Thomas Fitzgerald reports:
Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton holds a 51 to 44 percent lead among likely Democratic primary voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released this morning.
“Pennsylvania voters apparently made up their minds a couple of weeks ago and nothing has happened since to change them. An extraordinary turnout effort by Sen. Barack Obama’s campaign could snatch this victory from Sen. Hillary Clinton, but that does not appear likely,” said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the university's Polling Institiute.
“Sen. Obama got off message after his ‘bitter’ remarks and never regained his momentum, giving Sen. Clinton the opening to fight another day in Indiana and North Carolina," Richards said. "She wins in Western Pennsylvania; he wins in the East. She gets Catholics, white women and blue-collar labor vote. He captures men, blacks and college grads – and enough delegates to keep his edge in the number that counts most.”
The poll was conducted April 18-20, surveying 1,027 likely Democratic voters. Results are subjec to an error margin of plus or minus 3 percent.
Posted by Thomas Fitzgerald @ 11:02 AM
Permalink |
102 comments
From campaign organizer to Presidential candidate is akin to ball boy to Major Leaguer. Ah yes. Only in America can the weak survive
The entire country is watching us and tomorrow we'll either confirm old impressions or launch a new PA.
Go Obama!
What I would like to know is what is wrong with the old impressions of PA? Sounds like a place most Americans would like to live.
Rendell and Farrakhan: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DXum_-8I1TA
I hope Obama knocks her down tomorrow. Hillary doesnt care about PA, she just pretended just to get votes. All she has done for us is lie and says and do anything to get a win, as Michael Moore quote, he is so upset the way she has handle things. I pray we will prove everyone wrong and have Obama win PA.
From 22 points to 7 points... No Bad!
no jobs dude
it's amazing Hillary leads in the polls with obama out spending her 4 to 1,go home obama!
Anything less than a 10 point win for Hillary is a win for Obama.
not quite confirming old impressions of PA, yea a lot of people would liek to live in PA....however not just with PA, but in the USA in general, wwe need to launch a new USA, go OBAMA
not quite confirming old impressions of PA, yea a lot of people would liek to live in PA....however not just with PA, but in the USA in general, wwe need to launch a new USA, go OBAMA
Comment removed.
I'M STILL A OBAMA VOTER AND I WILL VOTE FOR HIM.
Nobama!! Go Hillary. Obama is trying to buy his nomination with 8 million dollars worth of TV ads.
See this opinion piece by Rendell - he has laid out very clearly why he supports Hillary :”Hillary – right for Pennsylvania, right for America. The bottom line is this: She is best prepared to be the commander in chief of our military and our economy starting on Day 1”. By Edward G. Rendell from the April 21, 2008 edition
From the Christian Science Monitor.
Pennsylvanians - do the right thing and give Hillary a double digit win tomorrow. You won't regret it. She will do right by you. Obama has proven he will do whatever is politically expedient to win. His campaign is much more negative than Hillary’s yet he denies that with a big smile, all the time laughing behind your backs.
Go Obama! Hillary will be just more of the same. She won't critize Bush, which means she supports him and his horrible policies.
Obama's home states are Illinois, Kansas and Hawaii. Hillary's home states are Ark, NY, and PA. If Obama can close to under 10 points in Hillary's home state, then he beat her. We can't let another "entitled" liar inherit the White House. We learned our lesson with George W Bush. They take the American people for granted.
Comment removed.
Still ahead in the polls, huh? Looks like Chelsea's bar crawling worked.
“Now one of Clinton’s Laws of Politics is this,” Mr. Clinton says. “If one candidate’s trying to scare you and the other one’s trying to get you to think; if one candidate’s appealing to your fears and the other one’s appealing to your hopes, you better vote for the person who wants you to think and hope. That’s the best.” Thats Bill Clinton in 2004
I laugh at the silly posts people make about Obama. As if just anyone gets to be one of the 100 senators. He's got substance. Hillary, on the other hand, had to be married to a president to get elected. Now she continues to tear apart the party.
Paul Paulos, a little correction: From COMMUNITY organizer to Presidential candidate. . . .ball boy to major leaguer! Ah, yes! Only in America, Paul! FIRE UP, PENNSYLVANIA, LET'S GO! OBAMA! OBAMA! OBAMA!
