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Monday, May 5, 2008
P. T. Barnum politicking

 

There once was a Broadway musical about the circus impresario P.T. Barnum, and the first song was entitled "There's a Sucker Born Ev'ry Minute."

Hillary Clinton seems to have adapted that lyric as her own.

As evidenced in recent days, she has deliberately chosen to play the Indiana and North Carolina voters for suckers - by staging what is arguably the most shameless pandering act of this long primary season - and in the tallies tomorrow it will be instructive to see whether she succeeded in coaxing the voters to fool themselves.

In the annals of presidential politicking, this has been known to happen. Voters - not all, but many millions - typically complain that politicians "just tell us what we want to hear," but the truth is, many voters reward these politicians for precisely that sort of pandering. The truth is, many voters like it when politicians propose stupid quick-fix bromides, or make sweeping feel-good promises ("read my lips, no new taxes") that cannot be kept. And the opposing politician who says no to such foolishness, who tries to invoke logic and common sense, often winds up being punished.

So we'll see how Clinton fares tomorrow, in the wake of her laughable pitch for a summer suspenstion of the federal gasoline tax. I won't bother to recount all the details, thoroughly aired already, about why this idea is a joke - a suspension of the gas tax would save the average consumer something like $30; drain money from the federal budget for infrastructure repair; drive up demand and therefore drive prices upward anyway. And I need only note that her supposed solution - recouping the lost tax money via a windfall-profits tax on Big Oil - has roughly the same chance of passing Congress and gaining President Bush's signature as a frog sprouting wings.

All of which Clinton well knows. And she's supposed to be the stellar policy wonk.

But this is about politics, not policy. This is about symbolism, not substance. This is her way of telling the working-stiff voters, "I'm on your side," and that Barack Obama, by dismissing the gas-tax holiday as a bad idea (and, worse yet, explaining why at great length, as he did again yesterday) is therefore not on their side and hence out of touch and hence an elitist. As her latest TV ad frames it, "She's ready to act again...Barack Obama says no, again."

Her aim is to look like a doer, and make him look like a thinker. And never mind that what she says she wants to do is downright dumb. So dumb, in fact, that she revealed herself during a telling exchange yesterday on ABC. When she was asked to name a single economist who agreed with her gas-tax holiday proposal, she replied:

"I'm not going to put my lot in with economists."

Consider that comment for a moment; then consider it in tandem with the question she posed last week, regarding whether members of Congress would support her gas-tax holiday idea: "are they with us, or against us?"

She's sounding like George W. Bush - drawing a line in the sand on some indefensible proposition, and refusing to listen to the nay-saying experts who are grounded in factual reality. And let us recall how well it worked for him, when he won re-election in 2004 despite the ample documentation that his '02 case for war had been built on a house of cards. Swing voters finally got wise in the '06 congressional elections, but in November '04 they were still willing to be hoodwinked.

The Clintons are savvy enough to know that the pandering pol often fares better than the truth-teller. It certainly worked for Bill in 1992.

Bill went to Connecticut and said he wanted to save the Seawolf nuclear submarine, even though it was already slated to be scrapped; his chief rival, Paul Tsongas (who, like Obama, was a darling of the well-educated voters) complained that Bill was just playing cheap-gimmick politics. Then Bill went to Florida and told the older voters exactly what they wanted to hear about Social Security; Tsongas protested that, as well. The Clinton campaign was delighted with the contrast; Bill looked like he was "for the people," while Tsongas looked like a nay-saying elitist. The rest is history.

Obviously, Clinton's pandering act will not be the only factor in the Tuesday primaries, but, to the extent that it may well influence the results, I can say this much:

These two contests are not merely the latest tests for the Clinton and Obama candidacies. The gas-tax "issue" is also an intelligence test for the voters.

