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Thursday, May 7, 2009

Maybe now enough time has passed to assess the 76ers coaching situation without the emotional, knee-jerk reaction stemming from that, um, embarrassing end-of-season loss.

I'm as guilty as anyone. Right after that, and with all the drama revealed, it was difficult to see clearly through all the words and counter-words. But it's been almost a week. So let's take a look at the options, the thought process, what might happen. Basically, what I'm saying is this blog is speculation, mixed with a little information. A "little" information because that's all that's out there right now. So take it as such.

Going into the playoff series with the Orlando Magic, and even throughout it, all information, discussion, etc. was pointing towards Tony DiLeo returning this season as the Sixers coach. Throughout the series, DiLeo had his guys executing a very smart defensive game plan against the Magic. Look at the first game against the Boston Celtics the other night ... Yes, Boston is depleted, but that was impressive by Orlando, building that huge lead. But what kind of miscalculations did DiLeo make that led to the Game 6 disaster. Did his belief he didn't need to remind his team to stay focused affect the outcome? Could/Should one game -- albeit an awful, awful game -- impact this decision that much?

Did/Does DiLeo deserve to be retained? This question is littered with X-factors. By the numbers, DiLeo had an above-.500 record (32-27 ... is my math right?) with a team that, before he took over, was 9-14. But then we have the X-Factor: Elton Brand. Was the team's struggle to incorporate him what dragged Cheeks down? Did his injury allow DiLeo to have a better record because he didn't go through figuring out how to win with Brand? Or was Brand's injury -- as Ed Stefanski and Tony DiLeo have suggested -- a blow to the Sixers (and DiLeo's) effectiveness? We just don't know the answer to this question. And because we don't, it's hard to judge DiLeo's effectiveness as coach.

But let's look at the pros and cons for DiLeo. First, because the glass is half full, the pros.

1.) By bringing DiLeo back, you're 100 percent avoiding any in-fighting between coach and management. You're guaranteed to have the energy focused on the vision that DiLeo and Stefanski have -- because they have the same vision. If you believe in that vision, then bringing in an outside guy is quite risky. No matter how detailed the discussion is beforehand, you're risking that halfway through a season, the new coach has developed a different vision. DiLeo is known league-wide as a smart, high basketball IQ guy. And I agree with that assessment. How important is it to have a unified vision? Is it more important than having some new blood who will challenge the thought process? I honestly don't know.

2.) DiLeo did well. Now that we can step back from the 25-point loss. You can't argue that DiLeo had this team playing well, but was it often enough? Like we said, how much of that was caused by circumstances Cheeks wasn't given, we won't know. But the team was 40-35 at one point. There was that 14-4 record before the All-Star break. There were glimpses that the team was advancing.

3.) It's safe. That's not what Sixers fans necessarily want to hear, because it seems imperative to get this thing going in the right direction, right now. But let's look at the alternative: signing someone to a significant, lengthy contract (because goodness you can't go with a 1-year deal at this point). That's a risk of time and money, and money and length doesn't guarantee this guy will do anything more than DiLeo has done.

4.) DiLeo didn't have an entire season as his. Don't underestimate how important it is to go through a training camp with the team. When DiLeo came in he was running another guy's offense and defense. He was picking up midstream with another guy's ideas.

So, with DiLeo, you're getting a solid coach, guaranteed drama-free, little risk, but still with upside because we don't know his vision/touch for integrating Elton Brand.

And now, the cons.

1.) No splash. I don't think it's a stretch to say that the Sixers are currently the 4th most popular franchise in the city right now. They did nothing to inspire excitement going into the offseason, nothing to spark ticket sales. Sticking with DiLeo would continue that trend. The franchise would continue to fly under the radar, with people thinking they were headed for a carbon copy of this past season. You sign someone with a high profile, you make a splash, spark some interest, make it clear you have your long-term guy. That gets people talking, but you've also put yourself on the ledge there. The Elton Brand signing got people talking, sparking interest. It didn't resonate the way it might have.

2.) The players don't seem sold on DiLeo. We know what Theo Ratliff said right after the loss. That was a blow to DiLeo. In speaking with the rest of the team, and with those around the team, the vibe is two-fold. There are those that said all the right things -- that DiLeo should be brought back, he did a good job, etc. -- but there were others, like Iguodala, who seemed less than effusive in their praise. But take all this with a grain of salt. The mentality of NBA players doesn't always seem conducive to accepting blame, but it can often be conducive to distributing blame. How much of that played a part in dumping on DiLeo that night and, slightly, the next day? Ratliff wasn't the only guy questioning hether DiLeo was the right guy, he was just the only one who did it on the record.