Will Hillary sign a pledge swearing that this year she'll root for the Eagles to win the Super Bowl?? She's done about everything else to beg, borrow, steal or buy votes.
What "old impressions" are you referring to Mithcum??
Chelsea is a very smart and very attractive woman, she's very Hot!
Let's see if she will talk about her Lesbian affairs. Tell her to go home. GO Obama!!!!
CNN reports her campaign is $10,000,000 in debt! How is she going to run the country when she can't even run a campaign. VOTE OBAMA TOMORROW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Canada knows more about obama than these posters.
http://canadafreepress.com/index.php/article/2662
Let us hope tomorrow that Obama wins and sends her home packing. She does not care about PA - she is only in this for herself. She is a liar and dishonest - it would just be more of the Bush years again - heaven help us all!!!
Let us hope tomorrow that Obama wins and sends her home packing. She does not care about PA - she is only in this for herself. She is a liar and dishonest - it would just be more of the Bush years again - heaven help us all!!!
Interesting if the Dems did their Primaries the way the Republicans did...Hillary would win the nomination with PA... Dems assign delagates based on vote percentages not winner takes all...Republicans do winner takes all in primary which is same as US National election. ... And the winner would be Hillary who would of clinched the Dem nomination with a Pa. win. Vote for Hillary ...Obama is unelectable on a national level He only wins the red states in primaries. A vote for him is unrealistic.
This whole country is racist. But as a white man I can see the light. GO OBAMA!!!
THE FIX IS IN.
Obama will have more delegates but BILLARY will whine and threaten and therefore destroy any hope the Democrats have in the FALL> That's why Nutter and all the paybacks should get behind OBAMA NOW. Enough with the subtle BS and the garbage that BILLARY throws.
PA no wanna O'bama bahwanna
PA no wanna O'bama bahwanna
He'll get mauled in November.Mauled.
We've seen the future that Obama is tauting. Just look at the last 8 years if you want an idea of what it is like to have an inexperienced candidate with not detailed agenda looks like. Obama has been getting an extremely high percent of the black vote even though he's done little and the Clintons have a lifelong record of acheivement in the area of civil rights. Combine that with college age voters who have a superficial understanding of what is at stake and the importance of who is in the White House. I don't want to read the analysis of how an inexperienced candidate got elected and how devastating it was after 8 years of Bush for the next 10 years. If Obama is such a talented campaigner, why can't he provide details concerning what he intends to do if he gets elected. He has outspent Clinton 2 to 1 and he is going to lose PA. I'm not even going to comment on the idiotic "old impressions" slogan because it was obviously written by someone who finds writing in english a challenge. What exactly does "old impressions" mean anyway? Did the poster mean to say business as usual versus a new way of running Washington? What exectly does Obama's "new way" refer to? He's going to conduct an experiment where he does an end run around Congress and goes directly to the people? Ok, and if it doesn't work? Is it even necessary? The "old way" seemed to work fine for Bill Clinton. You just need to vote out the divisive Republicans and keep the moderate Republican and Democratic congress people in office. Things will work just fine if that happens.
Thank God. No matter how much Obama spends, no matter how much the Obamatrons chant "CHANGE" and "HOPE" like cult members...he's still going to lose. There's still some sanity in politics.
Delaware, Mitchum just read John Baer's column this morning and summarized it as briefly as s/he could - no original thought involved. This primary is like when I watch Duke/UNC in basketball. I'd like to see them both lose but it isn't possible. McCain in '08.
All this just so she can sit in the same seat her husband was getting hummers in? That's the mark of a sick mind.
That's just a poll for our little backwater. Nationally, it's a completely different story. Obama scrubs her out.
The Gallup Daily Tracking poll has Obama ahead among Democrats nationally 49% to 42%. (Last Friday, Clinton had pulled ahead by one point after the Wednesday night debate, but Obama recovered quickly.) The USA Today-Gallup poll (which is not the same as a tracking poll) has Obama ahead by 10 points, 50% to 40%. And Newsweek's poll released on Friday had Obama ahead nationally by 19 points, 54% to 35%.
