5 questions for the Phillies to ponder

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5 questions for the Phillies to ponder

EVEN BEFORE the Phillies' season ended with a 7-3 loss in Game 6 of the World Series, general manager Ruben Amaro Jr. and his front-office team had held preliminary discussions about some of the decisions they will have to make and strategies they will attempt to employ during the offseason.

Yesterday, after the team returned from New York City aboard an Amtrak train, that work began in earnest. The free-agent signing period begins on Nov. 20. Until then, the Phillies can negotiate with and re-sign their own free agents, as well as have nonspecific discussions with the agents of free agents across the major leagues.

RON CORTES / Staff photographer
Pedro Feliz has provided excellent defense, but mediocre hitting.
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Amaro is scheduled to meet the media today at Citizens Bank Park. Until then, here is a primer on yet another short offseason:

1 How much are the Phillies willing to spend?

Like most clubs, the Phillies are tight-lipped about their projected budget for player salaries. But by working backward, we can get a rough idea of how much money they will have to spend on free agents.

The Phillies' Opening Day payroll was a club-record $130,844,098 this season, including nearly $20 million that was guaranteed to former players Adam Eaton, Geoff Jenkins and Jim Thome. Thanks to a club-record attendance of 3,600,693 and eight home postseason games, a payroll increase is not out of the question.

But the Phillies already have a considerable chunk of money - roughly $94.5 million - locked up to 11 players who are under contract for next season. Once they exercise the $9 million option on ace lefthander Cliff Lee's contract, they will have $103.5 million dedicated to 12 players.

Righthander Joe Blanton and centerfielder Shane Victorino are both eligible for arbitration, and both could see significant raises. Previous arbitration cases suggest that Blanton, who earned $5.5 million last season, could see a raise to the $7 million range, while Victorino, who earned $3.15 million, could land anywhere between $5.5 million and $6.5 million. Catcher Carlos Ruiz, who earned $475,000 in 2009, should also see a healthy increase.

None of the team's five other arbitration-eligibles is a lock to return. The club could decide not to offer contracts to infielder Eric Bruntlett and relievers Chad Durbin, Clay Condrey, Jack Taschner and Tyler Walker, which would make those players free agents.

Lefthander J.A. Happ ($405,000 in '09), whom pitching coach Rich Dubee said Wednesday is expected to be a part of the 2010 rotation, and outfielder Ben Francisco ($421,240) are both under club control and likely to return.

A very rough projection has the Phillies paying $119 million to 17 players, with eight roster spots to fill.

2 Would the Phillies be in the market for a third baseman?

This is the single most intriguing question facing the Phillies, the answer to which will likely come shortly. Veteran third baseman Pedro Feliz has a $5 million club option for 2010, along with a $500,000 buyout should the Phillies decline to exercise it. Feliz has established himself as one of the top defensive third basemen in the National League. But when the Phillies signed him in 2008, they anticipated more offensive production from a player who had hit at least 20 home runs in each of his previous four seasons. In two seasons in Philadelphia, Feliz has hit .259 with a .306 on-base percentage and 26 home runs. This postseason, he hit just .167 with a .196 on-base percentage and two home runs and four RBI.

With seven of eight regulars under contract for next season, the only option for upgrading the lineup is at third base. There are some interesting free-agent options, including the Angels' Chone Figgins, the Cardinals' Mark DeRosa and the Mariners' Adrian Beltre, all of whom can bat righthanded - Figgins is a switch-hitter - and have significantly outperformed Feliz at the plate over the past few seasons.

DeRosa is a particularly intriguing candidate, one whom the Phillies had interest in trading for last offseason. The University of Pennsylvania graduate can also play second base and the outfield. But he recently had wrist surgery and, like Figgins and Beltre, might be looking for a hefty multiyear contract.

Will the Phillies decline Feliz' option with the hope that the free-agent market unfolds in such a way that allows them to make a play for an offensive upgrade? Or will Feliz' defensive prowess and relatively cheap price tag convince them to keep him in the fold while looking to upgrade in other areas?

3 Can they upgrade the bench?

Reserve third baseman Greg Dobbs, who in 2008 was the team's top pinch-hitter but this year hit just .247 and battled a strained calf, is under contract for next year. But veteran slugger Matt Stairs is a free agent, as is backup catcher Paul Bako. The Phillies would like to add a powerful righthanded bat (their three righthanded bench players went 0-for-17 in the postseason) as well as a player who can take some pressure off Chase Utley at second base and Jimmy Rollins at shortstop.

But it will be hard to convince any prospective free agents that there will be opportunities for playing time, a problem Amaro encountered last season.

DeRosa and Toronto's Marco Scutaro are both talented utility men who would fit perfectly, but it is hard to envision either one signing to be a backup. Fernando Tatis, who hit .289 (.352 OBP) with 19 home runs for the Mets over the last two seasons in a part-time role, could provide an experienced bench bat who can occasionally spell Raul Ibanez in leftfield. The Yankees' Jerry Hairston Jr. and the Dodgers' Ronnie Belliard also could fit.

4 What about Brett Myers, Chan Ho Park and Scott Eyre?

Myers and Park, both righthanders, will be free agents and both could return. Signing Myers could give the Phillies insurance in both the rotation and the back end of the bullpen, while Park was one of their top relievers this season. In the bullpen, righthanders Brad Lidge and Ryan Madson and lefthander J.C. Romero are both under contract for next season. After that, nothing is certain. Even if Eyre - who is contemplating retirement - returns, the Phillies would like to add another lefty. And they proved this season that you can never have too many quality arms in the bullpen.

