The government’s latest two-week outlook, posted Tuesday afternoon, has odds favoring below-normal temperatures across the entire half the country.
And the accompanying discussion suggests that subsequent forecasts are likely to look frostier. “Temperature probabilities may be too conservative,” it said.
The thinking is that polar air is re-grouping in the source regions, and confidence that it soon will want to head south for at least part of the winter is relatively high, the climate center said.
In addition, the Commodity Weather Group, a forecasting service for agriculture and energy interests, posted an outlook Tuesday afternoon calling for a cold February.