo Ratliff has played valiantly with Dalembert on the bench. But let's be realistic, can the Sixers win a seven-game series against Dwight Howard with their starting center putting up worse numbers (4.5 points, 3.5 rebounds, 13.0 minutes) than a second-string player? With Willie Green providing virtually no scoring from the two-guard spot, that leaves two massive holes in the Sixers starting lineup. Tonight, Dalembert has to be a factor. He says so often that he won't change his mentality of blocking shots and attacking players who attack the rim. Okay, that's fair. But, also, the Sixers need his productivity, his rebounding. Ratliff is a great defender and shot blocker, but Dalembert is a better rebounder and has the ability to provide more offense than Theo.

3.) The Bench. Yesterday, DiLeo said this team is its bench. I agree. The big games they have won, the bench (Donyell Marshall, Lou Williams, Speights, Royal Ivey, Reggie Evans) have scored 30-45 points. When the bench only scored 12 points on Wednesday, that was the game. Because Lou couldn't provide them offense, their ability to score was negated. Lou doesn't have to score 18-20 points again, but he needs a more efficient scoring night. Even a 5 for 7 would be important.

4.) Courtney Lee. So far, he's been Orlando's guy that has stepped up while the Sixers focus their defensive energy on Howard, Turkoglu, and Lewis. In the last couple of days, the Sixers have said they would focus a little more energy on Lee, but would not shift their defensive philosophy for this series. One thing the Sixers did say was that they must contest Lee's drives to the rim. It sounds like they are okay if he hits the outside shot, but allowing him uncontested penetration is unacceptable. Look for Dalembert and Ratliff to try to get some blocks if Lee goes to the rim.

5.) The defensive rotation onto Howard. I've received e-mails from people saying that Ratliff allowed Howard uncontested put-back dunks. Come on. Ratliff rotated to cover the rim on penetration, one time actually picking up a block. But no one is rotating to Ratliff's man -- Howard -- leaving Dwight to powerslam a couple of missed shots. This is not Ratliff's (or Dalembert's) fault. They have to rotated off Howard and protect the rim. What the Sixers need to address -- and DiLeo said before they game they had -- is the next player rotating and putting a body on Howard. No one is saying that whomever rotates will be able to prevent Howard from getting the offensive rebound. But they could certainly prevent him from soaring 50 inches into the air, kissing the rim, and slamming home a miss. Even if they make Howard come down with the rebound and make a move, or even foul him, that sure helps the Sixers chances.

--Kate

Posted by Kate Fagan @ 7:58 PM  Permalink | 4 comments
4
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  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 10:59 PM, 04/24/2009
    fantastic
    russ4philly
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 7:19 AM, 04/25/2009
    Give Tony credit for the defensive gameplan...he is taking away the open 3 pointer and allowing Howard his points...smart!
    JBP
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:52 AM, 04/26/2009
    So much going on the past couple days, so I haven't had a chance to post. A few observations on Game 3 and thoughts going forward ... (1) Unlike Game 1, which the Sixers basically stole, Game 3 felt like a game the Sixers *should* have won. They controlled the game and never let Orlando get the lead after the 1st quarter; it would have been a tough loss if the Sixers hadn't pulled it out. (2) The game-winning play looked like the type of play Thad travels on 90% of the time, but the refs called neither the foul nor the travel, and Thad might have been the only one on the team with the shiftiness to get a good shot off once he gathered himself. (3) Nice to see Willie Green shoot well, but he had a lot of problems defensively [I counted four lay-ups allowed]. Also, the Orlando run in the 3rd came when the Sixers went to Willie isolations, which should NOT be a staple of the Sixer offense. Credit where it's due, though: Willie's basket to make it 94-91 was big. (4) Iguodala continues to dominate Turkoglu, to the point that I wonder if we'll see more of Pietrus. But the Magic do need Turkoglu's playmaking. (5) Anthony Johnson didn't play much, but he had two big misses in the 4th. (6) It was good to see Sammy stay out of foul trouble and contribute with his defensive rebounding [the main difference between Sam & Theo]. (7) Really only one mix-up on the 3-point defense [Lou/Thad leaving Rashard Lewis wide open], otherwise still decent -- that needs to continue. Going forward, even though this series has matched last year's results so far, it feels very different. The Sixers look competitive at all times with this Magic team, and the Magic have not been disinterested in the way that last year's Pistons were. The talent gap between the two teams is not great, esp. with the Magic's injuries. Count me cautiously optimistic for Game 4 (defense and d-rebounding should be the focus, as the offense will be there).
    Statman
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:18 AM, 04/26/2009
    Kate's got it now. It's the Sixers bench scoring and Willie that determines the outcome. We need points from the bench. You would think by now, that the coaches would figure out that Speights could help with that!
    ricky


4 comments
About John Mitchell
John Mitchell is in his first year covering the 76ers for the Inquirer after joining the paper in November 2011. He covered the Washington Wizards for the Washington Times from 1998 to 2008. He's also worked at the Philadelphia Tribune, the Wilmington News Journal, Courier-Post, Trenton Times and Elmira Star-Gazette.

Born and raised in West Philadelphia - not too far from Will Smith - he graduated from Overbrook High School the same year the 76ers won their last championship. He's a proud graduate of Howard University and the proud father of two sons, Jared and Jordan.

ABOUT MARC NARDUCCI

Marc Narducci has served in a variety of roles with the Inquirer since beginning in 1983. He has covered the 76ers as a backup and a beat writer. In addition, Narducci has covered everything from the Super Bowl to the World Series and a lot in between. Narducci also has a true passion for South Jersey scholastic sports, which he has covered for many years.

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