Phil Sheridan: Phillies' Manuel now looks like a genius

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Phil Sheridan: Phillies' Manuel now looks like a genius

Chase Utley's bat must be magic. The moment it connected with A.J. Burnett's fat first-inning fastball, Charlie Manuel's IQ went up 50 points.

One moment, the Phillies' manager was a fool for starting Joe Blanton in Sunday night's Game 4. By the time Utley's three-run blast landed in the right-field seats, Manuel was a genius. His dunce cap had been transported over to the Yankees' dugout and plopped onto the head of Joe Girardi.

A decision that earned Manuel criticism for two days now points the way to a possible Game 7. That doesn't mean it will be easy. The road remains uphill, but at least it is paved after last night's 8-6 victory.

You might say Cliff Lee's performance last night would have been good enough to win Game 4. But the more compelling argument is that Lee did what he did in Game 5 precisely because he was pitching on his normal turn.

It is always easy to second-guess a manager's decision if it doesn't work out. Plenty of people criticized Manuel even before Blanton pitched, but the collective blood pressure spiked after the Phillies lost Game 4. Thing is, the impact of the decision could only be gauged after Lee pitched.

"That doesn't bother me," Manuel said of the criticism. "I've seen it both ways. I've seen it work, and I've seen it not work. If we would have pitched Lee [Sunday] and he would have won, we'd still need to win [Game 5]. That's the way I look at it."

Besides, if Lee is the only Phillies starter who can beat the Yankees, how does it matter whether he won Game 4 or Game 5? They have no chance if someone else doesn't come up big. Once you got past the anxiety attack in the late innings, you could appreciate how amazing Lee's performances have been. These Yankees do not go quietly.

All the supporting evidence you need to appreciate Manuel's decision was on the mound for the Yankees.

Burnett was doing what Lee did not have to do, pitching on short rest. Four nights after embarrassing the Phillies in Game 2 at Yankee Stadium, Burnett was mauled for six runs in two-plus innings of batting practice in Game 5.

"I don't think there was any correlation," Girardi said, and a thousand Yankees fans rushed to their phones to dial up WFAN-AM (660).

Girardi made the calculation that he has three starters he trusts in this World Series - in order, CC Sabathia, Burnett, and Andy Pettitte. Sabathia pitched well but lost Game 1. He was not nearly as dominant in Game 4, even though the Yankees won. The Phillies had Sabathia in trouble a couple of times - most egregiously in the fifth, when the first two batters got on - but failed to take advantage.

So Girardi chose to start a sabotaged Sabathia and a burned Burnett in the fourth and fifth games of the World Series. The gamble paid off because of a fluky three-run ninth inning against Brad Lidge in Game 4 and backfired badly in Game 5.

And now? The Phillies will likely face the 37-year-old Pettitte on short rest tomorrow night and, if they win, Sabathia on three days' rest yet again in Game 7.

Last night, Fox showed a graphic illustrating the risk Girardi took. Since 1999, when one pitcher starts a playoff game on three days' rest against a starter on full rest, the short-resters are 12-36.

A fully rested Pedro Martinez, who was terrific in Game 2, will start Game 6 for the Phillies. It is unknown who would start a potential Game 7: Cole Hamels on a very short leash or J.A. Happ are the likely candidates. The choice here would be Happ, with Lee, Blanton, Chan Ho Park and Brett Myers all prepared to pitch an inning or two if needed.

Yes, Lee. He has been that good, that essential.

"They used to say Spahn and Sain and pray for rain," Manuel said. "We have an off day and maybe it will rain the next day. I'll talk to him about what he thinks, if he can pitch at all."

"As far as my availability," Lee said, "I'm available. I'll be ready to pitch whenever they want me to. If it will help the team win, I'm in."

With an 8-2 lead, Manuel could have improved Lee's chances of pitching Thursday night by taking him out before he got touched for three runs on three hits in the eighth inning.

Of course, there will be plenty of time to rest starting Friday.

Again: The task is far from easy, but anything can happen if you force a Game 7. And you can't force a Game 7 until you force a Game 6.

There was nothing wrong with any of Manuel's decisions in this Series that wouldn't have been cured by the kind of timely hitting the Phillies rode to last year's championship - or by one vintage performance from Hamels.

Thanks to those timely hits, fans were chanting Manuel's name rather than cursing it at this time last year. By sticking with his instincts, Manuel has given his team another chance to make him look smart.

 


Contact columnist Phil Sheridan at 215-854-2844 or psheridan@phillynews.com. Read his recent work at http://go.philly.com/philsheridan.

