Archive: August, 2012
As we noted yesterday, the Accu-Weather people are calling for a snowy winter in the Washington to Boston corridor.
The government's Climate Prediction Center hasn't quite jumped on that idea yet, but this morning it did issue its September-through-November outlook.
As you'll see from the map, most of the nation is colored warmly, particularly in New England ski country.
A severe thunderstorm warning is in effect for pieces of northern Delaware, Delaware County, South Philly, and South Jersey.
The National Weather Service says a storm capable of producing 60 m.p.h. winds was moving northeast and could affect Philadelphia International Airport by 10.
We were beginning to think today was looking a lot like last Friday, when downpours arrived ahead of schedule in the morning, and then the rest of the day was dead quiet.
But shower activity has picked up in some areas, with heavy rains near the Shore, where a flash-flood warning was in effect, and a strong cell popped up over northern Delaware.
That one was battering Delaware County and moving on Philadelphia. The National Weather Service says it will affect Philly and nearby parts of Montgomery, Camden, and Gloucester Counties in the next half hour or so.
On Thursday, the official temperature reached 90 at Philadelphia International Airport for the 35th time this year.
It is not clear when we will see Day 36. The high should come quite close to 90 on Friday, but the longer-range forecasts foresee a turn toward more-normal temperatures the rest of the month.
Not a heat-wave is in sight. Going along with ideas in both the European and U.S. models, the Commodity Weather Group, in Washington, calls for normal temperatures through the 15-day period.
Driving around this morning, we enountered some Son of Floyd moments, still we were surprised at the heft of some of the rain totals.
Between 8 and 11 a.m., the Doylestown rain gauge weighed in with 1.62 inches.
In Philadelphia, just between 10 and 11, 0.88 inches found its way into the measuring cup at Philadelphia International Airport.
Fitful downpours that rippled along a corridor from central Delaware to Allentown, were heading into South Jersey. Here's the radar image.
Between 9 and 10, an inch or more of rain cascaded upon parts of New Castle, Chester, Montgomery and Bucks Counties.
The rain should lighten up west to east, but the atmosphere is full of juice is anxious to wring out, and expect more showers this afternoon and tonight.
An El Nino, the prolonged cooling of surface waters in the tropical Pacific, is imminent, and usually that would tame Atlantic the tropical storm season.
But not this year, according to forecasters at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.
So far, the season has produced six named storms, those with winds of 39 m.p.h. or better, despite a dead quiet July, and two hurricanes, with winds of at least 74 m.p.h.
We have miles and inches to go before we challenge the record rains of August 2011.
In fact, the 19.35 inches measured officially at Philadelphia International Airport is a almost 2.5 inches more than has fallen in all of 2012.
Still, for a chance rain is running above normal for the month in Philly, in Delaware County, and in the neighboring Jersey counties.