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Archive: March, 2011

POSTED: Thursday, March 31, 2011, 7:15 PM

Unless something tremendously unexpected happens in the middle of the night, this storm is going to be a classic non-event around here.

The computer models had foreseen something potentially monstrous, and so had Joe Bastardi, who left Accu-Weather abruptly last month and took his popular blog to a company called WeatherBell.

Bastardi, who had been talking about the storm for several days, had called for a significant snow hit along the I-95 corridor.

POSTED: Thursday, March 31, 2011, 5:23 PM

After models runs that hinted at a power-line downing spring snowstorm and a beach-ripping nor'easter, it appears that the region is in for a generic rainstorm.

The storm now is expected to track farther east than earlier projections, and to deepen farther north, said Jim Poirier, meteorologist at the National Weather Service office in Mount Holly.

The rainfall amounts, which looked impressive in yesterday's forecasts, have been cut back to about a modest half-inch. The winds also have been knocked down a few notches.

POSTED: Wednesday, March 30, 2011, 11:29 AM

With only 63 shopping days left before the official start of the hurricane season, Accu-Weather Inc. issued its tropical outlook this morning.

It's calling for an above-average season with named tropical storms, with eight of those becoming hurricanes, with peak winds of at least 74 m.p.h. The averages are about 10 and six.

While that isn't quite as busy as last year's, Accu-Weather is looking for more U.S. landfalls this year. You may recall that despite all those storms in 2010, the United States and its taxpayers were spared major damage.

POSTED: Wednesday, March 30, 2011, 5:22 PM

The nor'easter appears to be lining up as advertised, but the latest model guidance is suggesting rain along the I-95 corridor, all but removing any significant snow threat.

If snow does accumulate, the latest thinking is that it would happen as the storm pulls away and draws in some colder air before the steady precipitation ends Friday morning.

At the Shore, the projected onshore winds, which could last for 24 hours or more and gust past 35 m.p.h., would suggest beach erosion.

POSTED: Tuesday, March 29, 2011, 11:55 AM

For the last nine Marches, the official Philadelphia temperature has gone above 60 during the final week at least once, and we've mentioned that said streak is about to end.

This also is going to end up being an elite week for cold, at least in the period of record that dates to 1872.

Assuming the official National Weather Service forecast accurately has captured the next three days -- and that's a very big assumption right now -- the average temperature for the week would come in at 38.6.

POSTED: Tuesday, March 29, 2011, 10:19 AM

Based on the latest computer-model runs, almost anything is in play for Friday other than a beautiful day for baseball.

It should be a pitcher's night for tonight's exhibition game, with a breeze blowing in from left center and hand-stinging temperatures tumbling into the 30s as March continues its remarkably chilling exit.

Wind chills this morning are in the 20s, and this is going to mark the first time since 2001 that the last week of March will have passed without a single reading in the 60s. In 2006, it hit 82.

POSTED: Tuesday, March 29, 2011, 7:31 PM

Expect plenty of forecast mutations during the next 48 hours, but right now it is looking more likely that March will exit dramatically, and April will enter nastily.

In this evening's discussion, the National Weather Service alludes to an "increasing consensus for a major nor'easter" Thursday night into Friday. 

Some nuisance rain and snow -- mostly rain -- is expected tomorrow into tomorrow night, and it shouldn't do anything more than whiten the grass and the mailboxes.

POSTED: Monday, March 28, 2011, 9:05 AM

We've seen a couple of outlooks suggesting excellent baseball weather in April, and we've also seen enough long-term outlooks not to take them seriously.

In the short-term, it appears that when the Phillies head north this week they will encounter weather more appropriate for an Eagles' game in December.

Strong Canadian high pressure continues to press cold air southward, and two storms are likely to come tantalizingly close this week.

About this blog

Everyone talks about the weather, and here we write about it.

When we’re around and conditions warrant, we’ll keep you updated about what’s coming, but we will do our best always to discuss weather and climate developments in context and remind you that nothing in the atmosphere happens in a vacuum.

Tony Wood has been writing about the atmosphere for The Inquirer for 26 years.

Reach Tony at twood@phillynews.com.

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