Posted by Dick Polman @ 10:40 AM  Permalink | 17 comments
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Comments
Posted by Rauol Duke 12:16 PM, 05/05/2008
Never fail to under estimate the stupidity of the voters. If the had any sense, they would of seen that the Clinton's have been frauds all along. In the 90's we got milk toast reforms which consistently favor the corporate world over the average American. The Clinton's are republican lite. Let’s get this country back on the right track VOTE Obama.
Posted by danl 12:34 PM, 05/05/2008
"These two contests are not merely the latest tests for the Clinton and Obama candidacies. The gas-tax "issue" is also an intelligence test for the voters." Wow, this one's got you really mad.
Posted by James TL 01:18 PM, 05/05/2008
What's the point of being knowledgeable? If you have a brain you know that this gas tax holiday isn't going to make any difference. Just like you knew the war in Iraq wouldn't work with much fewer troops than were needed. The people in the Iraq/Iran area have been fighting for hundreds of years. It's not a surprise our ill-planned invasion didn't work. Knowing it was stupid didn't mean you could or can do anything about it. Clinton and McCain know this gas tax holiday is a smart move. Obama knows this won't do any good. Trouble is, telling the truth often isn't the way to go. This is politics--the truth doesn't matter. The republicans learned long ago not to tell the truth or spin it to their advantage. Hillary Clinton acts more like a republican everyday. She'll do anything to win which means agreeing with Bush and McCain on a policy intelligent people (economists) know won't make a difference. You notice how she dismissed those economists, saying basically that they didn't know what they were talking about. Yeah right! Who knows more about the economy than these experts? I suggest to anyone to ignore Clinton and McCain and vote for the candidate of intelligence---Barrack Obama. I doubt this posting will make any difference however but what the hell!
Posted by frankg962 01:30 PM, 05/05/2008
Wasn't it Pogo who said, "We have seen the enemy and it is us" or something like that? Just another example of my never ending disappointment in my fellow citizens
Posted by vc bear 01:41 PM, 05/05/2008
I think it was Huey Long who said the voters get what they deserve. By September the Dem Party will be on its way to the status of the Whig party. Clinton will have been nominated. The Clinton's will have destroyed the Donkey Party. Sad, America needs a two party system badly.
Posted by jeffreyg61 01:42 PM, 05/05/2008
Let's also remember that Obama is in favor of the "windfall tax" which would reduce domestic production and supply of oil, increasing it's price, and make us FURTHER dependent on foreign oil. Also, it would reduce earnings (and most likely value) for the most widely held stock, XOM, and hurt a lot of peoples investments and 401(k). All 3 candidates ought to be ashamed.
Posted by Malachy 02:23 PM, 05/05/2008
Not to nitpick, Dick, but didn't HC say that her proposal called for the oil companies to pay the tax and didn't BO vote for a gas tax holiday 3 times when he was in the Illionois legislature.
Posted by Malachy 02:33 PM, 05/05/2008
Not to nitpick, Dick, but didn't HC say that her proposal called for the oil companies to pick up the tab for the gas holiday and didn't BO vote 3 times in favor of a gas tax holiday when he was in the Illinois legislature?
Posted by LJL 03:20 PM, 05/05/2008
"Let's also remember that Obama is in favor of the "windfall tax" which would reduce domestic production and supply of oil, increasing it's price, and make us FURTHER dependent on foreign oil."........I would suggest you go back an review Economics 101. Everything in that statement is incorrect. A windfall profits tax would have zero effect on domestic production....the tax is on company profits regardless of the origin of the product. Increasing the price on oil would spur development of and use of alternative evergies and REDUCE our dependence on foreign oil. The best thing that could happen would be for XOM's stock to fall precipitously, along with an increase in gas prices. Maybe then the dimwits in this country would understand that there is no magic bullet.
Posted by Fredclaims 03:23 PM, 05/05/2008
Like the others have said "Never OVERestimate the intelligence of the voters". US voters have a stong history of voting AGAINST their own interests.
Posted by p-diddy 04:18 PM, 05/05/2008
I hear McCain wants to give away an XBox to all American citizens this fall. That way all the pro-war armchair warriors can indulge their Iraq fantasies while playing Medal of Honor.
Posted by johngilb 06:29 PM, 05/05/2008
I hope that the super delegates hold this shameless bit of pandering against HRC. If I were a resident of NC or IN, this all by itself would be reason enough for me not to vote for her.
Posted by liberal 09:50 PM, 05/05/2008
Dick, you unfairly truncated Hillary's comment on economists to make it look stupid. According to today's Inquirer, she added the point that elite economists tend to make arguments that invariably end up hurting working people. This is a point worth considering. I'm a professional myself, with a science background, but it's always important to critically assess your assumption that your scientific reasoning is actually objective. In the case of economists, because of their elite status there's a real danger that they will implicitly assume that investor interests are identical with the interests of the economy as a whole, ignoring worker interests.
Posted by stalynx 02:37 AM, 05/06/2008
Didn't Walter Lippmann talk about the so called "bewildered herd"? As a result of your fear of the masses you actively manipulate them in order to avoid their "trampling and roar". The great fallacy of this debate and others like it is either you manipulate the public in order to protect them or the public is too stupid to deserve protection. If anything it shows how dysfunctional our democracy has become and really none of the candidates are going to fix it.
Posted by tom - wilmington, de 08:02 AM, 05/06/2008
I hate to be the contrarian in the group, but there are many fallacies on both sides of this issue. First, while it may save the "average" consumer $30 (calculated by saying the "average" consumer uses about 1 gallon of gas per week), it would also save truck drivers several hundred if not thousands of dollars, it would save drivers with long commutes a few hundred dollars, and it would save farmers also several hundred dollars. So, this tax holiday is not aimed so much at the average consumer as it is the big users. Second, it would not cause 300,000 layoffs (a number I heard on Hardball last night). The tax rebate checks did not cause any layoffs, and if the government budget which is nearly $1 trillion cannot absorb a mere $8-10 billion hit, then something is really wrong. Roads will still get paved, bridges repaired, and nobody will lose their job. This is the sort of scare tactic and fear mongering at which the Democrat party has become so adept. Third, prices will rise regardless, since demand is rising. So saying it will increase demand and cause prices to rise is true with or without this tax holiday. I could not care less if this passed or not, since I can absorb the cost...but more than the "average" consumer cannot. However, it is interesting to hear Obama's cure for the oil problem....tax the oil companies. Nobody is talking about production, refinery building, etc. All we hear is tax "Big Oil", wind, solar, "alternative" or "renewable" energy. Meanwhile, Mexico finds a 6 billion oil field, Brazil finds two...one 8 billion and one 33 billion barrels. America, we import gasoline. Yeah, makes a lot or sense....reduce our dependence by not finding our own.....right.
About Dick Polman

Cited by the Columbia Journalism Review as one of the nation's top political reporters, and lauded by the ABC News political website as "one of the finest political journalists of his generation," Dick Polman is a national political columnist at the Philadelphia Inquirer. He is on the full-time faculty at the University of Pennsylvania, as "writer in residence." Dick has been a frequent guest on C-Span, MSNBC, CNN, NPR and the BBC. He covered the 1992, 1996, 2000, and 2004 presidential campaigns.

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All commentaries posted before April 18, 2008, can be accessed at www.dickpolman.blogspot.com.