Thursday, February 11, 2016

Here comes the winter forecast ...

We interrupt this torrid summer for a winter forecast.

Here comes the winter forecast ...


We may be in the heat of the dog days of a punishing summer, but Accu-Weather Inc. has just released a winter outlook.

The private giant of State College is saying that while it isn't quite sure precisely what the winter will bring to Philadelphia, it is certain that it won't be a repeat of the record snowy winter of 2009-10.

Joe Bastardi, Accu-Weather's long-range forecaster expects La Nina, a mass cooling of the tropical Pacific, to dominate the winter. That would be a reversal from the El Nino warming dominance of last winter.

Bastardi says he's banking on the big-snow region shifting westward, targeting areas from Cleveland to the Pacific Northwest.

The South should have a gentle winter, he says, and the Florida snowbirds will be perching in ideal conditions.

Philadelphia and the rest of the Northeast will be in a "battle zone," with wildly variable conditions probably resulting in near-normal snowfall. In Philly, that's about 20 inches, compared with last winter's 78.7.

The key is the future of the burgeoning La Nina. In its weekly outlook yesterday, the government's Climate Prediction Center said sea-surface temperatures in the indicator region of the Pacific were running 2 degrees below normal.

The goverment plans to release another update on Thursday.




Inquirer Weather Columnist
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About this blog

Everyone talks about the weather, and here we write about it.

When we’re around and conditions warrant, we’ll keep you updated about what’s coming, but we will do our best always to discuss weather and climate developments in context and remind you that nothing in the atmosphere happens in a vacuum.

Tony Wood has been writing about the atmosphere for The Inquirer for 26 years.

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