SEAHAWKS (+7) over Eagles
Almost had everything right last Sunday, but fell a few points short. We had a winner with Phils in Game 4 and our final score for the Birds and Falcons, 27-21, was seven points short. But the Vicster did say "This ain't gonna be an upset." Looking for a similar scenario out west, where the Eagles fly back home with a W, but Seattle keeps the final margin under a touchdown. Lets say it's a medium-to-light play. This is obviously not the same group of Seahawks who beat the Birds, 28-24, at the Linc last season, since QB Matt Hasselbeck is still out and RB Shaun Alexander now works in Washington. Seneca Wallace will get his third start under center for the 'Hawks and after a lousy first outing, he bounced back last week with a strong effort, hitting on 15 of 25 for 222 yards, two TDs and no INTs. Final score in coffee country looks like 24-20 for the locals.
BILLS (-5) over Jets
There's Manny being Manny, and Brett Favre just being Brett Favre. After four pretty solid games to open the season, Favre has had three, let's call 'em "close to stinkers," in a row. He was intercepted three times against Kansas City last week, has thrown seven picks in his last three games, and is tied for the NFL lead with 11. Not exactly the category where you wanna be sitting at the top of the chart. To make matters a little more sticky, Favre has been sacked 16 times, which is already one more than all of last season with the Packers. Buffalo is coming off an embarrassing loss at Miami (25-16), but with a 3-0 log at home, it should be an easy W, and cover for the Buffs. And if you're not convinced yet, how about the Jets' 7-20 record on the road over the last 3-plus years? Now you on board? Thought so.
BROWNS (-1) over Ravens
After the first meeting, Baltimore sent tapes to the league office claiming that the Cleveland players intentionally gouged the eyes of RB Willis McGahee. Of course, the Browns claim to be innocent. They also have claimed wins in three of the last four games, and have a sweet 8-3 mark at home since the start of 2007, while the Ravens are 2-9 on the road during the same span.
BRONCOS (-3) over Dolphins
Give Miami and new head coach Tony Sparano a ton of credit for the 3-4 record (the Fish were 1-15 last season), but there are a few problems on the immediate horizon. The weather for one. The Dolphins are coming out of South Florida where the temps have been in the mid-70s, and flying into Denver where they're gonna find low 20s as the sun starts to set in the Rockies. And the Dolphins 3-16 road mark the last 19 times out ain't gonna help.
COLTS (-6) over Patriots
Don't be throwing any dirt on Peyton Manning and Indy just yet. The Horseshoes finally get a shot at New England without Tom Brady, and the end result should be a very crucial victory. With a 3-4 record, the Colts don't have much wiggle room, so expect 'em to come out flying. And of course, the homefield edge is a monster, since the 'Shoes have won 17 of their last 22 at Indianapolis.
Cowboys (+9) over GIANTS
No Tony Romo. Possibly no Jason Witten and Brad Johnson struggling at QB. So why bother with Dallas against the New Yorkers with the 4-0 record at home? We can think of nine reasons, and it's the spread.
Jaguars (-7) over BENGALS
Cincy is giving up more than 30 points per game over the last month, has covered only two of the last nine at home, and with Ryan Fitzpatrick at QB, the Bengals have no teeth, and, no chance.
VIKINGS (-4) over Texans
Still can't back a Houston team that has lost 23 of its last 27 on the road.
Bucs (-8) over CHIEFS
KC got three Brett Favre gifts to hang around last week. This time, no gifts, no cover.
Cardinals (-3) over RAMS
Arizona has won four of the last five against St. Louis, and should post another W this Sunday.
Lions (+13) over BEARS
This big fat 13-point spot looks appetizing. Why? Because Detroit is on a 6-0 spread roll as a double-digit dog.
Packers (+5) over TITANS
Green Bay might not hang a loss on Tennessee, but the Packers should be able to cover the spread.
Falcons (-3) over RAIDERS
Don't watch it. Don't bet on it. Make believe it doesn't exsist.
Steelers (+2) over REDSKINS
If Ben Roethlisberger finally gets some protection, Pittsburgh should be able to squeeze out a victory.