As President Obama decides whether to sign off on Gen. Stanley McChrystal's request for a massive troop hike in Afghanistan - the president is slated to conduct high-level meetings today and tomorrow - his usual critics are already complaining that his pause for reflection is proof that he's a wimp and a wuss. As they see it, Obama should speedily say yes because the military commander in the field always knows best. For instance, from the cheap seats, here's potential 2012 challenger Mitt Romney: "This is not the time for Hamlet in the White House."
But presidents are not supposed to rubber stamp the military brass; that's not how our system is supposed to work. The head of the military is a civilian - that would be Obama - and the civilian, looking at the big picture, is constitutionally empowered to have the last word. The Pentagon has been trying to box Obama in, by leaking McChrystal's 40,000 troop hike request to The Washington Post last week - with McChrystal advertising himself in a 60 Minutes segment the other night - but it doesn't necessarily follow that Obama should forfeit his responsibility to think for awhile outside the box.
And those who support Obama on this point can hardly be typecast as liberals. To cite one example, Michael O'Hanlon, a Washington think-tanker best known for his outspoken hawkishness on Iraq, told an audience of neoconservatives the other day that they should cut the president some slack. In his words: "Mr. Obama is entitled to think twice about (McChrystal's recommendation). He is entitled to wonder, just how precise is this military arithmetic? Just how promising is this counter-insurgency strategy anyway? I do think generals should say what they think they need. But presidents should also digest that request."
O'Hanlon said that everybody should indulge Obama "at least for a few weeks of deliberation and indecision. If he is still in November where he is today, I will not be defending him. But I think where he is at this moment is understandable."
Nor is it even clear that the military establishment is unanimously enthused about the prospect of pouring 40,000 more soldiers into Afghanistan. Reports indicate that Gen. George Casey Jr., the Army chief of staff, is very concerned that such a commitment would further stress the forces that have been overly stressed for years on two fighting fronts. Colin Powell, the retired military leader, has also reportedly told Obama that he too is skeptical about the eficacy of hiking the troop levels; in remarks to reporters last week, Powell also said, "You have to not just add troops. You need a clear definition of your mission and then you can determine whether you need more troops or other resources."
Maybe Obama will ultimately make the right decision, maybe not. The question is, what's the best way to fight what he has called a "war of necessity?" And the point is, he's the one to make the decision, doing so after a careful weighing of all relevent factors. The military commanders are not supposed to dictate policy, nor is it smart to assume that they have a monopoly on wisdom. In fact, history has already demonstrated that they don't.
Best example: The 1962 Cuban missile crisis.
Anyone needing a primer on the importance of civilian checks and balances should read One Minute to Midnight, the best (and newest) book on the confrontation that nearly incinerated the world. As author Michael Dobbs recounts (drawing on unparalleled access to previously confidential documents), the military unanimously urged that President Kennedy respond to the presence of nearby Soviet WMDs by OKing their recommendation for "surgical" air attacks followed by a massive American invasion of Cuba. But Kennedy, fearing that such a move would escalate to nuclear war, steadfastly refused - thus prompting one top military leader to complain that the president's refusal was "almost as bad as the appeasement at Munich." And as Kennedy kept deliberating day after day, his Republican critics in Congress yelled that he was "weak."
The military advisors were convinced that America could win a nuclear war, and said so in the meetings. Kennedy was not bedazzled by the advice. He asked the brass how many casualties there would be if just one Soviet missile detonated above American soil. The brass' response: about half a million people. To which Kennedy had the temerity to reply, "That was the number of casualties we had in the Civil War, and it's taken us almost a century to get over that."
Ultimately, of course, Kennedy patiently extricated us from the crisis via carefully calibrated diplomacy (plus some luck). Dobbs, citing much documentation, makes it quite clear that if Kennedy had merely rubber-stamped the military's bellicose advice, the odds are high that none of us would be around today.
Yeah, I know, the Cuban missile crisis is an extreme example, one that is not directly analogous to the decision we face in Afghanistan today. But the principle is the same. Just as Kennedy utilized his knowledge of history to check and balance his military leaders (he was well aware of how military-driven decisions prompted Europe to blunder into World War I), Obama and his civilian team is likely to reference history (if not Cuba, then Vietnam) in order to check and balance those who would deepen our ground involvement without even a wise pause for reflection.
