Monday, May 25, 2015

Obama warns of overconfidence; Pa. polls still show Obama lead

Obama warns of overconfidence; Pa. polls still show Obama lead


By 2012 all campaigning may be done by video. Evidence? Here's a video communication from Obama to his supporters warning them of overconfidence.

Keep an eye on the guy on the bike.

The polls in Pennsylvania are showing no consistent trend - other than an Obama advantage - despite the intensive attention being paid to voters by McCain and Palin.

For the past week, Obama has held a lead marked by its fluctuation from 4 percent to 14 percent. One piece of evidence that may indicate some gains by McCain is that the latest poll, by NBC/Mason Dixon and in the field on Oct. 27 and Oct. 28, gives Obama the 4 point lead.

But a Marist poll, done the 26th and 27th gives Obama a 14 point lead.

Those fluctuations explain why McCain has hope, and Obama is releasing videos like the one above. The average of all recent polls gives Obama a 9.5 percent lead.

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The Inauguration: Jan. 20 blog brings you coverage of President-elect Barack Obama's transition into office.

It's written by political journalists from the Philadelphia Inquirer. Send us your comments -- and news tips -- at this address.

Thomas FitzgeraldThomas Fitzgerald joined The Philadelphia Inquirer in 2000, and has covered Harrisburg as well as city, state and national politics for the newspaper. He was a “boy on the bus” in the 2004 presidential campaign and during primary contests in 2000 and 1996.

Nathan Gorenstein has covered politics and government in the city, state and nation for the Inquirer. He's worked in the city hall bureau, had a stint on the business desk, and once covered the suburbs. After serving as assistant regional editor, he was named editor of the "Politics" web site.

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