Larry Eichel reports...
10:40 a.m.
And there's a fourth poll just in, this one from the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.
This poll has Clinton up by 9 points. The previous version had her ahead by 12. So, again, there's movement toward Obama, but not much in this one.
In the past two days, there've been three new polls in the Pennsylvania primary. And all of them show movement in Barack Obama's direction.
The movement almost surely reflects a combination of factors -- Obama's having spent six straight days in the state, his huge television buy, and the fallout from the controversy over Hillary Rodham Clinton's overstatement of how much danger she faced as First Lady landing in Bosnia in 1996.
In the Rasmussen Reports poll, Clinton leads by 5 points. She'd been up 10 in the same poll last week.
In the Survey USA poll, she's up 12. She's been up 19 in the same poll three weeks earlier.
The latest survey, from Public Policy Polling, actually has Obama ahead by 2 points, although that is well within the poll's margin of error. It's hard to know what to make of this one. Two-and-a-half weeks ago, the same company had Clinton ahead by 26, which is much the largest margin recorded in any Pennsylvania poll in the last few months.
Dean Debham, the company president, speculates that the movement "could be an indication that Democrats in that state think it's time to wrap it up." But the poll did not ask a question that would confirm such thinking.
The bottom line? It's safe to say Obama is gaining ground and that Clinton's hopes for a double-digit win in the state seem like more of a long-shot than a week ago. Beyond that, well, there are still 20 days to go.
Posted by Larry Eichel @ 10:45 AM
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83 comments
On March 19 Obama gave an Iraq speech but all the news networks suddenly cut from him and onto Hillary in Michigan. Anyone who saw that sudden cut saw a stark abstract between a leader and a bad hair day. Polls Confirm.
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All of the sheep will follow Obama, just like all the sheep who supported Bush for the last 8 years.
Who had the audacity to hold a "Women's Rally"? Guess Politically Correct is more than just green people.
we are all phoneys, homer or not
rmship
This is what hard work, good stewardship and a marvelous ability to convey the American agenda, as president, can do for a campain. I'm reay to vote! How about you.
who is larry eichel?
I like how he says he doesnt take money from big oil. records show he only takes money from big oil executives. whats the difference Obama?
this guy is a chameleon. says whatever he thinks people want to hear, and a lot of people are dumb enough to beleive him.
He is only moving up in the polls because nobody is looking into what he said in his new gas ad. His claim of not taking money from oil companies is misleading because nobody does. He doesn't take money from lobbyists, but he employes them. http://www.newsweek.com/id/129895/page/1
When will Obama and Hillary stop by Geno's for a cheesesteak and a photo op? Oh, I forgot, it's a hot potato, illegal imigration and all.
another hillary problem...
http://www.northstarwriters.com/dc163.htm
talking point detective is certainly no sherlock... the reason that obama has been leaning towards the eagles:
Obama said he rooted for the Steelers growing up in Hawaii, but lately has preferred the Eagles, because quarterback Donovan McNabb grew up in Chicago, and went to school not far from the Illinois senator's current home.
But, of course, Obama said, he's a Chicago Bears fan first.
Let God choose your leader instead of Television ads. And if you really want God's will to be done take yourself out of the equation and vote
as you feel led by God. This is free advice for the world
Admittedly these numbers don't look, but if we can hang on until the 22nd it'll be okay. All Hillary has to do is win here by 1 vote to claim victory and stay in this to the convention where the superdelegates can make a more informed choice. Hillary 08!!
well tammie that is all very well and good but if she does not have a preponderance of the popular vote and a lead in delegates... nothing she wins will matter. while you are busy praying for her to win read this:
http://www.northstarwriters.com/dc163.htm
is this seriously who you want for president?
Rev Wright: Two (2) weeks ago Obama knew what direction to take. Bosnia: Today Hillary does not. (Remember 1993, health care:She did not deliver)
Here's something the other side(>Real< Dems) should be saying but I want to say it too.April 22 AND November, we have time. Think about it: Leadership.
Funny thing-Even if Hillary wins she looses. She was on a journey to a coronation and is losing to a frosh senator, that happens to African America. She was supposed to dominate the womens vote, hasn't happend. Whites are split 50/50. While I'm no huge Obama fan I see a complete repudiation of Clintonism in this race. Even if she somehow wins she and her husband have already lost.
Billy Clint was okay in my book at the time, but I'm sick of "sequel" presidencies. We had "Bush: the Sequel", I'm not ready for "Clinton 2: Electric Boogaloo" right after....
hey moneyrich, what da heck does god have to do with this?
get a life!!
The only choice that matters is the choice the people make. Superdelegates are politicians and there "informed" choice would be what would be best for them. Let the people decide, not the Superdelagates.
Yes. I too believe that G-d should place our elected leaders into office. I think we should move to a system of governance similar to Iran but with preists and preachers rather than imams. We have strayed from G-d and now suffer the pestilance of gays, cancer and rising gas prices.