Agreed, Obama should take this decision carefully. However, when it was just a couple of months since Obama declared Afghanistan a war we must win, a war "of necessity. ... This is not only a war worth fighting. This is fundamental to the defense of our people.", as he stated to a veterans group back in July. The problem is McChrystal is asking for troops necessary to carry out the strategy Obama himself laid out when he appointed McChrystal in the first place. Shouldn't some of the current deliberations have taken place back in March, April and May? How steadfast does Obama look when he questions his own strategy, one he implemented, a mere 4 months after announing it and sending 20,000 more troops to begin its implementation? tom - wilmington, de
Dick, there is nothing analogous to the threat we face from the Taliban. Krushchev turned his warships around in '62 because the reward was not worth the risk. Unlike the Russians, the Taliban view global destruction as a necessary consequence. A Friend
Tom, the situation has changed since Obama took office and continued with the Bush strategy. Karzai's blatant election stealing makes counterinsurgency difficult, since that requires a legitimate government to partner with. We no longer have that, unless there is a runoff against Abdullah that is seen to be fair, no matter who wins. If the Afghan government is seen as a fraudulent collection of crooks, embezzlers, and drug lords (as, indeed, it already is) then counterinsurgency has no foundation to stand on. Under the circumstances, Obama is wise to review the situation and his options. No more Ready, Fire, Aim, please! Yersinia Pestis
Comment removed.
***Sanctions and pressure from the UN and Obama's fecklessness in Afghanistan has Iran shaking in it's boots. ***So, you telling us that Bush's axis of evil comment kept Iran at bay? If Cuba were to invade Mexico or something like that, would the US not get worried and get on war footing? The UN is a completely useless organization that should be disbanded. Tony_From_PA
Comment removed.- "...and the civilian, looking at the big picture, is constitutionally empowered to have the last word." That would make Obama "The Decider" then, wouldn't it? jmc
jmc, you are right, Obama is the Decider...the big difference now is that he actually understands the issues he is making decisions about! Yersinia Pestis
Of course, most of those clamoring for more war do not serve in the military, and neither do their spouses or children. Seems to be a recurring theme. Tony_From_PA- Obama knows that our allies are his adversaries and our adversaries are his friends. Mr. Smith
"How steadfast does Obama look when he questions his own strategy.......?" And there you have it......... the goals of today's Republicans have nothing to do with what is best for the country, but rather to APPEAR steadfast. And see Tony's 12:39 post about the most steadfast among us. the stupid does burn
Another quick point about how far Bush's steadfastness got us: "recall that after he was elected president of France in 2007, the pro-American conservative Nicolas Sarkozy was asked by Condoleezza Rice what she could do to help him. "Improve your image in the world," he said. There is a phony realism brandished on the right these days that says no one will ever cooperate with America. Russia and China have their own interests, and any attempt to find common ground is naive... Now, of course countries have their own interests, which are often in conflict. But they also often share some interests. A central task of diplomacy is to explore those areas of agreement, build on them and thus create a more stable world. That's why we have treaties on everything from trade to taxation, adhered to by most nations for their collective benefit. In fact, Obama's approach has already produced remarkable results. Russia and China, after long opposition, agreed last week to a toughening of the nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty. In a striking shift, Russia signaled that it may support tougher sanctions against Iran. The Obama administration's decision to cultivate a relationship with both countries, to listen to their concerns, is paying off. Obama's outreach to the world is an experiment, and not merely to see if the world will respond. He wants to demonstrate at home that engagement does not make America weak. For decades, it's been thought deadly for an American politician to be seen as seeking international cooperation. Denouncing, demeaning and insulting other countries was a cheap and easy way to seem strong. In the battle of images, tough and stupid always seemed to win. Obama is gambling that America is mature enough to understand that machismo is not foreign policy and that grandstanding on the global stage won't succeed. In a new world, with other countries more powerful and confident, America's success - its security, its prosperity - depends on working with others." the stupid does burn
***Democrats rejected an amendment last week that would have required the actual legislative text of the bill to be posted online with a complete analysis by the Congressional Budget Office at least 72 hours before a final vote. Democrats said that process could take weeks and that a detailed summary with a CBO scoring was sufficient before the committee vote....Republicans aren’t the only ones to lodge that complaint. “If it isn’t out there, then there’s an assumption that there is something wrong — something is being withheld,” said Nebraska Sen. Ben Nelson, a conservative Democrat who will be a key vote on the floor. “It’s pretty hard to argue against having information out there available for people, and I don’t want to tell them it’s not out there because they can’t understand it.” *** Neither can I Senator Nelson! Read more: http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0909/27684.html#ixzz0SW0HCGyd NEPhilly
Another example of republican strategy above, when losing, change topics..... Tony_From_PA
Obama could catch Bin Laden bare handed and the Republicans would still complain . hejira33312
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