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Saturday, August 23, 2008

 

Some quick thoughts about veep nominee Joe Biden, in the midst of a dash to the airport and a flight to the Democratic convention in Denver:

I've already provided the gist of the case for Biden, in the piece that appeared here on Tuesday. But there's more on the potential upside. For starters, his Catholic blue-collar roots could help Obama in the Rustbelt working-class communities; Obama obviously needs to nail down Pennsylvania (Biden, a familiar face in Pennsylvania media markets, hails from Scranton) and win pivotal Ohio, where Biden, a visceral campaigner, might be a help in connecting with economically anxious voters.

His three-decade voting record is basically middle of the road, at least for a Democrat, which means the McCain camp will have trouble painting the opposition ticket as too liberal. And the liberal base/blogosphere, while not necessarily enamored of Biden (who did, after all, vote for the disastrous Iraq war resolution), is nevertheless impressed with his strong debating skills (on flagrant display during the '08 primary season) and his willingness to bloody the GOP. And while Hillary Clinton's bitter-enders will be displeased that their candidate didn't get the veep nod, women voters will no doubt learn that Biden's legislative achievements include sponsorship of the 1994 Violence Against Women Act (hailed at the time by the National Organization for Women as "the greatest breakthrough in civil rights for women in nearly two decades").

On foreign policy, Biden's expertise is respected even by many Republicans, and John McCain now faces the challenge of finding a running mate who can effectively duel with Biden on those issues in the October veep debate. (My guess is that Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty's stock just plummeted.) And there's another policy area where Biden might be of assistance: the future of the U.S. Supreme Court. As a former Senate Judiciary Committee chairman, Biden can make the argument to wayward women voters that Roe v. Wade is hanging by a thread and that the next president will be making several appointments that could swing the high court either way.

And on the governing front (assuming, for the moment, that Obama wins), Biden would be well positioned to act as Obama's ambassador to the Senate, particularly when a few more votes are needed.

The downside of picking Biden?  He has said a zillion things, and in 35 years he has voted on a zillion pieces of legislation, and all those zillions are potential grist for the GOP. We're seeing that happen already this morning; the McCain camp has cranked out a new ad that refers indirectly to a remark that Biden made about Obama in August 2007: "I think he can be ready, but right now I don't believe he is. The presidency is not something that lends itself to on-the-job training."

Biden will obviously say now that Obama has gotten plenty of seasoning during the past 12 months. Maybe that will work, maybe not. The larger McCain strategy will be to spin the Biden nomination as vivid proof that a grown-up was needed to buttress the untested kid who tops the ticket. (The problem with the McCain spin, however, is that the GOP did exactly the same thing in 2000, tapping Dick Cheney to buttress George W. Bush.)

But who knows how much of this will matter, given the fact that running mates rarely make a difference on election day. The bottom line, however, is that with Biden now in the game, it will not be dull.

-------

And here's something for the political trivia geeks:

Despite all the summer speculation that Obama might pick a governor as his running mate - with Tim Kaine and Kathleen Sebelius topping that list - it's worth taking a little quiz. Take a guess how many governors have been tapped as running mates by Democratic presidential nominees during the past half-century.

Zero.

Now take a guess how many times since 1952 Democratic presidential nominees have NOT chosen a U.S. senator to fill out the ticket.

Once.

That was in 1984, when Walter Mondale picked congresswoman Geraldine Ferraro.  All other running mates were senators: John Sparkman in 1952, Estes Kefauver* in 1956, Lyndon Johnson in 1960, Hubert Humphrey in 1964, Ed Muskie in 1968, Tom Eagleton* in 1972, Mondale in 1976, Lloyd Bentsen in 1988, Al Gore in 1992, Joe Lieberman in 2000, and John Edwards in 2004. (Eagleton was dumped after being chosen, in the wake of revelations about past mental illness. Kefauver was actually chosen by an open convention, but presidential nominee Adlai Stevenson said OK. And I'm not counting 1980 or 1996, the Democratic incumbent elections.)

So Biden is actually part of a grand Senate tradition - which may well be another reason why there is always so much roiling ambition in the Cave of Winds.

