Archive: October, 2011
In the early going, it appears that the winter storm warnings for Bucks, Chester, and Montgomery Counties are going to verify.
The National Weather Serviced noted that the models this morning appear to be trending colder than they were yesterday.
It also appears more likely that Philadelphia will end up with at least some measureable snow for the first time since 1979.
Officially, Philadelphia has received its first measureable October snow since 1979.
At 2 p.m., the airport weighed in with 0.2 inches, enough to qualify. Meanwhile, areas to the north and west have been hammered with heavy, wet snow that threatens to bring down more power lines.
Springtown, Bucks County, reported 8.5 inches, with 5.5 at Dublin.
In honor of his World Series heroics (and we won’t talk about what he did against the Phillies), and the coming chill around here, Weather or Not has decided to add David Freese to its All-time, All Weather Major League Baseball team.
Reputations and skills notwithstanding, the names are the things. The career statistics come courtesy of “Baseball Almanac.”
1B -- J.T. Snow. He has hit 189 homers in a 15-year career for the Angels, Giants, and Red Sox. Honorable mention: Ernie Gust, 0-12 for the St. Louis Browns in 1911.
Should Philadelphia receive enough snow to measure tomorrow -- and that's not a done deal -- it would have be classified as a twice-in-lifetime event, at most.
Snow records date to 1884 in the city, and only three times has measureable snow fallen in October in Philadelphia, or once every 40 years or so. It last happened in 1979, and it postponed the World Series opener in Baltimore.
Snows in Colorado are fairly common in October, but why is it so hard to get snow along the East Coast?
If the meteorologists and their computer models have it right, the region is about to see an October rarity: Snow.
The National Weather Service now has the s-word in the official forecast for Philadelphia for Saturday night, and Dave Dombek at Accu-Weather says that even the city could see an inch.
If that happens, it would be first measurable snow in October in Philadelphia since 1979, and only the third October snow in the period of record.
As Peter Mucha's online story mentions, snowflakes could fly this weekend not very far from Philadelphia.
In fact, one computer model, the respected Euroopean, continues to show a coastal storm passing close enough to the coast to cause accumulating snow just to the north and west of the city during the weekend.
It remains the outlier, however, and the National Weather Service notes in the afternoon discussion that the U.S. and Canadian models are shoveling the storm out to sea.
This has been an historic year for flooding nationwide, and Philadelphia already has had more rain in 2011 than in 137 of the 138 entire calendar years in the period of record.
Scientiest have been saying that increased carbon dioxide and greenhouse warming would equate to higher amounts of water vapor and precipitation.
But a report just released by the U.S. Geological Survey throws a little cold water on the global warming-heavy rain hypothesis.
It's been awhile, actually about a week or so, but more significant rain is due Wednesday, with perhaps an inch or more.
Through yesterday, the precipitation total since Jan. 1 stood at 52.96 at Philadelphia International Airport.
That total is higher than the 12-month totals for 136 of the 138 years of official recordkeeping in Philadelphia.