Posted: Thursday, December 2, 2010, 11:37 AM | 35 comments |
 
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UPDATE, 4:21 p.m. -- As expected, the Phillies have tendered contracts to both Ben Francisco and Kyle Kendrick, meaning both will get to work out deals with the club or have their salary decided by an arbitration panel.

^

Nine years ago today, Enron filed for Chapter 11 Bankruptcy protection, capping one of the most prodigious falls in American corporate history, not to mention forcing the Astros to change their stadium name from the Paper Shredder to the Juice Box. A decade later, Enron Field is nothing but a memory, and business is pretty damn good in baseball. That really has nothing to do with what you are about to read, but whatever. . .

Today is the non-tender deadline in major league baseball, meaning teams must offer contracts to their arbitration-eligible players by midnight, or those players will become free agents.

The Phillies only have two such players -- right fielder Ben Francisco and righthander Kyle Kendrick -- and neither are strong candidates to be non-tendered. The Phils could theoretically save some money -- maybe a couple million bucks -- by non-tendering Kendrick. But the starting pitching market is really weak this year, and $2 million or whatever Kendrick would make through arbitration really isn't a horrible price to pay for pitching depth, even if the Phils anticipate Vance Worley pushing Kendrick for the No. 5 spot in the rotation.

Francisco, meanwhile, could see his playing time increase next season if Jayson Werth ends up signing elsewhere. Francisco has just 301 plate appearances since joining the Phillies in the Cliff Lee trade in July of 2009. But he has posted decent numbers when called upon: .272/.323/.471, .794 OPS, 9/13 stolen bases, 41 RBI. He also hit lefties very well last season, posting a .901 OPS with six home run in 96 plate appearances.

Assuming they are tendered today, Francisco and Kendrick would not find out their 2011 salaries until somtime after Jan. 5, when the arbitration filing period begins.

^

Jayson Werth has already been offered arbitration, and he has declined, meaning the Phillies will be able to recoup a couple of draft picks -- likely a pick in the first round and one in the supplemental round, which falls between the first and second round -- if Werth signs elsewhere.

It's better than nothing, of course. But the package really isn't as sexy as it sounds.

Granted, there are some big names who have been drafted with free agent compensation picks. Among them: Adam Wainwright, Jacoby Ellsbury, David Wright, Chris Coghlan, Joba Chamberlain and Phil Hughes. 

But they are the exceptions.

Of the 56 first-round compensation picks between 1999-2007, 32 ended up making the major leagues, and three went on to become All-Stars.

Of the 140 supplemental-round compensation picks during that same time period, 61 played in the majors and four became All-Stars.

For every Jacoby Ellsbury and Kyle Drabek there is a Billy Traber and Chris Bootcheck.

^

Add another left-handed reliever to the already bustling market. According to Gordon Edes of ESPN, the Red Sox will not offer a contract to Hideki Okajima, who struggled last year after three strong seasons in Boston.

From 2007-09, Okajima averaged 66 appearances per season with a 2.72 ERA, 8.3 K/9, 2.9 BB/9 and 0.9 HR/9. Last year, he appeared in 56 games, posting a 4.50 ERA, 6.5 K/9 and 3.9 BB/9.

Righties killed him last season (.936 OPS, 4 home runs in 100 at-bats), but he wasn't exactly dominant against lefties, who hit .284/.357/.375 with two home runs and a .732 OPS in 88 at-bats. That's a far cry from the previous three seasons, when lefties managed a .467 OPS in 2009, .547 OPS in 2008 and .648 OPS in 2007.

Okajima, who turns 35 on Dec. 25, earned a base salary of $2.75 million last season.

The Phillies have had reported interest in Reds lefty Arthur Rhodes and Mets lefties Pedro Feliciano and Hisanori Takahashi. Lefty Scott Downs was offered arbitration by the Blue Jays, making him an unlikely candidate since the Phils would have to part with a first-round draft pick. Two other right-handed relievers accepted arbitration: Rangers set-up man Frank Francisco and the Blue Jays' Jason Frasor.
 