5 What about the fifth spot in the rotation?

Veteran lefthander Jamie Moyer lost his spot in the rotation to Pedro Martinez in August and is recovering from surgery on his lower abdomen and groin, but is expected to be ready for spring training. He is due to make roughly $8 million, thanks to escalator clauses he fulfilled this season. Martinez, who pitched well in nine regular-season starts and two postseason starts before lasting just four innings against the Yankees in Game 6, will be a free agent. Lefthander Cole Hamels will have another short offseason to recover from a disappointing year. Are the Phillies confident he will return to the form he displayed in 2008, or will they explore a backup plan?

Stay tuned.

For more Phillies coverage and opinion, read David Murphy's blog, High Cheese, at http://go.philly.com/highcheese.

 

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Posted 07:21 AM, 11/06/2009
mick314
Chooch salary is a joke. Renegotiate a long term deal for this gem.
Comment removed.
Posted 08:04 AM, 11/06/2009
nickj
my affection for matt stairs has now faded. If Dobbs would have gotten as many at-bats as stairs this season, I guarantee he would have fared much better in the playoffs. I appreciate the Broxton homerun, but we need to move on.
Posted 08:05 AM, 11/06/2009
cptjoe
I agree with Mick about Ruiz's salary, very low compared to most players(but not to the average working man). I'd also like to get rid of Feliz, or as I call him-"Mr.DoublePlay". But that's when he's at bat. He stinks offensively. The only reason he's still with the team is because he does well in the field. The team cannot make it far with this pitching roster. That is painfully obvious. Get rid of Hamels as he can't be counted on.
Posted 08:09 AM, 11/06/2009
cptjoe
And get rid of Bruntlett!! Waste of a salary and roster spot. Can we get a referendum to get him tossed?
Posted 08:14 AM, 11/06/2009
yescadog
Let Blanton walk, bring up Drabek and save money to sign a third baseman, a quality bench player, and a quality reliever. Your starting rotation will be Lee, Hamels, Myers, Happ, Drabek. You also have Moyer in the bullpen if you need to have an emergency start. If at midseason, you need another pitcher, trade some prospects for a starter.
Posted 08:17 AM, 11/06/2009
iladelph
I love the defense from Feliz, but it might be time to look at other options. Figgins would be a great addition as another swtich hitter who can steal bases.
Posted 08:19 AM, 11/06/2009
DR Heller
Bring one of the Outfielders up(Taylor or Mayberry)to be on the bench and see if they can play, cause Werth has only one more year on his contract. Do you resign Werth to a loooooong term contract as he'll want one, or use Werth as trade bait and bring up Taylor to see if he's all that what all the pundits(Conlin, Scouts) say he is? Just asking. Oh yeah. Congrats to the Phillies for a great season and for making it to the World Series.
Posted 08:21 AM, 11/06/2009
DR Heller
Moyer can't be on this team next year. trade him, relelase him. get Anything for him. But he can't be on this team next year.
Posted 08:22 AM, 11/06/2009
Rokko100
It is true, we need to relieve Hamels. While a nice guy and intersting role model, he is too soft to be in this town, period! Philly embraces tough resilient athletes, not soft pretty ones. When he mumbled I just wish this season would be over, he may have forcasted his immediate future with the Phillies organization and it s fans.
Posted 08:35 AM, 11/06/2009
iceman
Keep Feliz. This team has enough offense and needs the defense and decent clutch hitting Feliz offers. Need to upgrade the starting pitching, though, and add another arm in the bullpen -- Billy Wagner? -- who has closer stuff.
Posted 08:43 AM, 11/06/2009
zen
Lidge and Hamels.......daily back-to-back-back-back sessions with an effective Sports Psychologist, beginning next Monday and ceasing after 2010 All-Star break.
Posted 08:44 AM, 11/06/2009
Clem
I don't see Myers as a starter. I think he would be much more valuable to us in the 'pen. I say let Pedro walk, let Blanton walk, maybe either bring up Drabek (or go to Moyer if he fades) then wait it out if possible and then get another coup like Lee at trading deadline. In the meantime, sounds like no real 3rd baseman out there nor a great becnh guy so raid the minors. If it doesnt work, get a bench guy at trading deadline. But all this is contigent on the rest stepping up and having a year like they should have.... no Rollins funk; no Hamels funk etc.
Posted 08:59 AM, 11/06/2009
justinnyc11
As frustrating and (mostly) unproductive as Feliz is at the plate, I think we have much bigger issues to worry about. Pitching, pitching, pitching! As pain1964 said above, the Yankees starters were simply better than ours. Their bullpen, well, I think it's painfully obvious our bullpen really killed us in the WS. We need to make a serious run at a very good FA righty starter, though not sure what is really out there (Lackey?). We have to trust Hamels will be back to true form and produce good results in 2010, b/c he's not going anywhere and has a ton of upside. So, Lee-FA-Hamels-Happ-Blanton. I just can't imagine Drabek will be ready for the big show yet. Gotta add some arms to the bullpen too.
Posted 09:00 AM, 11/06/2009
nickpa1
did somebody say "billy fn wagner"...??!?!?!??
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