3.) These guys need a take-no-prisoners type of coach ... that's what I've heard. Can DiLeo be that kind of coach? We aren't allowed to watch the heart of practice, so who knows what he is saying to guys. Who knows what he is demanding, what mistakes he won't allow. Ratliff said he was lenient, and in watching many of the games, that seems to be a justified position. But the NBA isn't like coaching in college, you can create more problems than you solve by ruling with an iron fist. But how much of an impact did DiLeo's background have on the players? He came from the front office, he hadn't been a head coach for two decades, and that was in another country. It's not hard to see how the players might have scoffed at his authority from the second he stepped into the role. Can DiLeo overcome that? Or must Stefanski bring someone in with the authority from Day 1? 

So what's happening right now? The Sixers are saying nothing is happening yet. And after many calls around the league, to agents, coaches, etc. that seems to be the case. The first thing to happen will be Stefanski and DiLeo sitting down and deciding. That does not seem to have happened yet. It seems both sides have taken a few days to step away. If, when that does happen, the decision is to move DiLeo back to the front office and begin a coaching search, the speculation will begin in earnest. Until then, the speculation will just be luke warm. But here it is. Some names, rumors, reasons for speculation, etc. Remember, this is speculation.

1.) Eddie Jordan, formerly the Washington Wizards coach. He worked with Stefanski while Stefanski was in New Jersey. Thus the connection. Jordan's name has been mentioned for this spot, as well as the Sacramento Kings job.

2.) Jay Wright, coach of Villanova. You couldn't make a bigger splash than hiring Jay Wright from an in-town university fresh off a Final Four appearance.

3.) Doug Collins. The Chicago connection (think, Iguodala), and his reputation as a hard-nosed coach, makes him a top choice.

4.) Avery Johnson. We've heard this name many times.

5.) Jeff Van Gundy. You can't do much better in terms of discipline, focus.

Like we said, it's impossible to nail down candidates because right now the job is still DiLeo's and former NBA coaches, heck all coaches, refuse to step on the toes of a fellow coach -- it's like crossing the picket line.

Soon we'll know more.

--Kate

 

 

