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Thursday, October 30, 2008

 

By 2012 all campaigning may be done by video. Evidence? Here's a video communication from Obama to his supporters warning them of overconfidence.

Keep an eye on the guy on the bike.

The polls in Pennsylvania are showing no consistent trend - other than an Obama advantage - despite the intensive attention being paid to voters by McCain and Palin.

For the past week, Obama has held a lead marked by its fluctuation from 4 percent to 14 percent. One piece of evidence that may indicate some gains by McCain is that the latest poll, by NBC/Mason Dixon and in the field on Oct. 27 and Oct. 28, gives Obama the 4 point lead.

But a Marist poll, done the 26th and 27th gives Obama a 14 point lead.

Those fluctuations explain why McCain has hope, and Obama is releasing videos like the one above. The average of all recent polls gives Obama a 9.5 percent lead.

Click here for Philly.com's politics page.

Posted by Nathan Gorenstein @ 3:11 PM  Permalink | 45 comments
Comments   
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Posted 04:12 PM, 10/30/2008
LostDemocracy
WHO ARE YOU GOING TO TRUST IN THESE TOUGH ECONOMIC TIMES? Should you trust a proven veteran with ability to reform and work across the aisle or the most liberal, partisan and rookie senator who wants to "spread around" your hard earned dollars? Our corporations are forced to raise capital from foreigners - so is it time to cut capital gains taxesas McCain will and allow Americans to benefit from taking a risk in these volatile markets, or is it time to raise capital gains taxes as Obama promises? Last US president which stopped free trade during recession ( Obama’s plan ) was Hoover and we all know that what followed - the Great Depression. On top of 700 Billions bailout Obama wants to spend another TRILLION dollars on his health care reform. Guess what - it will cost much more and will not achieve even fraction of expected results. OBAMA SAYS: “YES WE CAN” MCCAIN SAYS: “YES WE WILL” THIS IS NOT A TIME TO TAKE A RISK WITH LIBERAL ROOKIE - MCCAIN IS THE RIGHT CHANGE WE NEED
Posted 05:50 PM, 10/30/2008
HandNik
YES WE WILL vote with the least popular president 90% of the time. YES WE WILL strip American's of rights. YES WE WILL use our conservaitve policies to further damage the middle class and support the wealthy. YES WE WILL propose health care reform without an idea of actual cost for an average family. YES WE WILL continure pursuing failed foreign policy.
Posted 05:51 PM, 10/30/2008
Leron
I've said it months and months ago, the American people will throw Obama a bone, but ultimately he will get squashed.
Posted 05:52 PM, 10/30/2008
Jpills
http://elections.foxnews.com/2008/10/30/clinton-suggests-obama-uncertain-economic-crisis/comments/ Bill Clinton is working for Hillary 2012 in Florida and elsewhere this week and helping McCain in the process! There is definitely changing Tide for McCain Palin with Bill and Hillary Democrats coming over now to VOTE McCain-Palin 08 (preparing for Hillary 2012). The Clintons and McCains for White House Dinner..who would have guessed.
Posted 05:53 PM, 10/30/2008
andrewfrombrooklyn
McCain, by his own admission, has no grasp of economics, which was plainly evident by him "suspending" his campaign to go to Washington, where he attended a meeting with White House officials and other congressional leaders and said nothing. He didn't even ask any questions. His campaign has been mismanaged from the beginning, unfocused and unable to inspire broad swaths of the electorate toward any achievable goal. His judgment on both wars--in Iraq, where he said we would be greeted as liberators, and Afghanistan, which he described as "in the bag"--has proven faulty. Who, exactly, is supposed to be the rookie in your argument? As for your handle--LostDemocracy--I think that happened under the Bush adminstration, with its flouting of basic Constitutional principles and his monkeying with the U.S. legal system for political purposes. Your argument is as weak as the Tampa Bay Rays, and so is your candidate. Go Obama.
Posted 05:57 PM, 10/30/2008
animalsrule
If you want Obama to win, copy these links and email them to everyone you know. People must be made aware of the FACT that Sarah Palin supports the killing of wolf pups, bear cubs, and imperiled polar bears. SHE LOVES TO KILL ANIMALS HERSELF, BUT IS SUPPOSEDLY PRO-LIFE????? http://www.defendersactionfund.org/ http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qHCcunc7SHo&NR=1 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EcDjxpeaDkc http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=srv6AWySQPY
Posted 06:02 PM, 10/30/2008
MikeP
