Eagles (-14) over RAIDERS: Gotta be the Birds by at least 20. The numbers on each side are so dramatically opposite that anything less than a three-TD bulge would be shocking. Start with the quarterbacks. Donovan McNabb came back Sunday and hit on 16 of 21 for 264 yards, three TDs, and a ridiculous passer rating of 157.2. Oakland's JaMarcus Russell is also ridiculous, actually, make that pathetic. Sunday, Russell was only 8-for-13 for 100 yards, and had three fumbles. And when you have QB numbers in the 40s, like a 42.1 percent completion ratio and a 47.1 passer rating, it ain't good. Now you look at the weapons, and the Eagles are loaded. Brian Westbrook is a given, but with Jeremy Maclin gobbling up 142 yards on six receptions with 2 TDs, defenses have no idea where to turn. DeSean Jackson? Brent Celek? Since the Raiders have covered only three of the last 11 at home, Double V has gotta make the Birds a Double B, as in Best Bet.
Chiefs (+6) over REDSKINS: Could the schedule makers have been kinder to Washington? After opening against the Giants, the Redskins have played four winless teams. They barely beat St. Louis (9-7), lost to Detroit (19-14), squeezed past Tampa (16-13), then lost to Carolina (20-17). Just 2-2 against teams that were a combined 0-9. Yuck! Now the 'Skins get another winless team - amazingly! - and if they win - which is in doubt - it ain't gonna be by more than a FG. Kansas City wants to avoid the first 0-6 start in franchise history and will bring all the guns to the table. Matt Cassel is one of those guns, and his effort against the Cowboys in the closing minutes Sunday was very solid, and we would take him over Jason Campbell every day of the week. How about this little gem: Washington comes into this game with an ugly 1-7 spread mark at home the last eight, and is a working on an 0-9 streak against the AFC. Not best bet-solid, but close.
Texans (+5) over BENGALS: Like the fact that Houston never gave up against Arizona after dropping into a 21-0 hole in the first half. Matt Schaub was 35-for-50 for 371 yards and two TDs, and is third in the NFL with 1,418 air yards, and tied for second in TDs (10). The Texans have done some fabulous spread work, covering nine of the last 11 on the road coming off a road game. And since Cincy has covered only three of the last 13 as a favorite, we're all systems go with Houston.
JAGUARS (-9) over Rams: Expected more from Jacksonville last week. The Jaguars were coming off a 37-17 blowout against the Titans, then never showed up at Seattle, getting bageled, 41-0. This week, the Jags get healthy again because St. Louis is in town. Leaving the Rush Limbaugh circus alone, all you have to know about the Rams is, they have scored a grand total of seven points in three road games. If Jax can't whip a team that averages 2.3 ppg, it's time to close up shop.
SAINTS (-3) over Giants: Nice. You have 4-0 (New Orleans) at home, against 5-0 (New York) on the road. Both teams are also perfect against the spread. So where's the edge? Take a look at whom the New Yorkers played to get to 5-0, and you see an Oakland, a Kaycee, a Tampa, a Dallas and a Washington. Combined record: 6-19. At least New Orleans has played two solid teams (Eagles and Jets). And love the Saints' 8-1 spread record at home the last year and change.
STEELERS (-14) over Browns: Cleveland has covered only three of the last 14 overall, and with an astounding 3.75 ppg average on the road the last four times out, ya gotta think that Pittsburgh bolts into the winner's circle by at least three TDs.
FALCONS (-3) over Bears: Atlanta is a sweet 9-1 at home under Mike Smith (7-3 vs. the spread), and with a national TV audience watching, Matt Ryan and his crew are gonna jump on this Chicago team, which has won only two of its last seven on the road.
VIKINGS (-3) over Ravens: Baltimore hasn't shown well against teams with winning records, so we'll stay on the Original Purple side.
Panthers (-3) over BUCCANEERS: Run as fast as you can to any other game on the NFL slate. This is a true stinker.
Lions (+14) over PACKERS: Green Bay is on an 0-4 spread run as a favorite of eight points or more.
Cardinals (+3) over SEAHAWKS: Arizona has covered six of the last eight on the road, and 75 percent is good enough for me.
JETS (-9) over Bills: Buffalo's averaging 6.6 points per game the last three times out just ain't gonna get it done at the Meadowlands.
PATRIOTS (-9) over Titans: Among other things, Bill Belichick's club is on a 6-1 run coming in off a loss.
CHARGERS (-3) over Broncos: San Diego is on a 6-0 spread roll against Denver, and after a huge win over New England, the Broncs gotta throw in a clunker.