So, PA, think about it as you head to the polls. Do you want to keep screwing things up nationally by voting for Hillary?
I think anything is better than McCain, but my first choice is Obama. I'm tired of the same old retoric and frankly Hillary is part of the same old rhetoric. Hillary just seems like she will say whatever needs to be said to get a vote. Like visiting Scranton. I wonder how many times she has been there before she began running for President.
Hillary is using the exact same fear mongering strategy which Bush and Cheney used in 2004 to get reelected -- She just released a Bin Laden video days before the election. Disgusting.
Obama's campaign posted this video response to Hillary's “bin laden” ad which is a fear mongering ad. -- Ironically, the Obama campaign was able to release a rebuttal in the form of a 2004 video by Bill saying thinking and hope is best.
YouTube - President Clinton responds to Hillary's "Children" ad.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yZW0m2nWB_M
Why can't we just all get along and accept the fact that we need a Democrat in the White House no matter who it is...geeez? Some of you sound like you need a big HUUGGGGG!!!!
MikeP, you're describing Bill Clinton's presidency. He had no experience, and he had an agenda like Hillary's that's sure to prompt a backlash and get the Dems thrown out of control of Congress. So GO OBAMA!
Who cares. VOTE MCCAIN IN THE GENERAL ELECTION.
Nobama, No way!!! I would never side with Farrakan,
Rev. Jeremiah Wright, The New Black Panther Party.
Go ahead Nobama supporters.
You're the same as the Stepford Wives.
Comment removed.
Obama's the better of the two, if only because he promises to change the game in D.C., which favors the highest bidder. Until individuals are able to finance $100,000,000 presidential campaigns, the way insurance companies, pharmaceutical co's. etc. do, nothing of significance will change in our lives or in the lives of our children. It's so pervasive it's a cliche, but D.C. is for sale, and you can't afford it. Bitter in PA.? We all are and why not? I discuss this in more detail at my new blog http://sanitycentral.wordpress.com
Comment removed.
Is it, Obama, the Socialist, vs. Hillary, the liar or
Obama vs. the Mama?
You know what's sad? There's more in-depth reporting in the BBC about presidential candidates than in this rag. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/7350775.stm
Give me a break Philly - I am an independent undecided voter that WAS leaning towards Obama - however - the media has been so biased against Clinton UNTIL the debate and then I started my own research and research and research - if the lie of Bosnia bothers you - and I am sure that NONE of you have ever lied before - she at least apologized - never have I heard Obama admit anything that he has ever done wrong - http://www.obamaunveiled.com with 74 lies and counting - I do not want that in the Oval Office -
If Hillary wins tomorrow, are people going to ask obama to bail, since he will be hurting the party? After all, she won all the big fat states (CA, Mich, Fla, PA, Ohio NY), not the little "red" southern states that McDing-bat will carry in november.. Ahhh...doesnt work that way, does it?
Real men and women will vote for McCain in November, a true American hero.
Real men vote for Hillary...
Isn't it disturbing that a Presidential candidate, who is supposed to unite all Americans, only wins state elections primarily because one demographic segment of the population votes 90% for him.
Just wondering when the MSM is planning on actually covering Ed Rendell's speech in praise of Farrakhan:
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/04/21/ed-rendell-clinton-surrog_n_97784.html
I guess the video here is not clear enough, Senator Obama has the entire press corp in his pocket after all, and Senator Clinton and members of her campaign are just really straight and truthful in all they ever says, huh?
Wizard 101 -- Reality has an anti-Hillary bias.
Paul Page -- what's more disturbing is how the other candidate peppers her speech with slurs and smears (e.g., gratuitiously and falsely throwing out the claim that Obama has a "relationship" with Farrakhan at the last debate) in order to capitalize on bigotry and to fan the fires of ignorance among the uneducated people that compose her base.
Waiting for balance. Regarding Gov Rendell talking about Farrakhan. What he was trying to do years ago was exactly what Obama recently claimed to do, mend race relations. He was saying that he admired the fact that Farrakhan preached that black men should stay with their families and help raise their children, because at the time they had to be told that was the proper way. However, the MSM might want to have Obama's church explain what greatness they see in their Man of the Year when he thinks Jesus is a blue eyed, hook-nosed white cracker? I find that extremely offensive..
