Monday, July 6, 2015

The "S" word

New storm, possibly a messy one, due next week.

The "S" word

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The computer models agree that a significant storm is heading this way early next week but remain deeply divided over what if anything it would add to the season's already unreal snow totals.
A storm is forecast to move into the Ohio Valley on Monday and then re-form somewhere off the mid-Altantic coast.
As the National Weather Service's internal discussions both at headquarters and Mount Holly noted, at last look the European models were leaning toward a more-northerly track. That would favor mostly rain for Philadelphia. The North Americans see a more-snow-friendly southerly track.
However, the models have been flip-flopping, and that's one trend that is likely to continue for the next few days.
Given the uncertainties, for now, the forecasts aren't real helpful. The National Weather Service is calling for a chance of rain and snow Monday, a chance of snow Monday night, and rain and snow again Tuesday.
Accu-Weather put out a news release saying, "The storm's exact track will determine if rain, snow or nothing falls in your area." That's not exactly going out on a limb. 
If you want to care to follow what meteorologists and enthusiasts are saying about the possibilities, check out the Eastern US Weather forum.  Be aware that the discussions won't always be heart-friendly.
More coverage
Gallery: Still Buried in Snow
Oops! Some Snow Gets Into the Schuylkill
City: Bill for snow cleanup may be $11.5M
Inquirer Weather Columnist
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About this blog

Everyone talks about the weather, and here we write about it.

When we’re around and conditions warrant, we’ll keep you updated about what’s coming, but we will do our best always to discuss weather and climate developments in context and remind you that nothing in the atmosphere happens in a vacuum.

Tony Wood has been writing about the atmosphere for The Inquirer for 26 years.

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Tony Wood Inquirer Weather Columnist
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