A healthy Vick gives the Eagles a slim victory over the Giants
Giants (+6) over EAGLES
We have some history to guide us in this rematch, actually pretty recent history, when the Birds beat the Giants up in New Jersey, 36-21, 3 weeks ago. Michael Vick was injured in that game, but expects to lace them up Sunday. Nick Foles suffered a concussion Sunday against the Cowboys, which brought rookie Matt Barkley and three interceptions into the game. If Vick is totally healed, it should be a winning afternoon for Gang Green, but if they have to go to Barkley ay any point . . . Uh-oh! One 23-7 victory over the Vikings does not tell me that the New Yorkers are back, but after looking at some of the pathetic numbers the Eagles have posted, it's impossible to lay the points. The Birds have not won a game at the Linc since September of last season (0-9). They are 6-16-1 against the spread in front of the crazies, and even worse, are working on an 0-8-1 run as a favorite. A healthy Vick should post the W, but not the cover. Gonna say Eagles by a bucket.
Washington (+13) over BRONCOS
Welcome home, Mike Shanahan. After a spectacular run in Denver from 1995-2008, with back-to-back Super Bowl titles, Shanahan comes back to the Mile High City as a big, fat, double-digit underdog. Once again, no need to trot out the laundry list of Peyton Manning's video-game stats, but do have to alert you to his bum ankle. While Manning is not a running QB, he is able to dance around pretty good in the pocket. If the ankle is a problem (he missed practice Wednesday), that's trouble. Peyton was banged around by the Colts on Sunday (four sacks, 10 hits), and if he should go down, anyone know who the backup is? . . . I'll wait . . . Still waiting . . . OK, it's Brock Osweiler, who has thrown exactly seven passes and completed four for a grand total of 22 yards. The Broncos have the worst pass defense in the NFL, RGIII is starting to heat up (102.5 passer rating Sunday), and Shanahan wants this one, real bad! That's enough to make this my Best Bet.
SAINTS (-11) over Bills
Kinda love what New Orleans has done after bye weeks. The Saints ripped off four straight wins - straight up and against the spread - while outscoring the opposition, 166-98. That's an average margin of 17 points per game, more than enough to cover a pair of ones. Also love what N.O. has done inside the Superdome with Sean Payton at the controls. The Saints are on a ridonkulous 12-0 run against the spread, with an average winning margin of 21.6 ppg.
Steelers (-2) over RAIDERS
At 2-4, Pittsburgh is looking up at the rest of the NFC North, but at least there are some signs of life. The Steelmen have won and covered two in a row, and the hat trick is only 60 minutes away. Why? History, baby! Oakland has been pretty sad the last decade overall, but after the bye week, it's brutal. Like 0-10 brutal . . . and getting outscored by 271-139 brutal. That translates to a hair over 13 points per game, which translates to an easy W for Steel.
Seahawks (-11) over RAMS
Now that QB Sam Bradford is lost for the season with a knee injury, St. Louis will turn to backup Kellen Clemens. He didn't sound very excited about it. "Somebody's got to play," said Clemens, who has a 62.2 career passer rating in 31 games. "So I'll go out there and do the best job I can." Throw in Seattle's spectacular 14-2 run against the Rams since 2005, and the 'Hawks should have no trouble covering the double-digit spread.
Jets (+6.5) over BENGALS
With Geno Smith acting like anything but a rookie, the New Yorkers from the AFC have covered four of the last five as an underdog. And since Cincy's average winning margin is just a little more than four points per game, gotta fly with the Jets.
Packers (-9) over VIKINGS
Minnesota is using its fourth quarterback in the last five weeks, while Aaron Rodgers is heading for another Pro Bowl. And then you have Green Bay with a superb spread record against the NFC North, covering seven of the last eight.
49ERS (-16.5) over Jaguars (London)
If the NFL wants to show off its product, why in the world would you send Jacksonville?
LIONS (-3) over Cowboys
Detroit is a little healthier for this matchup, and should be a little bit better.
CHIEFS (-7) over Browns
Another week, another QB for Cleveland. This week, it's Jason Campbell. Advantage, Andy and KC.
Dolphins (+6.5) over PATRIOTS
In the last three games, New England has lost by seven, won by three and lost by three. This week, Pats by three . . . again.
CARDINALS (-2.5) over Falcons
If Atlanta struggled with 0-6 Tampa in a 31-23 win last week, then it makes sense that the Falcs are gonna flop in Arizona.