Posted by Kate Fagan @ 8:34 AM  Permalink | 46 comments
46
Comments   
Posted 03:05 PM, 05/06/2009
WestPhillyKong
You say that keeping Dileo might be easier because him and Ed share the same vision. Yet, you then say, "When DiLeo came in he was running another guy's offense and defense. He was picking up midstream with another guy's ideas. So, with DiLeo, you're getting a solid coach, guaranteed drama-free, little risk, but still with upside because we don't know his vision/touch for integrating Elton Brand." This is confusing because isn't Ed dictating the Sixers style of play. Frankly, I don't understand why our style of play is so important. It hasn't produced success. So, why stick to it?
Posted 03:19 PM, 05/06/2009
127sixer59
kate: on balance, it seems this team needs a new coaching staff. despite the pros (many of which you pointed out), when it counted most this team seemed lost (after clinching the playoff birth than coasting, giving up home court advantage to the magic, game 6...). yes, dileo overall provided stability and guided them through some nice stretches but in crunch time there were too many breakdowns. not all of it is his fault, as the players just didn't/couldn't produce and after brand and the late season injury to young, the team was weakened. as westphillykong phrased it, this vision hasn't produced results (deep playoff runs)-in large measure due to the players but as we've discussed all season, many of their schemes & strategies seemed doomed to failure. sharing a vision is important but if the vision is flawed (personnel and style), it is important to have some blending of views.
Posted 03:20 PM, 05/06/2009
rbecker1963
Kate...Good analysis there. I would say that the Cons outweigh the Pros and the very fact that this is a very young team, you need to have a "Glue" coach. Of the choices that you have listed I think Jay Wright is the most interesting, however, I can't see Villanova letting the Sixers take him away. Doug Collins and Van Gundy would be 2 and 3 on my list.
Posted 03:30 PM, 05/06/2009
brmorgen81
Jeff Van Gundy would be amazing. Jay Wright would just be another Mo Cheeks. Jeff Van Gundy would really create a buzz and interest in this franchise.
Posted 03:31 PM, 05/06/2009
MTust24
The franchise has been dead since Iverson left. Elton Brand was supposed to make that splash to get everyone excited but once he started off slow he started to look like another Chris Webber. They either need an exciting signing by a coach or a major 3pt shooter that wont be a defensive liability. Im more concerned with the fact that if Iguodala cant develop into an effective two guard, the sixers will eventually need to choose whether he or Thaddeus young is the face of the franchise long term.
Posted 03:38 PM, 05/06/2009
elbobbo
So we keep a coach who has no NBA experience, was called out by the veterans for not holding players accountable and who had a worst winning percentage than the guy he replaced because he's a company man?
Posted 03:44 PM, 05/06/2009
SpottyBalls
I love Jay wright and what he's done at Nova. However, I am not so sure the the pro game is built for him and his methodolody. I also think he likes working with "kids" as opposed to money hungry pros.
Posted 03:45 PM, 05/06/2009
ricky
I don't think Dileo is a bad coach, but I'm not sure he got as much out of the team as he could have. This is a hard thing to judge since the team is so dependent on young players who's play isn't consistent. I think there should have been more of an emphasis on teaching and enhancing specific skills to develop the players and on running specific plays that enhance their scoring. It seems to be a theme that Tony isn't a strong personality coach, and this team probably needs that. The team was too inconsistent on offense and had too many lapses to be considered a disciplined team, even when Miller was running it. In fairness to Tony, there was no man to pass to in the post, so the Sixers never got to see their vision work. Tony might better help the team upstairs as they are going to have to find a few more pieces to make a real contender.
Posted 03:49 PM, 05/06/2009
WestPhillyKong
Elton was not a bad signing. Igs didn't prepare himself to play 2-guard. Hopefully, he's already made 3000 jumpshots of curls and screens since the game 6 debacle. As for our coaching, Dileo pros really seem to duplicate what CHeeks did last year. I mean they were down bad early last year and turned it around. I can't give Dileo credit for especially since they ended the season even worst than they did last season. Our team was horrible from the line, even worst is meaningful situations. I think that goes directly to the coach and discipline. Dileo can't return. Ratliff, the elder statesman, told us straight. He had nothing to gain from saying that. As someone on the radio said, maybe he was coaching the men same way he coached the women's team. Also, what I never really saw from Dileo that I see from every decent coach was when players would come off the floor he never said anything to them. Usually, when guys get subbed they are often talked to on the way to the bench to either point out mistakes or give encouragement. I don't recall ever seeing this from Dileo. Cheeks did it everytime. We're too young to not have a hands on-coach.
Posted 04:10 PM, 05/06/2009
JBP
Ed used this year to better understand this team...Tony allowed him that opportunity and he is deserving of appreciation for jumping in mid-season. Ed now must realize that he needs a top-notch coach to COMMAND THE RESPECT OF THE PLAYERS AND THE FANS! DOUG COLLINS WOULD BE A GREAT CHOICE!
Posted 04:14 PM, 05/06/2009
K,M
Good balanced analysis. Di Leo does deserve some credit for being the first sixers coach with a winning record in years. But even before Ratliff spoke up, i had come to a similar conclusion. Now, i think its an open question whether any coach can instill discipline in Dalembert at this late date in his career. (because, lets be honest, that is a big part of what those comments were getting at) So a possible way of addressing this is just biting the bullet and buying him out. But Lou Williams was also guilty of undisciplined play, and Di Leo's own statments about his coaching style dont seem encouraging that he's likely to lay down the law with anyone. Given Lou's contract, (it is larger than Willie's) we can't let him continue to develop bad habits. Speights needs someone who will push him to get tougher on the boards, as will Smith assuming he comes back healthy. Bottom line that these guys need a tough head coach. Preferably with a defensive mentality, because at that end of the day that's what wins in the playoffs. Avery Johnson might be a good choice. I love Jay Wright & he always manages to make great teams with lesser talent, but he's not leaving Nova(this was discussd last year too, and as far as i know he hasn't changed his mind. If he does, hey, give it a shot). I think i could live with a van Gundy or Collins. No Eddie Johnson...His washington teams were not much defensively, and tended to disappoint based on the level of talent he had to work with. I hope they avoid the temptation to make a splash...I'm more interested in seeing something done right than for the sake of making an impression.
Posted 04:14 PM, 05/06/2009
scrapple000
why is tom thibodeau never mentioned as a head coaching candidate? he's the architect of some great defenses, and defense imho, is what this team is really lacking.
Posted 04:23 PM, 05/06/2009
jazztafari
i dont think any coach will make a difference until they sort out this roster. wishful thinking here, but trade iguodala and dalembert for tracy mcgrady and a spare part. mcgrady is going into the last year of his deal and probably won't get resigned. i think houston would jump at a young guy like iguodala to put them among the elite teams, since he'd be the third option behind yao and artest. then thad can play the 3, brand the 4, and speights in the middle. i think iguodala has to go after the way he acted after the playoffs and the fact that 2 years in a row, he hasn't been able to get the job done when it counted most.
Posted 04:38 PM, 05/06/2009
GrownMan86
Sorry, But he did not doing anything different then Cheek. The players started making shoots. Get Avery Johnson and call it a day. Leave Jay Wright at Nova. Jay is a good teacher and will one day win it all at Nova. College coaches to the NBA does not have a great track record.
Posted 04:42 PM, 05/06/2009
WhatNow
At this point I don't give a darn if a flying pig coached the team. Not interested.
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Kate Fagan was, until recently, the all-time leading three-pointer shooter in the University of Colorado women’s basketball program. Her former teammates say that’s because she was also the all-time leading three-point taker in program history. Somewhere along the way, journalism became her passion, and there are those who say that she still likes taking her shots. This is her second season as the 76ers beat writer for The Inquirer. She brings a rare combination of first-hand basketball insight, writing ability and an attitude that fits perfectly in her new hometown.
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