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Friday, October 2, 2009

 

 

More Friday factoids:

The new jobs report puts the unemployment rate at 9.8 percent, thus spreading cheer among Republicans who are already wielding the stat this morning as a political weapon against President Obama. But somehow they keep omitting the fact that the jobless rate has not been this high since 1983...when the guy in charge was their icon, Ronald Reagan. He was saddled with a jobless rate in the range of 11 percent, and that wound up costing his party 26 House seats in the '82 midterm election. Obama, similarly saddled with high unemployment, may well lose that many seats in 2010 - but as the Republicans crow triumphantly, the rest of us should refrain from behaving as if such losses have never happened before. In fact, history teaches us that - with only three exceptions (1934, 1998, and 2002) - the president's party has lost seats in every midterm election over the last 100 years.

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It's too early to pinpoint the favored contenders for the 2012 Republican nomination, but there's plenty of preliminary action. I heard the other day from a smart source that Gen. David Petraeus is quietly taking soundings of his own. (A heretofore apolitical military man? Hey, it worked for Eisenhower.) I also think it's worth keeping an eye on South Dakota Sen. John Thune, who, aside from literally being tall, dark, and handsome, is working hard to build up some foreign policy credentials - as evidenced by reports that he has authored a new GOP memo on how to refute Obama on the issue of impending arms talks with Russia. I also saw this week that Minnesota Gov. Tim ("T-Paw") Pawlenty has already assembled a huge roster of big-time Republican consultants - plus one curious choice, ex-Bush White House political director Sara Taylor. That name ring a bell? Back in July 2007, Taylor told Congress that she couldn’t talk about how the Bush team had wrecked the integrity of the Justice Department because, in her words, "I took an oath to the president, and I take that oath very seriously." She was then gently informed that, as a federal employee, she had actually taken an oath to the U.S. Constitution. Presumably, while preparing to serve T-Paw, she has now brushed up on how government actually works.

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In the best of all possible worlds (to borrow a phrase from Voltaire), both political parties would dial back a bit on their apocalyptic insinuations. Earlier in the decade, when the GOP was pounding the Democrats for supposedly being weak on terrorism, the message was essentially, "Vote for us or die." More recently, the GOP's implicit message about health care reform was that Democrats want your granny to die. And now there's Democratic Florida congressman Alan Grayson, who says that Republicans, by opposing health care reform, are basically signaling that they don't care whether thousands of uninsured Americans prematurely die. Rather than engage in the pointless debate over which side has the better claim to death hyperbole, maybe everyone can just agree to knock it off. But, of course, that's as likely as Kanye West announcing that he intends to learn some manners.

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How is it possible that the creation of a government-run health insurance program to compete with the predatory private insurance companies - a "public option" concept that clearly has the support of a majority of Americans - can be torpedoed in the Senate Finance Committee by just two Democrats (Max Baucus and Kent Conrad) who hail from rural backwaters where few Americans actually live? Blame it on the Founding Fathers, who gave each state two senators, regardless of whether the state is diverse and populous, or whether the state seems to have more prairie dogs than people. Baucus' main argument this week for opposing the public option was basically that so many other senators were opposing the public option. But most of those opponents are Republicans, who might actually be out of step with their own voters anyway; according to the latest CBS-New York Times survey, 47 percent of self-identified Republicans voiced support for a public option that would be modeled on "something like Medicare," while only 42 percent opposed it. Naturally, conservatives attacked the wording of the survey question, but whatever. The public option concept is still alive, despite Baucus and Conrad - in part because, hey, this is the Senate we're talking about. In the Senate, nothing ever really dies.

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And finally, this week in sleaze: It turns out that John Ensign, the well-coiffed "family values" conservative Republican senator, may have broken federal ethics laws when he worked last year to drum up lobbying business for his former top aide, Doug Hampton, as a way of making amends for the fact that he had been boffing Hampton's wife. Ensign even swung some backroom deals for Hampton's new blue-chip clients, a Nevada airline and a Nevada utility firm. Too bad the average Nevada citizen couldn't reap any inside benefits from Ensign's redemption tour. Anyway, my favorite factoid is about the '06 signed photo of Ensign and Hampton on the Capitol steps, a gift from the senator to his aide. The salutation from Ensign? "In Christ." My, how steep the plummet can be for the sanctimonious.

And speaking of the high and mighty, the latest buzz about Elizabeth Edwards might well take her down a few notches. A lengthy report the other day suggests that Elizabeth played a role in helping to conceal her husband's paternity of the Rielle Hunter love child. Andrew Young, the aide who had agreed to fall on his sword by claiming paternity while John was still running for president, apparently expected that John would claim paternity after dropping out. But John didn't, and Elizabeth reportedly sought to pressure Young into sticking to the cover-up story. But when Young wobbled, Elizabeth began to slime him, by claiming for instance that Young had stolen her late son Wade's baseball card collection...you get the idea. And Young hasn't even sold his tell-all book yet. I doubt that Dave Matthews will have any interest in fulfilling John's dream of playing at a John-Rielle wedding. At this rate, John will be lucky to book a DJ.

