Skip to content
Link copied to clipboard

Super Bowl prop bets and picks for Eagles-Patriots

List of proposition bets for Sunday, including the length of the National Anthem, over/unders on individual yardage and odds to win Super Bowl MVP.

The odds of Nick Foles winning Super Bowl MVP are 3-1. Tom Brady is the favorite at 4-5.
The odds of Nick Foles winning Super Bowl MVP are 3-1. Tom Brady is the favorite at 4-5.Read moreYong Kim / Staff

Prop bets are as much a part of Super Bowl Sunday as clever commercials and heartburn from (urp) too much salsa.

They're fun, but they can also be a little too enticing for folks who bet over their heads. The over/under on fumbles lost is 1.5. That number has been over four of the last five Super Bowls. But in the previous five, it was under every time.

Remember, folks, those casinos in Vegas aren't getting any smaller.

Team to score first – Patriots -145; Eagles +125

The Patriots have not scored a single point in the first quarter of the seven Super Bowls in the Belichick/Brady era. Not one. Seven quarters. Seven times shut out. And though the Eagles did not score first in either of their playoff games this year, the +125 line is enough to put up 50 to win 62.50 on the Eagles.

Team to score last – Patriots -135; Eagles +115

This is the annual play made just to keep things interesting. Because I think the Eagles will win, I'm grabbing the Birds to score last. Maybe an Alshon Jeffery touchdown at the final whistle to win it. Now wouldn't that be fun? I'd lay 50 to take home 57.50 on the Eagles.

Game MVP

The quarterbacks, of course, are favored, with Tom Brady at 1-2 and Nick Foles at 3-1. The Eagles' second choice is Jay Ajayi (15-1), but a running back hasn't won the MVP since the Broncos' Terrell Davis in the 1998 game. Since Jeffery is catching the game-winning TD, I'm taking him at 30-1 and will back him up with New England's Danny Amendola at 25-1. I'd throw 20 units on each, and another 20 units on New England cornerback Malcolm Butler at 100-1.

National anthem

The traditional wager here is on the length of time it will take to perform the song. The number is exactly two minutes, so we're going to grab the over, figuring recording icon Pink will stretch it out in honor of local Minneapolis icon Prince. (As rich as these people are, you'd think they'd be able to afford a last name.)

The comprehensive website OddsShark has other anthem-related props, such as the color of Pink's hair, whether she'll be suspended in air at any point and whether she's showing cleavage. Yes is +260 on that one; no is -400. We'll just stick with over 2:00.

Point spread

The only likely way the Eagles get blown out is if Nick Foles has multiple interceptions or the Eagles backs and receivers just start laying the ball on the ground. The Birds were fourth in turnover differential during the regular season, at plus-11. (New England was 11th at plus-6.) Feel comfortable about the Eagles being able to at least hang around, if not win outright. Happily take the 4 or 4.5 points New England is laying for 50 units.

Individual props

*I'm taking over 3.5 receptions for Nelson Agholor. Patriots coach Bill Belichick has a knack for trying to take away a team's strength, which receiving-wise for the Eagles would be Alshon Jeffery or Zach Ertz. Admittedly, Agholor has been quiet in the postseason, but he should be able to get more than three catches Sunday. Interestingly, he'll probably see a lot of former Eagle Eric Rowe, the Patriots' starting nickel corner. Agholor was the Eagles first-round pick in 2015. Rowe was a second-rounder.

*Others: Under Tom Brady's passing yards of 290.5 … Over Dion Lewis rushing yards of 56.5 and rushing attempts of 12.5 … Under 34.5 passing attempts for Nick Foles … Over longest field goal of 48.5 yards. Stephen Gostkowski and Jake Elliott have booming legs and the game's indoors. Throw 20 units on each and buy the wife something nice for Valentine's Day – especially if Malcolm Butler wins the MVP.

Odds & Props

(By Vegas Vic/As of Wednesday evening)

Eagles vs. Patriots/Sunday, 6:30 p.m. (NBC)

At Minneapolis

Point spread: Patriots -4.5 Eagles

Over/Under: 48

Money lines: Patriots -$200 vs. Eagles +$170.
First-half line: Patriots -2.
First-half total: Over/under 24.0.

