Crunchy Numbers Week 5, USA-Honduras TV info

NOTE: This post has been updated from the original version...

Let's start with a bit of housekeeping (with apologies to Dan Levy), because the next few weeks are going to be a bit busy here on the blog.

This coming Saturday, I'll be at Franklin Field to cover the Bucknell-Penn football game for the Inquirer. I hope to open a chat during the game, so be ready for a post near the 1:00 p.m. kickoff.

Saturday night, the U.S. national soccer team will play a World Cup Qualifying at Honduras. Because the Honduran soccer federation owns the broadcast rights, the match will only air on closed-circuit television in the United States.

This morning, Tir Na Nog at 16th and Arch was added to the rights-holder's official list of establishments that will show the game. That is the only location in the region that is airing the English-language broadcast as of now. I will be there, and I hope to provide some kind of updates either here on the blog or on Twitter if I can't get a laptop into the room.

The list of establishments showing the game in Spanish include two in South Jersey: Los Compadres in Atlantic City (2701 Arctic Ave.) and La Escondida II in Pleasantville (701 Black Horse Pike).

The game is scheduled to kick off at 10:00 p.m. Eastern Time. The cover charge is supposed to be $15.

The following Wednesday, Oct. 14, I'll be in Washington, D.C. to cover the U.S.' final World Cup Qualifying match against Costa Rica. I know that a number of you are planning to go to the game, so I'll take this opportunity to remind you that this blog and our live chats are iPhone-compatible. So those of you who have iPhones are welcome to join the conversation from the the stands.

On Saturday, Oct. 17, I'll be in New York to cover Penn's football game at Columbia. I was as shocked as anyone when I saw the Lions' scoreline from this past weekend: a 38-0 win at Princeton. The result was Columbia's first road shutout of an Ancient Eight opponent since 1961, and in general it was the kind of statement game that sent shockwaves around the league.

I have seen Penn teams pound Columbia squads a number of times, and before Saturday I figured this year would be more of the same. I suspect I am not the only one out there who wonders if things might change this time around.

The game will kick off at 1:30, and as with the Bucknell game I hope to have some kind of chat during the afternoon. There are a number of big national games that day, so we should have plenty to talk about.

Finally, I'll be back in Manhattan on Wednesday, Oct. 21, to begin the countdown to college basketball season at Big East Media Day. While this year's conference might not measure up to last year's strong season, there will still be plenty of attention paid to events at Madison Square Garden that day. I will be particularly interested to see how big a crowd Rick Pitino draws.

There will be live coverage as well as plenty of multimedia from the event.

So that's what we have to look forward to.

As for today, we have the latest edition of Football Crunchy Numbers.

18. Penn State (23)
Last week: Road win vs. No. 85/91 Illinois, 35-17
This week: 10/10 vs. No. 152 Eastern Illinois, 12:00 p.m. (ESPN Classic)
Sagarin predicts: Penn State by 31 (81.43 and 3 to 53.61)

56. Rutgers (54)
Last week: No game
This week: 10/10 vs. No. 231 Texas Southern, 3:30 p.m.
Sagarin predicts: Rutgers by 45 (73.21 and 3 to 31.23)

64. Villanova (83)
Last week: Home win vs. No. 82/77 William & Mary, 28-17
This week: 10/10 at No. 110 New Hampshire, 12:00 p.m.
Sagarin predicts: Villanova by 5 (71.51 to 63.05 and 3)

For the record, 58 of the 120 teams in I-A football are ranked below Villanova in the Sagarin Index. Among the notable names are Kansas State, Syracuse and Purdue.

97. Temple (109)
Last week: Road vs No. 159/164 Eastern Michigan, 24-12
This week: 10/10 vs. No. 156 Ball State, 1:00 p.m.
Sagarin predicts: Temple by 15 (65.01 and 3 to 52.82)

118. Delaware (120)
Last week: Road win vs. No. 156/159 Maine, 27-17
This week: 10/10 vs. No. 90 Massachusetts, 10:00 p.m.
Sagarin predicts: Massachussets by 1 (65.58 to 61.39 and 3)

146. Lafayette (162)
Last week: Road win vs. No. 167/188 Yale, 31-14
This week: 10/10 vs. No. 174 Columbia, 6:00 p.m. (RCN-4 or RCN-8, WBPH-60, tape-delayed on MASN)
Sagarin predicts: Lafayette by 9 (55.84 and 3 to 49.50)

167. Penn (164)
Last week: Road win vs. No. 209/204 Dartmouth, 30-24
This week: 10/10 vs. No. 222 Bucknell, 1:00 p.m.
Sagarin predicts: Penn by 18 (51.38 and 3 to 36.51)

177. Delaware State (184)
Last week: No game
This week: 10/10 vs. No. 228 Bethune-Cookman, 7:00 p.m.
Sagarin predicts: Delaware State by 20 (48.80 and 3 to 32.30)

200. Lehigh (186)
Last week: Home loss vs. No. 151/137 Harvard, 28-14
This week: 10/10 vs. No. 235 Georgetown, 12:30 p.m. (Service Electric 2, tape-delayed on Fox College Sports)
Sagarin predicts: Lehigh by 15 (42.05 and 3 to 29.60)

209. Princeton (179)
Last week: Home loss vs. No. 201/174 Columbia, 38-0
This week: 10/8 vs. No. 142 Colgate, 7:00 p.m. (ESPNU)
Sagarin predicts: Colgate by 13 (56.43 to 40.47 and 3)

222. Bucknell (223)
Last week: Home win vs. No. 232/235 Georgetown, 14-6
This week: 10/10 at No. 167 Penn, 1:00 p.m.
Sagarin predicts: Penn by 18 (51.38 and 3 to 36.51)