It's about time people in PA not only started seeing Hillary for the lying, Bush-Like politician that she is, but also started realizing that Obama is ready & able to lead this country back to greatness. Yes We Can!
ariadne, she was simply trying to put that crook Nixon in prison. After all, she was only a few years removed from being a Goldwater girl - forced upon her by her father, and trying to find her voice politically.
His poll numbers had nowhere to go but up..move along, nothing to see here.
Pieman, I take your remark as an insult though I am not offended by it. God has
everything to do with it and would make insults a lot less likely if people were to vote their conscious. Conscious is the divine element in us that allows us to make good judgement provided we listen
Found the following online today:
Watergate-Era Judiciary Chief of Staff, Jerry Zeifman:
Hillary Clinton Fired For Lies, Unethical Behavior
Sounds like Bush-style behavior to me.
samson please tell me you are joking? if i remember correctly from all my years in school jesus was tolerant and i really dont think god is punishing us with gas prices.. that is our own fault for being so greedy.. we pay lower gas prices than the rest of the world get over yourself - god would not approve
obama 08 !! i dont know who htey are polling anyway because everyone i know is voting for him? who the heck are they polling?
I'm on very public&local record as being strongly for Gore&Knox.For a bit I leaned to Hilary(PubRec:search)I gave it thought,I'm going with Leadership.
Real men and women will vote for John McCain, a true American hero.
Well the reality is the polls mean nothing. Have they asked you because they sure didn't ask my opinion. All of the politicians have a level of "crookedness" about them so it's about picking the lesser of two evils. Having Hillary in there should be constitutional violation with the eight year rule, she 's just Bill in a skirt. Give someone with new ideas a chance This country is desperate for change.
kmmposts, I do understand your comment however samson may have a point,
there is such a thing as divine retribution
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Could the Philly media shill for this guy any harder? Does the Philly media even try to hide its blatant bias anymore? What exactly is this guy going to do that's so great if he becomes President? None of this hope/change/unite nonsense - actual, substantive goals. Do you honestly believe that this guy is going to give you free health care and end the Iraq War? The cult-like doughy-eyed swooning over this guy would be hilarious if it weren't so scary that he could actually become the President.
Change, change, change, change, zzzzzzz.
kmmposts - that's why liberals are shocked when their candidate loses; they only hang out with each other convincing themselves how much smarter they are than everyone else.
Well written, fafafooey.
Brendan Boyle in '08!
Does this matter ? If it's Obama,it'll be The Right Stuff v. The Wright Stuff.If it's Clinton the Obama supporters will sit it out.Either way it's President McCain.
Here is an interesting article on HRC - http://www.northstarwriters.com/dc163.htm
Please read, look at the candidate's policy position and then Vote on April 22.
Obama Wins Backing of 9/11 Commission Co-Chairman Lee Hamilton - http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601070&sid=a9Iwr1aLiyzw&refer=home
Wyoming Governor Dave Freudenthal Endorses Obama - http://my.barackobama.com/page/community/post/stateupdates/gGBXpP
Kmmposts - my Jesus is tolerant. But this tolerance only extends to those out there that are of the same denomination, ethicity, socio-economic class as me. What kind of heaven would it be if I had to share it with those unworthy of G-d's glory. I pray for your soul.
moral decisions drive your conscious
god has nothing to do with it
there is no god or alla or mohamid what ever you want to call it.
This just in - philly.com puts Obama front and center again. Coming soon philly.com declares Obama "Greatest Human Being of All Time" and calls for mandatory daily genuflecting at feet of 50 ft. tall statues of Obama that will be built in every town square. He's HOPE! He's CHANGE! All hail the second coming of AllahJesusBuddha, St. Obama the Messiah!
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NAFTA is not the problem....US companies exporting all manufacturing jobs to China is. By way, did you know China owns a sizable portion of the US national debt? All they would need to do is dump a portion of their holdings into the market and they could crush the US economy. Size that up as CONGRESS keeps increasing debt amounts driving the US further into China's grip.
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NAFTA is not the problem....US companies exporting all manufacturing jobs to China is. By way, did you know China owns a sizable portion of the US national debt? All they would need to do is dump a portion of their holdings into the market and they could crush the US economy. Size that up as CONGRESS keeps increasing debt amounts driving the US further into China's grip.
This just proves how we in PA are not following for the Clintons games, as Ohio and Texas did, PA are smart people who can see right thru them, remember if we vote for Hill, we are voting Bill back in the White House, and I dont think we need to be disgraced again, as we did with he and Monica.
Nobody actually talking about the topic at hand?
The polls are moving up for Obama in Penna.
If Hillary doesn't win Pennsylvania by double digits, it is a major loss. She needs to win Indiana decisively too. Otherwise, it's over.
And all you folks that HATE Obama will stand a good chance at being angry at the President for many years. It's your turn to cry now.
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samson - i went to catholic grade, high, and college and funny i never learned to hate homosexuals, i was never taught to broadcast and spread divisiveness more i remember mainly being taught forgiveness and compassion -- too bad the nutjob conservatives give religion such a bad name - you are all a bunch of NUTJOBS!..puhlease do not pray for me...my soul is fine
Hey Philly,
Be happy you have a chance to vote. I'm from Philty - Philly and I can't vote for Obama down here. Can I use somebody's address up there - pleeeease???