 

 

Posted by Dick Polman @ 9:50 AM  Permalink | 47 comments
Comments   
Posted 10:15 AM, 08/23/2008
bon
If it had been Huckabee against Biden I would have voted for Biden in a second. Biden is a thoughtful guy whose foreign policy would focus on protecting America and her allies. He is not a very good politician though, and since the no. 1 job of a veep is to campaign to get the president elected, I am not sure the choice is a good one, strategically. (Also, the things I like about Biden are things Obama has said attacked Hillary and McCain for in the past couple years...)
Posted 10:46 AM, 08/23/2008
frankg962
Ultimately the VP should be chosen because of qualifications to assume the job should the Prez be incapacitated. In that sense alone, Biden is a very good choice. Of course he suffers from foot in mouth on occasion but who doesn't?
Posted 12:04 PM, 08/23/2008
ObamaHATER
ROFL!!! The messiah not only disregarded the political advice from all of his lib commentators, he stuck his finger in Hillary's eye with that 3am text message. The gorge in the democratic party widens. For someone who doesn't feel the need to give his children gifts or brother a new hut, he sure is generous with the GOP. Conservative's all over the country have a huge grin stuck on their face. This race is effectively over.
Posted 12:08 PM, 08/23/2008
yobill626
Biden certainly isn't dull. I have to wonder that if Obama/Biden were to win, how interesting will the meeting between Cheney & Biden be when they get together to turn over that office? Cheney going to have to spend even more time before November burying his Constitutionally abusive practices before he rolls out of town.
Posted 12:17 PM, 08/23/2008
ObamaHATER
YOBILL I know you know this, but Cheney doesn't leave until January. No matter, it's gonna be a smooth transition with Romney coming in.;)
Posted 01:21 PM, 08/23/2008
OnTheLeft
YOHATER, fact is this is a winning ticket, 'cause the state that the nation is in people just are not going to vote for 4 more years of the McSame thing.
Posted 01:41 PM, 08/23/2008
tom - wilmington, de
This is an interesting and potentially damaging choice. Biden has NEVER taken a back seat to anyone. I believe he will have a tough time keeping his mouth shut in deference to the chosen one. Will he act more like the big brother than a paternal guide? Is he likely to say, in response to a question, "Well, Barack is right on this" without adding his own opinion? In Delaware he has been elected six times, yet he has a reputation as being extremely arrogant. Will he be able to suppress that during the next three months? If elected, will he act more like Al Gore with Clinton, or be another Dick Cheney with Bush? Biden adds nothing to the ticket except a loaded gun.
Posted 01:58 PM, 08/23/2008
tom - wilmington, de
So you Democrats and Liberals believe this is a winning ticket? Obama spends his time blasting McCain for his judgement on the Iraq war, then selects not only someone who voted or the war, but was an ardent supporter of the invasion. Obama blasts McCain for being part of what is wrong with this country because he has been in the Senate, then picks someone who has been there even longer than McCain. Obama talks about McCain being part of the problem rather than part of the solution, then picks someone who has been in the Senate for 36 years and could also be construed as part of the problem. So far I have heard pundits saying even though Biden was in Washington, he is not really an insider because he takes the train home to Wilmington every night. Chris Matthews is fawning over how good Obama and Biden look together, because they are the same height. So far that is the best they have had to say about this pick. How is this a good pick.
Posted 02:13 PM, 08/23/2008
jjfalcon35
I think this is a great choice for republicans tom calm down
Posted 02:23 PM, 08/23/2008
USA#1
Let’s see, it was great pick when Bush chose Chaney because it would make up for his lack of experience. Now when the Dem’s do the same thing, it is a loaded gun. We all know what Cheney can do with a loaded gun. Biden can stick his foot in his mouth and does like to hear his voice. The one thing that I do remember is after 9-11 Biden said we will track down those responsible and kill them. What did Bush say after several months, I don’t think about OBL much.
Posted 02:54 PM, 08/23/2008
SCB
Let's be honest, Obama is NOT the second coming. He is a politician like the rest of them. In that light, this was a savvy move on his part. What strikes me most about Obama is that he is thoughtful and reasonable. Something that has been lacking in Washington for a long, long time. I think of all the changes Mr. Obama promises, this might well be the most significant.
Posted 02:59 PM, 08/23/2008
AHiredGun
Obama could have picked a combined Jesus Christ, Buddha, Mother Teresa, and the Virgin Mary, and the Neo-Cons would STILL be condemning the selection. They're just bummed out it wasn't Hillary.
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About Dick Polman

Cited by the Columbia Journalism Review as one of the nation's top political reporters, and lauded by the ABC News political website as "one of the finest political journalists of his generation," Dick Polman is a national political columnist at the Philadelphia Inquirer. He is on the full-time faculty at the University of Pennsylvania, as "writer in residence." Dick has been a frequent guest on C-Span, MSNBC, CNN, NPR and the BBC. He covered the 1992, 1996, 2000, and 2004 presidential campaigns.

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