'Experts' must be surprised with Phillies' Game 1 win

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'Experts' must be surprised with Phillies' Game 1 win

NEW YORK - The two home runs by Chase Utley, bolts in the night, pierced the darkness, the mist, and maybe the aura most of all. Because as the proceedings commenced, this was the World Series where all of the experts said they respected the Phillies but almost none of them thought they could win.

The manner of Cliff Lee - get the ball, pitch the ball, quickly, intensely, relentlessly - just wears people down, impressing you physically and maybe intellectually now as well. Because it seems impossible, when you think about it, that a team fronted by this kind of starting pitcher - and a reigning world champion as well - could be so lightly regarded in a series against the Yankees.

RON CORTES / Staff photographer
Alex Rodriguez jokes with Jimmy Rollins at third base in the eighth inning. Rollins would later score.
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Shane Victorino 10/28/09

But, well, what now? The Phillies have snatched the first game of the series, 6-1. They have come into Yankee Stadium and beaten the great CC Sabathia, just as they beat him last year when he was with Milwaukee. They have taken the homefield advantage. They have wobbled the Yankees and their mystique. Oh, and the team that won Game 1 ended up winning the last six World Series.

There are miles to go, yes, but the Phillies have made a defining statement here. The only question is, why could so few people see it coming?

"It's not too relevant to us what other people think," reliever Brad Lidge was saying after the game, not really wanting to engage in the conversation, saying the exact right thing.

"We know what we can do," he said.

It is easy to play the they-don't-get-no-respect card. That isn't what this is meant to be, not exactly. But the expert analysis leading up to the start of this series has been fascinating and mystifying. Never has the title "defending champion," with all of its connotations of excellence and accomplishment, seemed to mean so little.

The Yankees had only one obvious advantage over the Phillies - closer Mariano Rivera - yet 91 percent of the expert types doing the predicting on ESPN.com concluded that the Yankees would win. In case you were counting, that is 21 out of 23 experts. The Phillies match the Yankees bat-for-bat, they have deeper starting pitching, they have more World Series experience, they have been at least as impressive as the Yankees in the postseason so far. The only difference is Rivera and the fact that the Phillies stumbled at the end of the regular season, which seems like about 9 months ago now, yet they can't seem to get any acknowledgment at all.

The predictions were for a great series, for a competitive series, maybe for a classic series, mostly for six or seven games. It all was done in the most respectful of tones. But in the end, almost nobody could see the most clutch team in recent Philadelphia memory pulling out the series in the end.

Such is the power of New York, of the Yankees, of the pinstripes. The history and the legacy are clear and unrivaled, and it is all true. But baseball isn't about history or legacy. It is about two teams in 2009 - because, you know, Babe Ruth is dead. Now the Phillies have the advantage and the Yankees are the team facing the pressure in Game 2.

"Yeah, but I think they're too good a team," centerfielder Shane Victorino said, acknowledging the pressure shift. "I'm not going to say that, oh, no,

they're going to panic. But the pressure is on them, meaning that, hey, they have to come out tomorrow and get a W. But so are we.

"We want to get that W. We want to be up 2-0 and take full advantage of being 2-0 and going back to your home field."

The great dramatic play by Phillies manager Charlie Manuel - Pedro Martinez pitching in Game 2 - now will unfold before us all. Last night was a very Phillies victory: power, pitching, and then a kind of relentless battering at the end. They showed everyone what they are about. It was a very clear picture.

"We got the W," Victorino said. "I can't answer for them and how they felt . . . It's just one game. It's a seven-game series . . . I'm not going to say that, all of a sudden, we've got the momentum on our side. We'll take the W and that's what it's about. They're professionals. They're a good team. They didn't have the best record in baseball for no reason."

And the Phillies do not have that big gold monstrosity in their trophy case for no reason. Someday, maybe soon, this will dawn on people.

Send e-mail to

hofmanr@phillynews.com,

or read his blog, The Idle Rich, at

http://go.philly.com/theidlerich.

