Wednesday, July 30, 2014
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Crunchy Numbers Week 7: Villanova in the spotlight

The Wildcats' football team gets the headlines today, and their football team gets them tomorrow.

Crunchy Numbers Week 7: Villanova in the spotlight

Lots of stuff to talk about today, and we’ll start by looking ahead to tomorrow.

Tomorrow is Big East men’s basketball media day at Madison Square Garden, and I’ll be there bright and early to bring you live coverage all day.

I’ll also have a few new hoops-related treats to unveil for you that I think you’ll like. Stay tuned.

I don’t have any inside scoops, but if I had to bet I think Villanova will be picked very high in the preseason poll. My guess is either the Wildcats or West Virginia will be No. 1, with Georgetown third.

We already know about the CAA preseason poll. Their media day was today down in Washington, and the Dragons were picked to finish seventh. Old Dominion was picked to finish first, with Northeastern second and Virginia Commonwealth third.

The Dragons women’s team was picked first, with star forward Gabriela Marginean named as the preseason player of the year.

Philly Hoops Insider has the complete breakdown.

Tomorrow night, I’ll be liveblogging Dodgers-Phillies Game 4 tomorrow night. Our liveblogs so far have been incredibly successful and a lot of fun, so I hope you’ll join me.

Because of tomorrow’s events, I won’t be at the football coaches luncheon (nor will most of the reporters who usually attend, if you think about it). So today’s Crunchy Numbers post includes the Division II and Division III recap.

A bit of bonus reading material before we get there, though. First of all, as it’s Tuesday, there’s a new Forde-Yard Dash.

Second, ESPN released (in PDF form) its college basketball TV schedule for the coming season this afternoon. Sports Illustrated’s Richard Deitsch tweeted that it measures 9,248 words.

As with last year, I’ll be compiling spreadsheet schedules for the City Six men’s and women’s teams and another one with all of the nationally televised games this season.

They are formatted so you can easily export them to the calendar in Outlook. I don’t know if they are compatible with Google Calendar, but if any of you know how to do that, please shoot me an email and let me know.

Now for this week’s numbers.


Division I

21. Penn State (28)
Last week: Home win vs. No. 54/59 Minnesota, 20-0
This week: 10/24 at No. 34 Michigan, 3:30 p.m. (ABC)
Sagarin predicts: Michigan by 1 (77.91 and 3 to 80.42)

58. Villanova (69)
Last week: Road win vs. No. 119/135 James Madison, 27-0
This week: 10/24 vs. No. 200 Rhode Island, 3:30 p.m.
Sagarin predicts: Villanova by 33 (72.84 and 3 to 42.53)

The result of the week without a doubt. Because of how close the last few 'Nova-JMU games have been, and because it pushes them quite some distance above Rutgers. Think I should mention that in New York?

78. Rutgers (62)
Last week: Home loss vs. No. 26/24 Pittsburgh, 24-17
This week: 10/23 at No. 141 Army, 8:00 p.m. (ESPN2)
Sagarin predicts: Rutgers by 10 (68.76 to 55.47 and 3)

86. Delaware (90)
Last week: Road win vs. No. 181/187 Towson, 49-21
This week: No game

97. Temple (96)
Last week: Home win vs. No. 131/141 Army, 27-13
This week: 10/24 at No. 104 Toledo, 7:00 p.m.
Sagarin predicts: Toledo by 1 (63.81 and 3 to 65.41)

136. Lafayette (147)
Last week: Road win vs. No. 138/172 Harvard, 35-18
This week: 10/24 vs. No. 194 Fordham, 1:00 p.m.
Sagarin predicts: Lafayette by 15 (56.69 and 3 to 44.70)

150. Penn (172)
Last week: Road win vs. No. 161/164 Columbia, 27-13
This week: 10/24 vs. No. 196 Yale, 3:30 p.m. (Comcast Network)
Sagarin predicts: Penn by 13 (54.27 and 3 to 44.19)

188. Delaware State (187)
Last week: Road loss vs. No. 37/34 Michigan, 63-6
This week: 10/24 vs. No. 178 Morgan State, 1:00 p.m.
Sagarin predicts: Delaware State by 2 (46.63 and 3 to 48.07)

225. Lehigh (205)
Last week: Home loss vs. No. 188/196 Yale, 7-0
This week: 10/24 at No. 233 Bucknell, 1:00 p.m.
Sagarin predicts: Lehigh by 1 (35.39 to 32.25 and 3)

233. Bucknell (229)
Last week: No game
This week: 10/24 vs. No. 225 Lehigh, 1:00 p.m.
Sagarin predicts: Lehigh by 1 (35.39 to 32.25 and 3)

236. Princeton (214)
Last week: Road loss vs. No. 160/185 Brown, 34-17
This week: 10/24 at No. 172 Harvard, 12:00 p.m.
Sagarin predicts: Harvard by 21 (49.06 and 3 to 31.16)

It’s the first time since Bucknell was added to Crunchy Numbers that the Bison aren’t in last place. I can’t honestly say I expected Princeton to do the honors, but it looks like the Tigers really are that bad. And it won’t get any better this week.


Divisions II and III

West Chester
Last week: Road loss vs. Shippensburg 24-19
This week: 10/22 vs. Cheyney, 6:00 p.m.

Delaware Valley
Last week: Home win vs. Wilkes, 23-0
This week: 10/24 at Lycoming, 1:00 p.m.

Rowan
Last week: Road win vs. Morrisville State, 67-0
This week: 10/24 vs. Buffalo State, 1:30 p.m.

Ursinus
Last week: Road win vs. Johns Hopkins, 16-14
This week: 10/24 at McDaniel (Westminster, Md.), 1:00 p.m.

McDaniel is notable for being the site of the Baltimore Ravens’ training camp.

Widener
Last week: Home loss vs. Lycoming, 28-16
This week: 10/24 at Albright, 1:00 p.m.

Lincoln
Last week: Road loss vs. Elizabeth City State, 54-18
This week: 10/24 vs. Virginia State, 1:30 p.m.

Cheyney
Last week: Road loss vs. Bloomsburg, 28-16
This week: 10/22 at West Chester, 6:00 p.m.

Jonathan Tannenwald Philly.com
About this blog
Soft Pretzel Logic is Philly.com's college sports blog, with a primary focus on the University of Pennsylvania. You'll also see coverage of the Big 5, other major college sports events in the region, and the annual Penn Relays track and field meet.

Reach Jonathan at jtannenwald@phillynews.com or 215-854-2330.

Jonathan Tannenwald Philly.com
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