Poll finds prez race tight in Colo., Wisc., Va.
President Obama leads in Wisc. and Va., while Mitt Romney is ahead in Colo., Quinnipiac/NYT poll of swing states finds.
Poll finds prez race tight in Colo., Wisc., Va.
Thomas Fitzgerald, Inquirer Politics Writer
President Obama holds slight leads among likely voters in Wisconsin and Virginia, while Republican challenger Mitt Romney is running ahead in Colorado, according to the latest installment Wednesday of Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News polls of swing states.
Romney’s lead was 50 percent to 45 percent in Colorado. Obama was up 49 percent to 45 percent in Virginia, and 51 percent to 45 percent in Wisconsin.
The survey found that Obama’s chief advantage, as it has been throughout, is with women voters, while Romney benefits from a large gap with white, working class voters. The Times explores that finding in more depth here.
And for those who are intersted in digging into the crosstabs and demographics/weighting of the Q poll for individual states.
Comments (17)
In Ohio, the President is up a solid 5 point average and as much as 8 points in some polls, yet it is called a "toss-up". Also on FoxNews (Greta) it is reported the the President has surged among women in the past month....This is over. The question now is can the Democrats retake the House?
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/oh/ohio_romney_vs_obama-1860.html
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html
http://dailycaller.com/2012/08/02/poll-obama-leads-romney-among-women-voters-in-key-swing-states/
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It was an anti-climatic primary and it will be an anti-climatic election (Bob Dole). Again though can the Democrats leverage the inevitability of Cruz in Texas to secure Senate seats in Massachusetts and beyond?
— Cuddles- Colorado data is surprising.
But in the end Verginia and Obio will vote for Obama as their economy is doing reasonably well. Rest of the data does not make much difference.— Seed - I checked the cross tabs.
In Florida, the polls had 9% more democrats than republicans. Democrats have a 5 point registration advantage in Florida.
In Ohio, the poll had 8% more registered democrats. Republicans have a 1% registration advantage in Ohio
In PA, Quinnipiac's poll had 6% more democrats than republicans. Democrats have a 14% registration advantage in PA.--
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Political_party_strength_in_U.S._states#Elections_and_voter_registrations
— tr88 - Rasmussen, the most accurate pollster in the last presidential election has Romney up 1% in FL, down 2 in Ohio and down 4% in Pa in his latest report in late July.— tr88
- Rassmussen is not accurate. They are in place to Republican funded organization.
Look at funding of each organization. It will tell you which way their data are scewded.— Seed - You missed what I said. I didnt say Rasmussen was "accurate", they were the "MOST" accurate in the last Presidential election. — tr88
- It hasnt even begun yet. At this point in 2008, McCain was up by around 5%— tr88
- Obama was up 3.8% on August 8th 2008 in RCP average. Obama's current lead is 3.7%.
People simply don't like Romney. They used to like McCain.— Seed - Rasmussen was the most accurate pollster in the last presidential election. Number 1. And how about CBS/NY Times? 19th out of 20th. The Inquirer reports the CBS/NY Times polls, but not Rasmussen. anyone have an explantion as to why a "news"paper would use a poll from the bottom 5% and not from the top pollster?— tr88
- Rasmussen favors GOP until the final days of a campaign when they try to be accurate. But nothing can hide the fact that most conservatives (and women) don't like Romney. — Cuddles
- You need to take your methodology issues to the Fordham University Political Sciences Department. Do you ever think you might be brainwashed?--http://www.fordham.edu/images/academics/graduate_schools/gsas/elections_and_campaign_/poll%20accuracy%20in%20the%202008%20presidential%20election.pdf — tr88
- White working class favor Romney. Amazing. Isn't the working class the group that will be hurt most by Romney's policies? Talk about biting off your nose to spite your face. Jeez.— CommonSense in Philly
- Astonishing you think we who work, dont get a government check and pay taxes are voting against our own interests. — tr88
- post— FocusTruthFully
- Those who love the stealth beenies of the unions, will continue to swoon over Obama.
While those who work 2, and 3 jobs, if they are fortunate to find one will sway towards Romney.
So forget the numbers, they arin't trustworthy, just like the numbers that Obama buddies send out.
Let's just have the election, and get over this bickering of numbers. Obama has nothing to go on.— FocusTruthFully - The numbers from legitimate pollsters can be trusted. These companies have been around for years and their poll results can be compared to actual results. However, poll results this far from the election aren't the most accurate preciters and what will happen in November. They do show a trend and, at the moment, the numbers are moving in Obama's direction. — MikeP
- Romney needs to get tough and expose the dem s— the commodore
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Inquirer staff writer Thomas Fitzgerald blogs about national politics.
You can reach Tom Fitzgerald at 215-854-2718 or tfitzgerald@phillynews.com.
Reach Thomas at tfitzgerald@phillynews.com.
Thomas Fitzgerald
Inquirer Politics Writer
You can reach Tom Fitzgerald at 215-854-2718 or tfitzgerald@phillynews.com.
Reach Thomas at tfitzgerald@phillynews.com.
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