For recent columns go to

http://go.philly.com/hofmann.

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Posted 03:32 AM, 10/29/2009
krakatoa
Hope it dawns on them too late...after we get a 2nd big, gold monstosity in our trophy case...maybe. 1 game at a time. Go Pedro!
Comment removed.
Posted 04:39 AM, 10/29/2009
Ashburn072
The thing that is so amazing is that last year the Yankees didn't even make the postseason.. there's probably only 6 or 7 on that team that have World Series experience.. The Yankees won over 100 games, yes.. but if Lidge and Madson had converted half of their combined 18 blown saves, the Phils would have won 100 games as well.. So for practically every 'expert' to pick the Yankees to win the Series is borderline moronic.
Posted 04:39 AM, 10/29/2009
Ashburn072
The thing that is so amazing is that last year the Yankees didn't even make the postseason.. there's probably only 6 or 7 on that team that have World Series experience.. The Yankees won over 100 games, yes.. but if Lidge and Madson had converted half of their combined 18 blown saves, the Phils would have won 100 games as well.. So for practically every 'expert' to pick the Yankees to win the Series is borderline moronic.
Posted 05:30 AM, 10/29/2009
lonewolf 10
rich,they didn't fool me,,i called it last week the PHILLIES SWEEP!! CHASE UTLEY MVP.....................my man.
Posted 05:58 AM, 10/29/2009
Rotcod
This article: My sentiments exactly. It's like when Apollo Creed suddenly realizes that his opponent is not taking the fight as an exhibition. Only Rocky was already champ and somehow everyone forgot that too.
Posted 06:23 AM, 10/29/2009
wildwood guy
Sure wish Puddinhead Jones enjoyed this one.
Posted 06:36 AM, 10/29/2009
Duracorr
Please eliminate the automatic video
Posted 06:47 AM, 10/29/2009
jimmyeagles
A-Rod looked pretty feeble striking out 3 times. I want more of that!!! Go Pedro.
Posted 07:08 AM, 10/29/2009
DR Heller
Thats one. lets not get too excited. Its Pedro time!!!!!!!!! We get two in the Bronx, it might get ugly this weekend in Philly.
Posted 07:15 AM, 10/29/2009
Bob5247
Hey, wildwood guy, I bet more of that 1950 team enjoyed this game. New York took the first three games, winning by one run in each. But for an error by Granny Hamner in the eighth inning of game 3, the Phils would have carried a lead into the ninth and turned the game over to Konstanty. Despite a tired pitching staff, the Whiz Kids gave the mighty Yanks all they could handle. They'll be loving a Phils World Series title.
Posted 07:17 AM, 10/29/2009
paris4053
As a person who scouts baseball for a living, I can't figure out what these so called experts saw to pick the Yankees. CC is one of the most overrated players I've ever seen and I've seen plenty. The Phillies have build an american league club who can play with anybody. This team has absolutley no competition in the national league and they will give any american league squad a series. Book it for at least the next three seasons. The national leagus is horrid!
Posted 07:27 AM, 10/29/2009
Lockyer
This game reminded me of the exact opposite of the Eagles/Raiders game. The Phillies were having a good time. The Yanks seemed tight, playing under the spotlight of the New York media. Sabathia looked like he expected the Phillies to get to him, as they had done before. Now they've got to be inside his head. In the first several innings this smelled like a win. Five minutes into the Raiders game it smelled like the Eagles' annual, "we're disinterested, now we're panicking" loss to a lousy AFC team. If the Phillies win another World Series it will be because they think they should. I wish McNabb had that attitude in NFC Championship games.
Posted 07:36 AM, 10/29/2009
P.H.I
I heard that Jay-Z was pitching and Alicia Keys was closing for the Stankees in Game 2....lmao.Hopefully we can bring it home up 2-0.
Posted 07:37 AM, 10/29/2009
jbarts
The automatic video is an annoyance. Please fix it. The nature of the web is for on-demand content, with the user in the driver's seat. Don't dictate to the user or you'll lose them.
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