Oh - by the way, I'm in sunny South Florida! :-) Make sure that I have an address in the superb burbs. Thanks.
By the way - we in sunny Florida can not vote in the primary. Make sure you send me an address from the burbs.
Aww - I just wanna have fun from Florida. I just love the censorship.
I just love the censorship. Never censored in Florida. Glad I moved.
yep - my soul is fine too. Go Obama!!!!!
Could it be that the newly registered voters (102,000 newbies and 133,000 party switchers, according to this morning's Washington Post) are now being factored into the polling? This shows that the strong majority of new registering Democrats are strongly in favor of Obama.
I'm going protest in Florida about not being able to vote.
Why won't you allow my comments to go through?
I get tired of these political strategeist on on here, who make coments that have no validity; pleae give an account when you decide to make accusation about presidential candidates, ignorance is bliss.
talking point detective, you probably are a republican who wants McCain...you are a joke and a hater!!
Obama For President!!!!!
kmmposts is a typical liberal - goes on telling us how tolerant and compassionate he/she is, then starts labeling and calling names ("nutjobs") of anyone who disagrees with him/her. A member of the "tolerant open-minded" party I guess... what a hypocrite!
Rodham-Hussein 2008!
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GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOBAMA. Hillary is a liar-liar-pantsuit-on- fire.
DONT VOTE FOR CLINTON OR OBAMA....they want to spend your tax dollars on bailing out irresponsible homeowners and speculators! They also want to bail out on Iraq leaving it to the mercy of terrorists and Iran...you think gas is expensive and the world is dangerous now...elect one of these Democrats and it will be twice as bad...and I am a Democrat!
Regardless of party, Congress is the problem...The President doesnt have much control over a domestic agenda. Get rid of all the deadbeats Senators and Reps and start over. Term Limits are needed people! Sens and Reps spend far too long in office soaking up all the lobbiest money and making millions per year. Look at Sen. Casey! What has he done since he was elected?!?! Spector is too busy pushing spygate...he's been in office so long he cant even remember what his job is!
20+ years of Bush/Clinton/Bush/Clinton?!?!?!?! NO WAY!!!!!!Time for change people...
PS why is Chelsea so protected??? She should be fair game what is Hillary hiding and cant Chelsea get a job like the rest of us?
Judging from the 70posts I'd say the poll numbers have opened a torrent.But there is a place in my heart for ladies:Here Hillary use my umbrella.
Could it be that the apparent,dramatic effect shown by Public Policy Polling be the Bob Casey effect? If so, does not Obama /Casey 2008 make sense?
Hillary supporters in all of the remaining states need to come out stong because she will need every vote to win the over all popular vote.
PA, Michigan and Florida are counting on you to bring home a big win for Hillary over racist Louis Farrakhan supporter Obama.
Obama supporters are the same as the Stepford Wives.
Bob, CJ410: Let's wrap this up in Pennsylvania. Today it was the Governor of Wyoming, join us, join America & Obama for a united Democrat party.
oj410 is not not incredibly racist for rendell to assume and say publicly that Pennsylvanians will not elect a black man? i am more offended by that remark than by any other rhetoric i've been so persistently exposed to
Why didn't hillary deliver healthcare in the nineties for good reason, the AMERICAN people didn't want it. Don't believe the OLE BOYS CLUB crap.
www.hillaryspeaksforme.com
I am tired of being given selective statistics.
http://www.diversityj.com/Statistics2008Primary.html
I am tired of being given selective statistics.
http://www.diversityj.com/Statistics2008Primary.html
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louis Farakan is not racaist, he holds white people accountable for the African slave. There is a social disorder in the Black population which is a byproduct of slavery and aparthied. Imagine someone being able to kill u,assult you sexualy with no regard of the law; someone can declare you their property. African American's freedom and rights where realized in 1968-Civil Rights Act.
Jack Klompus, I am hopefully a literate African American person and in my opinion, drbinc makes a valid point about the history of race, racism, and oppression.
i doubt obama will eat at geno's/pat's if he can't give 5 seconds of time for a picture.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/04/02/obamas-run-in-with-a-pers_n_94694.html
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About Inquirer political writers
The Inauguration: Jan. 20 blog brings you coverage of President-elect Barack Obama's transition into office.
It's written by political journalists from the Philadelphia Inquirer. Send us your comments -- and news tips -- at this address.
Thomas Fitzgerald joined The Philadelphia Inquirer in 2000, and has covered Harrisburg as well as city, state and national politics for the newspaper. He was a “boy on the bus” in the 2004 presidential campaign and during primary contests in 2000 and 1996.
Nathan Gorenstein has covered politics and government in the city, state and nation for the Inquirer. He's worked in the city hall bureau, had a stint on the business desk, and once covered the suburbs. After serving as assistant regional editor, he was named editor of the "Politics" web site.
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