—————————————————-
Patriots total points: Over/under 27.0.
Eagles total points:  Over/under 21.0.
Patriots total points 1st half: Over/under 13.5.
Eagles total points 1st half:  Over/under 10.5.
Shortest TD: Over/under 1.5  yards.
Longest TD:  Over/under 46.5 yards.
Shortest FG: Over/under 25.5 yards.
Longest FG:  Over/under 48.5 yards.
Total TDs:   Over/under 5.5 INTs.
Total INTs:  Over/under 1.5 INTs.
Total FGs:   Over/under 3.5 FGs.
Total sacks: Over/under 4.5 sacks.
Total punts: Over/under 8.5 sacks.
Total fumbles lost: Over/under 1.5 lost.
Total 1st downs: Over/under 42.5 1st downs.
Total kickoffs: Over/under 11.5 kickoffs.
Total net yards: Over/under 732.5 net yards.
Total points scored by Stephen Gostkowski: Over/under 7.5 points.
Total points scored by Jake Elliot: Over/under 8.5 points.
—————————————————-
How long will it take Pink to sing the national anthem: Over/under 2:00.
Coin toss: Heads -$110 vs. tails -$110.
Will the game go into overtime: No -$800 vs. yes +$550.
Will there be a safety: No -$700 vs. yes +$500.

Team to score first: Patriots -$145 vs. Eagles +$125*
Team to score last:  Patriots -$135 vs. Eagles +$115*

—————————————————-
*Winning Margin Proposition*
—————————————————-
Patriots    *      Winning Margin      *     Eagles*
—————————————————-
3/1         *        1-6  points       *        4/1*
4/1         *        7-12 points       *        8/1*
6/1         *       13-18 points       *       15/1*
10/1        *       19-24 points       *       25/1*
15/1        *       25-30 points       *       50/1*
25/1        *       31-36 points       *       75/1*
50/1        *       37-42 points       *      100/1*
60/1        *       43 or more points  *      125/1*
—————————————————-
*Double Result*
—————————————————-
Patriots lead at halftime & win        *        4/5*
Eagles lead at halftime & win          *        3/1*
Patriots lead at halftime & Eagles win *        8/1*
Eagles lead at halftime & Patriots win *        5/1*
Tied at halftime & Patriots win        *       15/1*
Tied at halftime & Eagles win          *       20/1*
—————————————————-
*First scoring play*
—————————————————-
Patriots touchdown                     *        3/2*
Eagles touchdown                       *        5/2*
Patriots field goal                    *        3/1*
Eagles field goal                      *        4/1*
Patriots safety                        *       50/1*
Eagles safety                          *       50/1*
—————————————————-
*First score of the game*
—————————————————-
Touchdown                              *        1/2*
Field goal                             *        3/2*
Any other score                        *       40/1*
—————————————————-
*First drive result*
—————————————————-
Offensive touchdown                             3/1*
Field goal attempt                              5/1*
Punt                                            4/5*
Any other                                       6/1*
—————————————————-
*Total TDs*
—————————————————-
Over        *           TDs            *      Under*
—————————————————-
1/2         *           4.5            *        3/2*
6/5         *           5.5            *        2/3*
2/1         *           6.5            *        1/3*
—————————————————-
*Total FGs*
—————————————————-
Over        *           FGs            *      Under*
—————————————————-
1/3         *           2.5            *        2/1*
4/5         *           3.5            *        4/5*
2/1         *           4.5            *        1/3*
—————————————————-
*Highest scoring quarter*
—————————————————-
2nd quarter                            *        2/1*
4th quarter                            *        2/1*
3rd quarter                            *        9/2*
1st quarter                            *        5/1*

—————————————————-
*Exact number of TDs*
—————————————————-
TDs                                    *       Odds*
—————————————————-
O                                      *      150/1*
1/2                                    *       15/1*
3/4                                    *        4/1*
5                                      *        3/1*
6                                      *        3/1*
7                                      *        4/1*
8                                      *        5/1*
9                                      *       15/1*
10                                     *       20/1*
11 or more                             *       25/1*
—————————————————-
*Exact number of FGs*
—————————————————-
FGs                                    *       Odds*
—————————————————-
O                                      *       10/1*
1                                      *        6/1*
2                                      *        4/1*
3                                      *        3/1*
4                                      *        3/1*
5                                      *        9/2*
6                                      *        8/1*
7                                      *       15/1*
8                                      *       30/1*
9 or more                              *       50/1*
—————————————————-
*How many yards is the first touchdown of the game*
—————————————————-
Distance                               *       Odds*
—————————————————-
0 yards                                *       35/1*
1-7 yards                              *        7/5*
8-15 yards                             *        4/1*
16-25 yards                            *        9/2*
26-39 yards                            *        5/1*
40-59 yards                            *        8/1*
60-79 yards                            *       12/1*
80-95 yards                            *       15/1*
96 yards or more                       *       15/1*
No touchdown                           *       75/1*

