Obama's people happy with Pa. prospects


Obama's campaign help a briefing on the status of the race for reporters today, and they described Pennsylvania as pretty secure territory, according to the Washington Post:

McCain is making an aggressive run at Pennsylvania, but (campaign manger David) Plouffe pointed out that Democrats hold a 1.2 million voter-registration advantage in the state, double the 2004 rate.

The "cold, hard numbers," as Plouffe put it, are this: McCain would have to win 15 percent of the Democratic vote, 95 percent of the Republican vote, and 60 percent of independents to carry Pennsylvania on Nov. 4.

"It's a daunting task," said Plouffe, who said Democrats would continue to vigorously defend the electoral vote-rich state, even though most polls show Obama with a solid lead in Pennsylvania. "We've got to keep it in the Obama column," Plouffe said.

Meanwhile, at a separate briefing on Friday afternoon, a veteran Democratic pollster said an "earthquake" is coming.

"Democratic pollster Stan Greenberg said Friday that his party is in position for “an earthquake election” come Nov. 4.
“Nothing is going to look the same,” Greenberg said, joined by Democratic strategist James Carville at a breakfast with reporters hosted by The Christian Science Monitor."

Guess Greenberg and Carville have lots of faith in their polling.

And latest is this from Massachusetts:

"Conservative New York Times columnist David Brooks predicted that Sen. Barack Obama will defeat Sen. John McCain in the Nov. 4 presidential election by nine percentage points.

During a chat with local press prior to a question-and-answer session with students at Massachusetts College of Liberal Arts yesterday, Brooks went on to say that this election will be the end of a national Republican power arc that has been largely in place since the election of Ronald Reagan in 1980 and on the decline since 1995.

He said this election will mark a "sea change in American politics" and that the Democratic reign could last as long as 10 to 15 years.


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