 

Posted by Dick Polman @ 12:38 PM  Permalink | 47 comments
Comments   
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:45 PM, 10/02/2009
    From prior blog.***The effort and energy needed to make the president and first lady's quick trips to Copenhagen possible could be considered Olympic-sized by some estimates. The approximate cost of flying Air Force One round trip for 18 hours calculates to more than $1.2 million -- roughly $67,000 per hour.The estimated greenhouse gas emissions of Air Force One for that trip amount to more than 1 million pounds of carbon dioxide. Compare that to a roundtrip on Amtrak from New York to Washington D.C. emits 220 pounds of carbon dioxide. The president's trip is the equivalent to 4,500 of those roundtrips. The Boeing 757 the first lady rode separately emits nearly 374,000 pounds of carbon dioxide. Those figures do not include the operational costs or emissions of the several passenger and cargo aircraft that accompany Air Force One with staff and equipment. Copenhagen, by the way, will be the location for the climate change summit in December. No word yet on whether the president will attend.*** I imagine saving the planet from green house gas emissions (which I think is a bunch of hooey, anyway) is for just for us schmucks. I guess it is ok that the hollywood and washington elite do not practice what they preach to the masses about this subject. http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,558842,00.html
    NEPhilly
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:53 PM, 10/02/2009
    I see you mention 2002 as one of the years the president's party didn't lose any congressional seats. I can't remember who was President that year? Mr. Polman would love for the repubs to pick a front runner sooner, rather than later, more time to tear them down:) Grayson is just wrong, more likely a one payer govt. system would hope for your premature demise to save the costs of later in life illnesses. Like I said dems torpedoed the 'public option' themselves. John Ensign is a dirtbag and should resign his senate seat, he shames the chamber and he shame his party. Term limits for them all. The only thing Elizabeth Edwards has going for her, is John Edwards is even more pathetic than she is. And to think he almost became President and Vice President. Disaster avoided:)
    NEPhilly
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:12 PM, 10/02/2009
    picasso, that 'Bush/Cheney' reason the Chicago Olympic bid failed on the last blog is a big reach. I report, you decide:) Is that the best you can do? Your better than that:)
    NEPhilly
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:14 PM, 10/02/2009
    ...you're better than that:)
    NEPhilly
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:22 PM, 10/02/2009
    You know me: Poke. Poke. Signing Off - Good Weekend to All.
    PicassoArt
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:23 PM, 10/02/2009
    "a "public option" concept that clearly has the support of a majority of Americans" Really? That's news to me. The latest Rasmussen poll has it at 41%. DP must have polled the newsroom.
    jmc
  • Comment removed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:31 PM, 10/02/2009
    See you later Arlen, have a nice retirement. You deserve it. ***Sen. Arlen Specter (D-Pa.) is due for another shot of support from the White House Friday. Vice President Biden is traveling to ...Bristol, Pa., to hold an event for Specter as new polling shows the senator trailing his Republican opponent and losing ground in the Democratic primary.*** http://www.politico.com/politico44/perm/1009/biden_for_specter_1c470b20-ed04-4606-8dfc-70b7ec481858.html
    NEPhilly
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:33 PM, 10/02/2009
    picasso, have a good one and take it light :)
    NEPhilly
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:43 PM, 10/02/2009
    And let's not forget David Letterman admitting to having affairs with female members of his staff, which he aired last night in lieu of an extortion attempt.
    tom - wilmington, de
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:55 PM, 10/02/2009
    As far as the public option is concerned, let's go to the poll Polman himself finds to be the most accurate. In the NBC/WSJ poll of Sept 22, 2009, here were results to two questions. First, How important to give people option of a public plan administered by the gov't and a private plan...important won 73 to 23. Second, would you favor or oppose the creation of a public health plan administered by the government to compete directly with private insurers...favor 46%, oppose 48%. So, the results could be inconclusive.
    tom - wilmington, de
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:57 PM, 10/02/2009
    Dick, do you ever talk to Republicans? Grayson is correct. Most of the conservatives who I get the opportunity to speak to, of which there were many while I lived in Montgomery County, want most of their fellow Americans to die.
    HandNik
  • Comment removed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 2:24 PM, 10/02/2009
    So the first paragraph today, is Polman saying it is okay for unemployment to be near 10% because it was higher under Reagan? Was Reagan promising that if his program was passed, in record time and without being read, unemployment would not surpass 8%? Was Reagan going around the country telling people he actually saved jobs, and it would have been worse had his economic stimulus package not been passed? Did he tell the governors association that the stimulus was putting people back to work all across the country building roads, bridges and schools? The only reason unemployment is not already above 10% is because the government has been adding jobs each month. The private sector, however, is not adding any jobs. Small businesses, who do most of the hiring, are not adding jobs. Yet the president, before making the sacrifice of jetting off to Copenhagen, told the Democrat governors that jobs were being added thanks to the stimulus package. What is wrong with this picture?
    tom - wilmington, de
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 2:25 PM, 10/02/2009
    jwad...according to Polman, it is Rasmussen who overpolls Republicans and it is the NBC/WSJ poll that is the most bi-partisan. He wrote it in this space about a week ago.
    tom - wilmington, de


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About Dick Polman

Cited by the Columbia Journalism Review as one of the nation's top political reporters, and lauded by the ABC News political website as "one of the finest political journalists of his generation," Dick Polman is a national political columnist at the Philadelphia Inquirer. He is on the full-time faculty at the University of Pennsylvania, as "writer in residence." Dick has been a frequent guest on C-Span, MSNBC, CNN, NPR and the BBC. He covered the 1992, 1996, 2000, and 2004 presidential campaigns.

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All commentaries posted before April 18, 2008, can be accessed at www.dickpolman.blogspot.com.