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NtPaifksCdk&NR=1
Enough with the political dynasties who feel their name entitles them to power. Go Obama!
Go Hillary !
YOU PEOPLE IN PENN MUSTBE REAL IDIOTS..HILARY..GET READY FOR 8 YEARS OF DRAMA. WHY CAN'T YOU BE SMART AN GIVE THE VOTES TO OBAMA....THIS WILL BE A BUSH OR CLINTON INT HE WHITE HOUSE FOR 28 YEARS...GOD HELP US
YOU PEOPLE IN PENN MUST BE REAL IDIOTS..HILARY?..GET READY FOR 8 YEARS OF DRAMA. WHY CAN'T YOU BE SMART AN GIVE THE VOTES TO OBAMA....THIS MEANS THERE WILL BE A BUSH OR CLINTON IN THE WHITE HOUSE FOR 28 YEARS...GOD HELP US
tdoc, what you say makes no sense. Hillary didn't run in those Democratic leaning states against McCain -- she was running against Obama (and Edwards). So is California suddenly going to go Republican if she isn't the candidate? No. Are people going to stay home if she uses superdelegates to win the nomination despite a majority popular vote and pledged delegates supporting Obama? You bet.
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Ask Hillary Clinton and her husband who they invited to the White House for "spiritual counseling" when they were having marital difficulties regarding Monica Lewinsky. THE REVEREND JEREMIAH WRIGHT!!!!!! You know him, he is Obama's minister that she uses to put down whenever she wants to use the minister for another smear campaign against him. Boy the Clinton's both are well versed in lying and slinging the mud!!!!!
Had enough of being stonewalled by Bush? Don't vote Obama. What's the difference between Bush refusing to answer questions at press conferences -- or suspending them -- and Obama refusing to answer tough questions about his friendships and associations in OUR televised political debates. And now Obama has decided he doesn't want to do any more debates because ABC News turned up the heat on him. So Chill out, Obama. This was supposed to be the voter's chance to get to know the real you. Whoever that may be. You won't be getting my vote because I still believe in the First Amendment and am sick of presidents who don't. Hillary respects the people and the Constitution. Hillary has my vote!
cavecreeker..thank go my vote cancels yours
If you want to know the truth about Rev Wright go to wikipedia, check it out, this guy is not only a patriot but super patriot, Obama should be proud to associate with him, and the Republicans should be ashamed at denigrating his character...he has more character than any of the candidats! The media should be ashamed too really chech it out yourself on wikipedia:
Obama's campaign has been on Blaming, putting down, Condemning people.
He has no respect for the office of President. He has proven that.
He has no respect for the average American. He has proven it by selling you out to the highest bidder.
He cares about money, the rich and himself. He has proven that by his actions.
He has proved he has no honor, lying on his family and all of his friends. By lying and lying over again.
He has Proven He will not uphold the oath of President. He will not Defend or Protect this land.
He has Proven he is not the one to be president, by his words, his actions and his deeds.
Please vote Hillary, McCain someone who will take their oath of office seriously.
Obama's campaign has been on Blaming, putting down, Condemning people.
He has no respect for the office of President. He has proven that.
He has no respect for the average American. He has proven it by selling you out to the highest bidder.
He cares about money, the rich and himself. He has proven that by his actions.
He has proved he has no honor, lying on his family and all of his friends. By lying and lying over again.
He has Proven He will not uphold the oath of President. He will not Defend or Protect this land.
He has Proven he is not the one to be president, by his words, his actions and his deeds.
Please vote Hillary, McCain someone who will take their oath of office seriously.
Angry? Bitter? Why Not?
Bush/Clinton/Bush/Clinton wholesaling our jobs to Asia. Bill and Hillary. 109 Million Dollars. Enough already!
Obama mentions the obvious common folk anger? Reaction: Power elite attack! The media? Bill and Hillary? McCain? The ruling elite?
Why the Power Elite distrust of Obama? Not one of them. Who has ever accused Obama of living a charmed upper class life? His childhood? Obama exemplifies the American Dream. What's wrong with that?