Individual Props

Total passing yards for Tom Brady:
Over/under 290.5 yards*
—————————————————-
Total completions for Tom Brady:
Over/under 26.5 completions*
—————————————————-
Total pass attempts for Tom Brady:
Over/under 39.5 attempts*
—————————————————-
Total TD passes for Tom Brady:
Over/under 2.5 TDs*
—————————————————-
Longest completion for Tom Brady:
Over/under 40.5 yards*

—————————————————-
Total passing yards for Nick Foles:
Over/under 271.5 yards*
—————————————————-
Total completions for Nick Foles:
Over/under 23.5 completions*
—————————————————-
Total pass attempts for Nick Foles:
Over/under 34.5 attempts*
—————————————————-
Total TD passes for Nick Foles:
Over/under 1.5 TDs*
—————————————————-
Longest completion for Nick Foles:
Over/under 37.5 yards*
—————————————————-
Total rushing yards for Dion Lewis:
Over/under 56.5 yards*
—————————————————-
Total rushing attempts for Dion Lewis:
Over/under 12.5 attempts*
—————————————————-
Total rushing yards for Jay Ajayi:
Over/under 58.5 yards*
—————————————————-
Total rushing attempts for Jay Ajayi:
Over/under 14.5 attempts*

—————————————————-
Total rushing yards for LeGarrette Blount:
Over/under 41.5 yards*
—————————————————-
Total rushing attempts for LeGarrette Blount:
Over/under 9.5 attempts*
—————————————————-
Total receiving yards for Rob Gronkowski:
Over/under 77.5 yards*
—————————————————-
Total receptions for Rob Gronkowski:
Over/under 5.5 receptions*
—————————————————-
Total receiving yards for Danny Amendola:
Over/under 57.5 yards*
—————————————————-
Total receptions for Danny Amendola:
Over/under 5.5 receptions*
—————————————————-
Total receiving yards for Brandin Cooks:
Over/under 61.5 yards*
—————————————————-
Total receptions for Brandin Cooks:
Over/under 4.5 receptions*
—————————————————-
Total receiving yards for Chris Hogan:
Over/under 32.5 yards*
—————————————————-
Total receptions for Chris Hogan:
Over/under 2.5 receptions*
—————————————————-
Total receiving yards for Zach Ertz:
Over/under 62.5 yards*
—————————————————-
Total receptions for Zach Ertz:
Over/under 5.5 receptions*
—————————————————-
Total receiving yards for Alshon Jeffery:
Over/under 59.5 yards*
—————————————————-
Total receptions for Alshon Jeffery:
Over/under 4.5 receptions*
—————————————————-
Total receiving yards for Nelson Agholor:
Over/under 42.5 yards*
—————————————————-
Total receptions for Nelson Agholor:
Over/under 3.5 receptions*
—————————————————-
Total receiving yards for Torrey Smith:
Over/under 35.5 yards*
—————————————————-
Total receptions for Torrey Smith:
Over/under 3.5 receptions*
—————————————————-

Odds to win the SUPER BOWL MVP
—————————————————-
Player                                    *    Odds*
—————————————————-
Tom Brady                                 *     1/2*
Nick Foles                                *     3/1*
Dion Lewis                                *    12/1*
Jay Ajayi                                 *    15/1*
Rob Gronkowski                            *    15/1*
Zach Ertz                                 *    20/1*
Brandin Cooks                             *    20/1*
Danny Amendola                            *    25/1*
Fletcher Cox                              *    30/1*
Alshon Jeffery                            *    30/1*
James White                               *    40/1*
Rex Burkhead                              *    50/1*
LeGarrette Blount                         *    50/1*
Nelson Agholor                            *    50/1*
Chris Hogan                               *    60/1*
Stephen Gostkowski                        *    75/1*
Malcolm Butler                            *   100/1*

—————————————————-
*Odds to score the first TD*
—————————————————-
Player                                    *    Odds*
—————————————————-
Rob Gronkowski                            *     6/1*
Dion Lewis                                *     8/1*
Zach Ertz                                 *     9/1*
Brandin Cooks                             *    10/1*
Jay Ajayi                                 *    10/1*
James White                               *    12/1*
Rex Burkhead                              *    12/1*
Danny Amendola                            *    12/1*
LeGarrette Blount                         *    15/1*
Chris Hogan                               *    15/1*
Alshon Jeffery                            *    15/1*
Nelson Agholor                            *    20/1*
Torrey Smith                              *    25/1*
Tom Brady                                 *    40/1*
Nick Foles                                *    75/1*

Looking for a longshot for Super Bowl MVP? Fletcher Cox, No. 91, is 30-1.

Get insights on the Eagles delivered straight to your inbox with Early Birds, beat writer Zach Berman's newsletter for Eagles fans. Click here to sign up.