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Report: Phillies offered Ichiro $14 million

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122 comments

Report: Phillies offered Ichiro $14 million

POSTED: Thursday, December 13, 2012, 12:45 PM

Which outfielder is the best fit for the Phillies?
Michael Bourn
Raul Ibanez
Cody Ross
Nick Swisher
Someone else

Ichiro Suzuki was rejuvenated by a mid-season trade to New York, and he will remain a Yankee with an agreement forthcoming, believed to be for one year. But, according to a report by ESPN.com's Buster Olney, Ichiro may turn down more money and a longer guarantee from the Phillies.

Olney reported the Phillies offered Ichiro a two-year, $14 million contract. The New York Times also reported strong Phillies interest. Charlie Manuel has long been an admirer of Ichiro. He would have probably batted leadoff in the Phillies lineup and played right field.

The offer is surprising for a few reasons, most notably, Ichiro is not the prototypical corner outfielder the Phillies require. He's 39 and posted the lowest on-base percentage of his career (.307) in 2012. He has a career slugging percentage of .419. (Although, in a small sample size, he slugged .454 with the Yankees in 240 plate appearances.) He led all of baseball in hits for five straight seasons from 2006-10.

Pat Gillick, special assistant to Ruben Amaro Jr., has a long-standing relationship with Ichiro and his agent, Tony Attansio, from his Seattle days.

A lineup with Ichiro would have theoretically resembled this:

1. Ichiro 9
2. Michael Young 5
3. Chase Utley 4
4. Ryan Howard 3
5. Carlos Ruiz 2
6. Jimmy Rollins 6
7. Domonic Brown/Darin Ruf 7
8. Ben Revere 8

The reported offer tells us four things:

1. The Phillies are turned off by the demands of the top corner outfielders on the market, Josh Hamilton, Nick Swisher and Cody Ross. This has long been the sentiment of rival executives, who had predicted a splash from Ruben Amaro Jr., only for silence to persist. The Phillies are wary of any commitment longer than three years to a player over 30, and in some cases, that is too long. Hamilton is seeking upward of five years. Swisher could net at least four years. And Ross is reportedly looking for three years.

2. The power must come from Utley and Howard. The Phillies are attempting to augment the middle of their lineup with hitter who put the ball in play. Young and Revere are not high on-base guys. Neither is Ichiro (in recent years). But Young and Ichiro are career .300 hitters and Revere reached .294 as a 24-year-old centerfielder. While there is a veritable lack of power on the corners, they are banking on production from Utley and Howard.

3. Had Ichiro signed, the Phillies would possess approximately $13 million to spend for 2013. With three new acquisitions for the lineup, the remaining funds could have been directed toward pitching upgrades. Amaro has stated he wants a "low-risk, high-reward" fifth starter. He could have aimed higher there and still had money for a veteran setup man.

4. They value the 16th overall pick in June's draft. This is an under-reported element of the winter's happenings. That pick is the highest for the Phillies since 2001. If they sign Hamilton or Swisher, they would forfeit that pick. They would also forfeit the bonus money that is tied to that pick, which drains their overall money pool for signing all drafted players under the new CBA. That pick holds great value considering all of the minor-league talent Amaro has dealt in the last three years.

Whatever the case, Amaro has stressed his need to be "creative" this winter. The reported Ichiro offer certainly falls in that category, for better or worse.


Have a question? Send it to Matt Gelb's Mailbag.

122 comments
Comments  (122)
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:08 PM, 12/13/2012
    Relying on Utley and Howard to provide power is very risky. I sincerely believe that both of these previously stellar players are finished. Utley's knees are not going to improve radically and Howard will NEVER regain his ability to see and hit a baseball. Good luck with that 16th draft pick, sure hope he is big and strong.
    billtfla
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 3:35 PM, 12/13/2012
    And you can say this because, as an actuary, you have studied this sort of thing intensely for insurance companies, right?
    GOOD GRIEF!
    BEMiller
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:10 PM, 12/13/2012
    Ichiro turned down Amaro and all that green because this is Philadelphia. Once you go to Japan, Philadelphia begins to resemble the almost-third-world cesspool it really is. Ichiro signing here would have been the equivalent, for him, of taking a job in Haiti.
    Edward Creed
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 2:26 PM, 12/13/2012
    I lived in Tokyo for a year back in the '90s, and while I enjoyed my time there very much, I wouldn't romanticize the place the way you do. Tokyo doesn't have the street crime problem that Philly does, but it is largely a gray, cheaply built, unattractive city. A Japanese ballplayer living in Center City Philadelphia might well prefer that urban environment to Tokyo's. The one big drawback I see in attracting Japanese baseball stars here is that -- unlike San Francisco, Seattle or New York -- Philly doesn't have much of a Japanese community or cultural presence (restaurants!).
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 3:28 PM, 12/13/2012
    You're going to wind up with a bad rep if you continue to make sense on these boards!
    In the main, Philly is about like other major cities--ALL OVER!
    The big drawback in being able to sign Japanese players is, I've always thought, nothing except the lack of an ethnic Japanese community.
    From what I see of Tokyo the main attraction would be a wealth of "neon" that virtually puts the Vegas strip to shame!
    BEMiller
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 4:12 PM, 12/13/2012
    I'll give you that there isn't a huge Japanese population akin to the west Coast but i will also bet that Seattle doesn't have a Japanese restaurant as good as Morimoto. And by the way, Morimoto is not an american creation, he is even more famous and respected in Japan. There are also at least 4 other great japanese restaurants in Philly. Philly also has a great Asian presence overall with Korean, Chinese and Vietnamese restaurants. When you take the whole restaurant scene as a whole and not just Japanese, Philly is a huge upgrade over Seattle.
    UncleStosh
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:18 PM, 12/13/2012
    utley and howard are washed up. if you are relying on them for power, you are in trouble.
    zwarte piet
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:21 PM, 12/13/2012
    Ichiro is about 50, right?
    orange rhino
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:23 PM, 12/13/2012
    Swisher works !
    NewMick314
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:24 PM, 12/13/2012
    What is Amaro's obsession with old men? If this report is true, Amaro should be looking for another job. He is really making this a team that is hard to root for.
    wo_fat
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:28 PM, 12/13/2012
    @Edward, I am sure Japan has no ghetto right? Tell me one city in the world that does not have some shady neighborhoods?
    penncrow19
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:29 PM, 12/13/2012
    I studied in Tokyo, Creed, and I still love Philadelphia.
    cloudkitt
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:30 PM, 12/13/2012
    relying on Utley? the phils are doomed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:35 PM, 12/13/2012
    "Young and Revere are not high on-base guys" ...sounds like more useless trash from the Clueless Rube... ocntinue to put "hope" in overpaid former "names" whom you know going in are washed-up and injured and just blame it on "nonproduction" and "injuries" ..what a boob
    warbiscuit
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 4:01 PM, 12/13/2012
    Yes Revere is overpaid former names washed-up and injured. Dope idiot moron loser tool
    DogBiscuitthedope


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