Hey at least we have religion and guns in America.
The Chinese. No guns nor free religion. No guns for China's people. Plenty of guns for Iran, Sudan, Zimbabwe. So what if the Chinese Christians are "underground" and face persecution and are organ donor candidates?
When will we have a President that speaks the truth for all Americans? Despite our cynicism and prejudice?
When will we have a President who will stand against China, etc. when the truth is not popular economically (for the Chinese)? We are on the cusp of a seismic shift in American politics. His name is Barack Obama.
Robert Olson, M.D.
too bad he wasted all of your money could have bought some gas well better spent.
MORE small minded vocabulary
Posts from OBama SUPPORTers above
supporting the fact that most lack intelligence.
"I hope Obama knocks her down tomorrow. Hillary doesnt care about PA, she just pretended just to get votes. . . as Michael Moore quote, he is so upset the way she has handle things. I pray we will prove everyone wrong and have Obama win PA.
Posted by lexus817
what grade are you in lexus?
and will i am
"not quite confirming old impressions of PA, yea a lot of people would liek to live in PA....however not just with PA, but in the USA in general, wwe need to launch a new USA, go OBAMA
Posted by Will.i.Am
MORE small minded vocabulary
Posts from OBama SUPPORTers above
supporting the fact that most lack intelligence.
"I hope Obama knocks her down tomorrow. Hillary doesnt care about PA, she just pretended just to get votes. . . as Michael Moore quote, he is so upset the way she has handle things. I pray we will prove everyone wrong and have Obama win PA.
Posted by lexus817
what grade are you in lexus?
and will i am
"not quite confirming old impressions of PA, yea a lot of people would liek to live in PA....however not just with PA, but in the USA in general, wwe need to launch a new USA, go OBAMA
Posted by Will.i.Am
Vote for Hillary, Pennsylvania.
Billary lies.
Billary lies.
will i am says, "we need to launch a new USA". Hmnn? Let's think about this for a second...
just say "NO U CAN't to obama" from dousmellwhatobama's cooking
OBAMA 08'. Hillary clinton was the supposed brains behind eight years of the Clinton administration and look what we got! A failed attempt at nationalized health insurance and 'don't ask, don't tell' which is currently costing us millions each year as we kick well-qualified servicemen and women out of the military.
Come on Pennsylvania - we need you to get out the vote for Hillary tomorrow! Show the world that this primary is not for sale.
Unlike the Obama zealots above, Hillary's supporters do NOT think Pennsylvanians are "real idiots". Quite the contrary!
We are counting on Pennsylvanians to show the world that this primary cannot be bought and our nation cannot be duped. Let's elect a dem who will roll up her sleeves and get to work for us. Vote Hillary, PA!!
Vote for Unity
strongforu, you forgot NAFTA and the Defense of Marriage Act, institutionalizing discrimination against homosexuals in federal law signed by Bill.
Will someone puhleeze.... find Monica Lewinsky. We need to put this in proper perspective.
Unlike me, Obama actually thinks we need to listen to those that disagree.
It's gonna be a long 8 years for you all that can't stand the guy.
Hillary is erratic, McCain is too. We need someone young, steady, and calm in these horrible times.
Vote Obama!
Sen. Barak Obama has emphasized Change; change the status quo; that’s his campaign slogan. What more status quo than Murdoch family and their influence peddling empire? Can you believe that Rupert Murdoch's daughter Elisabeth Murdoch is planning fundraiser in London, away from scrutiny of American media; not that our media is going to say anything even slightly critical of Sen. Barak Obama’s past or present activities; our perceived Mr. Clean and Mr. Change. What hypocrisy is this? I am asking all those naïve Obama supporters to open their eyes and see what’s going on? Or have they all been brainwashed by Oprah?
Obama has positions on all major policies on his website. Anyone who says "change what" or "yes we can what" simply doesn't care to find out for themselves.
You can disagree with his solutions - but don't b.s. yourself.
"Macaca" that's what Obama thinks PA voters are.... slap the false messiah... slap Rezko's friend... slap Wright's pupil...
-With a Democrat congress, Democrat White House and a program that was initially wildly popular: Hillary failed to deliver Health Care in 1993.