Posted by David Murphy @ 11:37 AM  Permalink | 35 comments
35
Comments   
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:36 AM, 12/02/2010
    What...no quotes from John Milton today...
    stan the man too
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:43 AM, 12/02/2010
    So...Scott Downs is now ambidextrous...
    stan the man too
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:56 AM, 12/02/2010
    Speaking of Philadelphia sports fans, Milton said, "Give me the liberty to know, to utter, and to argue freely according to conscience, above all liberties." (Areopagitica, 1644).
    smel4727
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:00 PM, 12/02/2010
    2 million dollars to kyle kendrick is an OUTRAGE. he is not a major league pitcher - guys like him a truly a dime a dozen. go with worley or another youngster with some upside, and put the 2 mil into the bullpen and/or into strengthening the bench.
    CosmoK
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:08 PM, 12/02/2010
    Arthur Rhodes??? Can't be serious. Yea last year was his best, but do we really need another 50yr old pitcher?
    trashman
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:15 PM, 12/02/2010
    now why did you have to go and throw Bootcheck under the bus like that...
  • Comment removed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:21 PM, 12/02/2010
    I live in New England and see the Red Sox a fair amount. We don't want anything to do with Okajima. He has a weird and distracting delivery, which helped him for a short time in the AL. But the hitters have caught onto that now and his stuff is very hittable -- straight fastball in the upper 80s and no really dramatic off-speed pitch. He was really pounded last season and injuries had nothing to do with it. With Kendrick, a lot of teams would jump on him for $2 million per. He could be a 4th or 5th starter on many losing clubs. Plus, we need to keep his new wife in the stands as much as possible.
    eman
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:24 PM, 12/02/2010
    The Phils paid Moyer 9 million last year so 2 mill isn't outrageous for KK. I don't think he's anything special but you do need depth as the season goes on and at least KK has showed he can pitched a decent game every now and then. I hope Worley can win the job cleanly but if he can't or if someone goes down KK is an adequate fill in. Unless you people want to see if Joe Roa is still available.
    youpeoplehaveissues
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:25 PM, 12/02/2010
    Yea Arthur Rhodes is exactly what we need. I wonder if we can get Jose' Mesa too? And while we're at it bring back Tom Gordon.
    mundiff
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:35 PM, 12/02/2010
    so the phillies have no interest in lefty Scott Downs.....but are interested in righty Scott Downs??
    dennis14
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:52 PM, 12/02/2010
    I understand your calculations of the compensation picks, but in baseball isn't EVERY pick that kind of measureable risk? So, doesn't the saying "the more the merrier" apply? The more high end picks we have, the better shot at a good player? Its a crapshoot no matter what, so if we have 3 picks in the Top 60, I'd say it was fair for Werth. Here is someone we got off of a literal scrap heap. We have already outgained our initial investment by a ton. I'm ok and optimistic about what we can possibly do with that return of the compensation picks.
    Jaylangus100
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:54 PM, 12/02/2010
    Relax. Kendrick has won 35 times in less than 4 full MLB seasons and is 35-24 in that stretch. High ERA, but that's not bad for a 5th starter or eventual long reliever. Bigger issues is that the former #1 round pick, Blanton, got a huge contract from the Phils based on his 2005-2007 Oakland stats and didn't perform. And bigger issues are Werth, a right handed bat, and our aging infield.
    MichaelZoe
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:57 PM, 12/02/2010
    if jermaine dye can play some centerfield, he'd be a good werth replacement and he's got a ring and he's very good in the clutch;.....but, he's been away from the game for a year,....otherwise Rube should re-up werth,.....any werth replacement needs to be able to spell Shane in center otherwise you'll need to sign 2,.....we should offer contracts to Capps or Joba both are non-tendered although you can't see Cashman letting Joba walk realistically,......and are we reading this right that Hunter Pence is non-tendered????
    SyddBarrett
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:57 PM, 12/02/2010
    I can't agree with Murp on the draft picks. You could cite similar failure rates for first round draft picks overall. It doesn't matter where the picks came from, the MLB draft is a major crapshoot. 3 out of 5 picks becoming major leaguers is not actually too bad of a ratio. Two cracks at a top 40 or 50 draft pick for Werth sounds pretty good to me right now. Using Murph's numbers, that means that we have a 93 out of 196 chance of finding a major leaguer between those two picks, which is basically 50-50, which means we probably get 1 major leaguer out of it. Add in our own orignal pick and I'd say our chances of adding major league quality talent to a minor league pool of talent that already is pretty good has gone way up. I'll definitely take that.
    Bill Lame Beer


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About David Murphy
David Murphy joined the Daily News as its Phillies beat writer in February of 2008. Born in Upper Merion and raised in the Poconos, he attended college at La Salle University before taking jobs with the Myrtle Beach (S.C.) Sun-News and the St. Petersburg ( Fla. ) Times. E-mail Dave at dmurphy@phillynews.com.

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