Monday, February 4, 2013
Monday, February 4, 2013

Presidents Day storm threat?

Still only virtual, but something significant and tantalizingly close, is possible..

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Presidents Day storm threat?

POSTED: Tuesday, February 14, 2012, 7:57 AM
Another kind of European model (AP)

The respected European forecast model continues to show the potential for a strong storm to form in the Southeast during the hoilday weekend, and that could threaten Philadelphia.

That's still several days away, and arguing against it eloquently is the feeble character of the winter of 2011-12.

That said, it is getting buzz in the chat board discussions, and it is on the radar of some of the region's meteorologists.

The Southeast coast is the brewing ground for the Midatlantic's major snowstorms since it offers a supply of moisture and allows the Washington-New York corridor to stay on the cold side of the precipitation.

In the overnight National Weather Service discussion, Walt Drag says that even if it does happen, it may end up being just "a close call."

For now though, he says that it "deserves to be monitored" and that it is at least "plausible."

Presidents Day weekend holds a special place for the region's snow-lovers. In 1979, Philadelphia was ambushed with a 14-inch snowstorm, and 20 inches fell during the holiday weekend of 2003.

Hold off on the panic, however. The temperatures look to be borderline, and it's not at all certain how much of any precipitation would be snow, or how much of it would stick.

And Drag notes that the European storm doesn't seem to be in sync with its own projected upper-air pattern -- "nor does it fit the winter to date."

Tony Wood @ 7:57 AM  Permalink | 33 comments
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Comments  (33)
  • Comment removed.
  • Comment removed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 8:48 AM, 02/14/2012
    Start your engines for the supermarket, can hear the roar of the engines already!!!!
    Dadair1
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 8:48 AM, 02/14/2012
    Uh oh - time for the bread, eggs and milk run..........
    JusticeWorks
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 8:50 AM, 02/14/2012
    My feet are hurting real bad. The Storm of the Century is headed this way.
    Wilhelm Von Humboldt
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 8:52 AM, 02/14/2012
    I wish I had my last 30 seconds back.
    Phillies2008WSChamps
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 9:05 AM, 02/14/2012
    Perhaps there will be European storm in Europe.
    Izzie
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 9:10 AM, 02/14/2012
    What does Johnny boy have to say?
    Earl J
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 9:13 AM, 02/14/2012
    Bread, milk, eggs: French toast for everyone!
  • Comment removed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 9:21 AM, 02/14/2012
    Until Bolaris says it will happen ,I wouldn't worry about it.
    gardner
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 6:35 PM, 02/14/2012
    Gardner...sit down we have something we have to tell you. Remember when we told you that your puppy went to live on a farm where he would have more free space? Well, Bolaris has gone to live on a farm as well...either that or he's been jacked by a couple of Romanian hookers.
    Gray Areas
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 9:32 AM, 02/14/2012
    Is there an editor at 400 North Broad? It should be Presidents' Day (plural possessive). Midatlantic should be Mid-Atlantic. Snow lover is two words, not hyphenated. What's with the hyphens in the last sentence?
    Disco Dave
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 9:35 AM, 02/14/2012
    La la la...
    The Baron
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 9:55 AM, 02/14/2012
    That's the problem with most meteorologists using these computer guidance models as a "forecast". A major snowstorm on Presidents' Day is very unlikely. There is no way there is 3 upper level low pressures the way the Euro is depicting. The upper flow is far to progressive and there hasn't been one phase of the northern and southern jet stream all year. The ridge out West doesn't support an East coast snowstorm. Not to mention the polar vortex has taken a holiday to Alaska this winter. It's possible, but unlikely, to happen.
    scootch


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Tony Wood has been writing about the atmosphere for The Inquirer for 26 years.

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