 

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Posted 07:16 AM, 11/03/2009
Maddy44
we stopped second guessing Uncle Cholly 15-16 months ago;...Blanton, asside from the first inning, pitched well enough to win, Howard and Raul killed us with our RISP futility,....good to see Chan Ho Park making a contribution;...that allows us to save Happ for other decisions....we also have Myers in the mix,...let's not forget about him since we're talking all hands on deck
Posted 07:24 AM, 11/03/2009
dwilly
yes,someone else needs to step up besides Lee, Blanton did his job
Posted 07:31 AM, 11/03/2009
phasor
Charlies looks like a genius? For keeping Lee in too long? Listen Charlie violates his on rule every night. He say Lidges is his closer, but then he closes with Madson. Madson is not a closer and everytime he closes it affects his future 8th inning performances. Madson IS the 8th inning guy. When he knows his plays and pitches there he's awesome. Now I'm worried Madson's confidence is blown for the 8th inning tomorrow. Myers needs to close. Make the smallest change! Park 7th, Madson 8th, Myers close. Lidge should be in Arizona a some pitching clinic right now.
Posted 07:48 AM, 11/03/2009
Dan in Holmesburg
Charlie Manuel is the best manager in Phillies history, but calling him a genius is a big stretch. He made two big managerial blunders to start the 8th inning: leaving Cliff Lee in at 103 pitches with a 6 run lead, and taking Shane Victorino out for Francisco instead of taking Ibanez out for Francisco (Shane was right) which started the almost Yankee rally. We have to be much sharper in that situation with our decision making; there is no margin for error.
Posted 07:48 AM, 11/03/2009
Dan in Holmesburg
Charlie Manuel is the best manager in Phillies history, but calling him a genius is a big stretch. He made two big managerial blunders to start the 8th inning: leaving Cliff Lee in at 103 pitches with a 6 run lead, and taking Shane Victorino out for Francisco instead of taking Ibanez out for Francisco (Shane was right) which started the almost Yankee rally. We have to be much sharper in that situation with our decision making; there is no margin for error.
Posted 07:51 AM, 11/03/2009
SeanHB
Well, both managers are doing a good job managing Both are trying to set up their rotations to win 4 games, not all 7. On paper the Yankees 3 have been better than the Phillies 4. Now we see if the rest/no-rest gamble pays off. The odds favor our friends in The Bronx. Still, the Phillies strategy has gotten them about where any logical game-by-game approach will take them. Hopefully, now the intangibles will kick in... lack of rest catching up with the Petit and CC... a couple gutsy starts from the Old Man and the Rookie of the Year... a timely awakening of Mr. Howard... the Yankees starting to squeeze their bats into sawdust. Stranger things have happened.
Posted 07:55 AM, 11/03/2009
WylieG
"Manuel’s pitching decisions could be a stroke of genius", just like the Teixeira shift when the genius declared that the catcher OR the pitcher should have covered third base; it was a case of miscommunication. Well, which one was it Charlie, the catcher or the pitcher? =============================================================== If you are going to use all your infielders on the right side of the infield with a man on first, you have to take into account the man is going to steal second with Lidge on the mound. So you better make sure whoever is to cover third, knows it. This team has simply been atrocious fundamentally all during the Manuel years. His genius like that of Terry Francona's (you remember him, I presume) stems not from any cerebral endowment, but from the talent of the players they have inherited.
Posted 07:58 AM, 11/03/2009
jingles
Hey Phil, please don't use the word genius and Cholly in the same sentence. It's an oxymoron. He is far from a genius, more like the village idiot. We should be up 3 games to 2. But thanks to his incompetence, we are not.
Posted 07:58 AM, 11/03/2009
umlcoach
A real good reason Charlie looks like a genius is the home plate umpire. In the first inning, there were no less than 5 pitches (balls) that would have been called strikes in Game 2. If AJ didn't get those calls in Game 2, likely would have been a different result.
Posted 08:05 AM, 11/03/2009
kjuggs77
He sure didn't look like a genius after pulling Victorino out of the field in the 8th and then Ibanez dropped/misplayed that ball in left center...
Posted 08:06 AM, 11/03/2009
iladelph
First Ford, now Sheridan. Can we talk about game 6 first?
Posted 08:07 AM, 11/03/2009
FLJERRY
I agree with Dan This game should of been an easy win instead of a nail biter. Manuel I believe screwed this one badly. First of all he should never have taken Victorino out, and it cost him dearly. Francisco would of caught Rodriquez fly ball, and if not would of thrown out ARod at home where Francisco throw was horrible. Another thing with 6 run lead in eigth why even put Lee out there - he could of been saved for 7 game. He had thrown over 100 pitches. If relievers couldn't hold 6 run lead, phils didn;t deserve to win.
Posted 08:12 AM, 11/03/2009
birdfannnj
umlcoach, very astute observation. agree 100%
Posted 08:13 AM, 11/03/2009
bigdog2005
the big piece must step up his game big time and carry this team in game 6, that's the key to that game!! I agree with phasor, Madson is not a closer and belongs in the 8th inning for game 6 and if he allows one batter to reach base, get him out of there...
Posted 08:16 AM, 11/03/2009
jingles
Excellent points WylieG
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