Chip should get first win at Linc over Cowboys
EAGLES (-3) over Cowboys
This kinda smells like the late 1980s. I'm seeing Buddy Ryan and Tom Landry glare daggers at each other. Seeing Randall Cunningham fake a kneel down with the Eagles up 10, toss a bomb into the end zone, get the pass interference call, then score a TD. Glory days, baby! OK, the rivalry might not be at that level, but hey, this is for first place in the NFC "Least." And Chip Kelly still does not have a win at the Linc, so we're expecting great things on Sunday. The Birds have the third-best offense in the NFL, with the No. 1 rushing offense, led by LeSean McCoy. The rushing part is gonna be a little easier with Dallas already missing Anthony Spencer and DeMarcus Ware going down. Then you have the Cowboys running game taking a huge hit with DeMarco Murray out. This adds up to a comfortable W for the Green, and since Double V is hitting 83% on the Birds against the spread, take this to the bank.
LIONS (-2.5) over Bengals
Last season, Detroit finished up at 4-12. This season, the Lions have already matched their win total, jumping out to a 4-2 record and, tied for first place with the Bears in the NFC North. Why the dramatic about-face? New coach? Nah. New QB? Nah. New scheme? Not really. The answer fits into a very neat little envelope, and it's only one word: turnovers! In 2012, Detroit had 17 takeaways the entire season. The defense has recorded 13 after only six games. And now Motown has a new weapon: a basketball-playing tight end. Joseph Fauria (he hooped in high school) snagged three TD passes last week. Ex-hoopsters make fabulous targets and are very tough to match up with. Think of the great Tony Gonzalez, or Antonio Gates in San Diego, or Jimmy Graham in New Orleans, or Julius Thomas in Denver. You get my drift. Throw Megatron, WR Calvin Johnson into the mix, and Matthew Stafford is gonna have a party, making this my Best Bet.
CHIEFS (-6) over Texans
Just found out that Houston QB Matt Schaub is out, and will be replaced by Case Keenum. The kid had a spectacular career at the University of Houston, leaving as the NCAA leader in passing yards, touchdowns and completions. But he's playing with the big boys now - the undefeated big boys - who lead the NFL with 31 sacks. KC and Andy Reid have gotta be the "feel good" story of the NFL season, sitting at 6-0 after a pathetic 2-14 effort in 2012. Make it 7-0.
WASHINGTON (-1) over Bears
Look at 1-4, Washington's record, and it's "ugly." If it turned into 1-5, that would climb the ladder to "brutal." However, with a victory, and a 2-4 record, anything is possible in the division we have nicknamed the "NFC Least." Can't do much better offensively than last week. Robert Griffin III and his offense outgained Dallas last week by over 200 yards, 433-213. Of course, those dreaded turnovers were the reason for the 31-16 loss. RGIII gets win No. 2.
COLTS (+7) over Broncos
Let's tune out all the ambient noise - yeah, I can use big words too - and focus on how solid Andrew Luck is. We know all about Peyton, so no need to go over his bonafides. Luck and his Horseshoes know how to get up for the big games. Just look at their 27-7 win at San Francisco, and a 34-28 victory against Seattle in Indy. Of course, both Luck and Manning will be trying to prove something, and we can see Peyton walking off with the W, but at plus-7, the cover goes to the kid.
FALCONS (-7) over Buccaneers
Two straight losses at home for Atlanta was a shock to the system, but coming off the bye week, the Falcons should have no trouble against a Tampa team that has covered only two of its last 11.
GIANTS (-3) over Vikings
If the New Yorkers can't beat a Minnesota team that is using its third QB in the last 4 weeks (giving Tampa reject Josh Freeman his first start), then the Big Blue needs to pack up and leave the building.
JETS (+4) over Patriots
Tom Brady beat the New Yorkers, 13-10, up in New England, and we expect a field goal to be the final margin once again.
Chargers (-7.5) over JAGUARS
Jacksonville lost to Denver by only 16 points. Now, all of the Jags losses have been by double digits.
DOLPHINS (-7.5) over Bills
We do not believe that Thaddeus Lewis has another miracle back-door cover in his bag of tricks.
Rams (+6.5) over PANTHERS
Carolina has covered only two of the last eight as a favorite, while St. Loo has covered 12 of the last 18 as a 'dog.
49ers (-4) over TITANS
San Fran is on a 3-0 run, and is very strong outside of the NFC West, covering 11 of the last 15.
Browns (+10.5) over PACKERS
Injuries gotta catch up to Green Bay eventually, and this week is definitely eventually.
Ravens (+2) over STEELERS
Even with a cover last week, Pittsburgh's recent spread numbers (three of the last 13) are horrible.