-Going against core Democrat values everyone realized Hillary was trying to politically position herself and voted for Iraq. Most Democrats did not mind this deviation, at the time, as it was clear the GOP majority congress would deliver the vote for Bush anyway. At the time principles did not matter. Now Democrats need principle.
PENNSYLVANIA HOLDS CHANGE OF POLITICS AND THIS COUNTRY IN THEIR HANDS.
TAKE A GOOD LOOK AT YOUR CHILDREN.. DO YOU WANT THE SAME 20 YEARS????
I DON'T. WE ARE WATCHING FOR PENNSYLVANIA TO STAND UNITED AND SAY NO MORE!!!!!!YOUR NOT LIKE ALL THE OTHER STATES PROVE IT!!!!!
PA voters, now is your time to step-up and vote for a candidate who can actually achieve implementation of a sound healthcare program. End the partisan bickering of the past 16 years. Vote Obama.
You Pennsylvanians better give Hillary as big a win as she expects otherwise when she leaves she'll bad mouth you to the media and to the voters of Indiana and North Carolina, who will be her new friends as of Wednesday. All of us who states who voted against her since January got dissed by her and Billy the minute they got across the border.
--Thirsting for leadership that Hillary did not provide for 8 years.
Does anyone know why Obama is avoiding the press? I'm thinking it might have something to do with the lies he told during the debate. It seems like he doesn't like to answer questions.
So if she wins by 7 percent after blowing a 21 percent lead will Hillary start referring to herself again as the "Comeback kid"?
A vote for Clinton is a vote for the past. A vote for Obama is a vote for the future. I'm choosing the future. Won't you join me?
back to facts...all HRC needs is a Penn. win to complete the sweep of swing/battleground states which will matter most in the fall to Dems...showing the S-D`s she has the best chance to win these ALL-IMPORTANT states...
best LIAR of ALL?...BO makes the rest look like Saints when it comes to honesty...read at least 73 BO WHOPPERS the last 2 months and counting...
http://www.audacityofHypocrisy.com ...
according to most expert economists, Hillary gets it and has the best plan to solve the housing crisis, etc., and our current economic problems, etc...applauded more than both BO`s and McCain`s plans by the NYT...
http://www.nytimes.com/2008/03/28/opinion/28krugman.html?_r=1&oref=slogin ...
http://www.hillaryclinton.com/news/release/view/?id=6865 ...
http://www.hillaryclinton.com/news/release/view/?id=6830 ...
http://www.hillaryclinton.com/news/release/view/?id=6839 ...
Hillary also has superior plans, experience, etc., for foreign policy and bringing our troops home within 60 days...as shown by her 4x as many endorsements as BO from high-ranking vets/military experts...37 as of a few days ago and counting...here`s just some testimonials why they All endorse Clinton! ...
http://www.hillaryclinton.com/news/release/view/?id=6500 ...
6 more have endorsed her since then...Penns. vets/military officials know who`s best qualified too...
http://www.hillaryclinton.com/news/release/view/?id=6935 ...
Hillary also has the best plans for Social Security and Healthcare which show an expertise favored by the Edwards, more healthcare experts across the country, etc...than BO`s plan...
http://www.hillaryclinton.com/news/release/view/?id=7194 ...
click on blue lettering for PROOF!...
her plans for improving our schools and dealing with financial inequaties are well thought-out...and called the best by the experts...and is even supported by...
http://www.hillaryclinton.com/news/release/view/?id=7167 ...
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About Inquirer political writers
The Inauguration: Jan. 20 blog brings you coverage of President-elect Barack Obama's transition into office.
It's written by political journalists from the Philadelphia Inquirer. Send us your comments -- and news tips -- at this address.
Thomas Fitzgerald joined The Philadelphia Inquirer in 2000, and has covered Harrisburg as well as city, state and national politics for the newspaper. He was a “boy on the bus” in the 2004 presidential campaign and during primary contests in 2000 and 1996.
Nathan Gorenstein has covered politics and government in the city, state and nation for the Inquirer. He's worked in the city hall bureau, had a stint on the business desk, and once covered the suburbs. After serving as assistant regional editor, he was named editor of the "Politics" web site.
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