LoserDemocracy, Are you serious? McCain has campaigned on econimic policies that are identical to George Bush. He has been saying for two years that the Bush policies delivered an awesome economy and as recently as a month ago that the fundamentals of this economy are sound even though dozens of major publications were warning of issues in the banking industry. McCain is a powerful Senator with access to any econimist inside or outside the government. The only thing McCain wanted to talk about before the banking industry collapsed was the surge in Iraq. It was the one out of a hundred things he got right about the war. While he was saying that we'd be in Iraq for another 10 years, Bush and the Iraq goverment were negotiating a timeline for withdrawing our troops so apparently McCain wasn't privy to what was going on and was, once again, wrong. There is now consensus amogn economists that the "free market/trickle down" Republican economic philosophy has been a failure. It produced historic deficits, almost no jobs and the near ruin of the banking industry that put 100 year old companies out of business. Since then, McCain has not changed any economic policies and is still calling for making permanent the failed policy of giving huge tax cuts to the wealthy. Obama has said he will offset any spending with spending cuts. There;s no question what McCain would do. He was a major player in the crew that increased overall spending that created a huge deficit that he funded by getting a loan from Communist Chin. That's what all of the experience McCain has delivered. Look at the economy. That's what the Republicans produced. And you're cheerleading for more? McCain isn't risky. He a sure bet to be a disaster. It's time for a change. ANYTHING IS BETTER THAN WHAT McCAIN PRODUCE. The only thing worse would be the Great Depression and we're not out of this mess yet. McCain would almost guarantee a depression unless he completely revises his economic policies.
Posted 06:13 PM, 10/30/2008
MikeP
Well, Leron, looks like McCain is the perfect candidate for you then. He's been wrong for months and months too. Wrong yesterday. Wrong today. Wrong tommorow. Here's what I've been saying for months: McCain will lose his seat in the Senate when he's up for reelection. He run the most dishonorable, dishonest, embarressing. poorly managed presidential campaign in modern history. He's really shown the type of person that he is. Once he loses the election, I don't know how he can look himself in the mirror. A woman in one of his audience says Obama is a Arab. What does McCain say: "No ma'am. He's a good, honorable man." Uh, so is he implying that Arabs are dishonorable and bad? I'm sure that went over well with our Arab allies in the war on terrorism. He's a relic from the Cold War who's approach is out of date and out of sync with the 21st century. That nonsense doesn't work anymore. Thinks are a little more complicated and sophisticated for someone who is so careless about what comes out of his mouth. We don't need a erratic hot head running our country.
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Posted 09:15 PM, 10/30/2008
GA in Blue Bell
I am so sick of McCain muppets saying Obama is "spreading the wealth" and taking their money. The vast majority of these people don't have any wealth. They seem to forget that he is talking about a graduated income tax. This has been part of the American taxation code since the 1930's. Remember the last time so few people had all the money? It was called the roaring 20's. What followed was the Great Depression. Killing off the middle class didn't work then, and won't work now. If Obama doesn't try and get the average person some of the wealth, do these people think the filthy rich CEO's of fortune 500 companies are going to spread it around and get some it ot them? They are the ones who stopped giving workers raises and stripped away our benefits, and then got huge bonuses for doing it.
Posted 09:50 PM, 10/30/2008
2008vote
What if Obama is not a US citizen http://www.philly.com/s?action=confirmReg&u=21935614&pc=627964768&rurl=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.philly.com%2Fs%3Faction%3Dlogin%26regConfMsg%3Dy
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Posted 12:05 AM, 10/31/2008
writerstephen
To add on to what GA said: this can also be attributed to the job migration to foreign countries. Companies can't justify paying their CEOs exorbitant salaries AND paying American workers a living wage. Therefore executives find cheaper labor elsewhere: China, India, Mexico, other countries. It can't stand, and it won't -- one way or the other. Either the middle class will perish and we will revert to a feudal system, or a wise and visionary leader will attempt to effect a more equitable arrangement. Guess which leader that is? lonewolf, your first guess is wrong.
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Thomas FitzgeraldThomas Fitzgerald joined The Philadelphia Inquirer in 2000, and has covered Harrisburg as well as city, state and national politics for the newspaper. He was a “boy on the bus” in the 2004 presidential campaign and during primary contests in 2000 and 1996.

Nathan Gorenstein has covered politics and government in the city, state and nation for the Inquirer. He's worked in the city hall bureau, had a stint on the business desk, and once covered the suburbs. After serving as assistant regional editor, he was named editor of the "Politics" web site.