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Wednesday, May 14, 2008
No rebound in home prices until 2010

If you're concerned about the slide in home prices, a new survey won't make you sleep better.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia asked 50 professional forecasters for their projections for home prices. They don't see a rebound until 2010.

Now different forecasters use different measures of home prices. Those who rely on the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index said that measure would stop declining significantly in the second quarter of 2009.

Those who the house price indexes compiled by the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight are a little more optimistic, forecasting the end of the steep decline in the first quarter of 2009.

Case-Shiller collects data for 20 major metropolitan markets, but Philadelphia is not one of them. That's one reason why when new data from that index is released, I sleep just fine. Philadelphia real estate never got too hot, nor does it seem to be too cold in this housing slump.

Posted by Mike Armstrong @ 5:12 PM  Permalink | 3 comments
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Comments
Posted by franknstein 01:43 PM, 05/15/2008
Well, let's hope for 2010 because I'll be done my renovations and will be ready to sell my house, make some big bucks, and get far away from this place for the rest of my life.
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Posted by drsallywitt 08:11 PM, 05/16/2008
I am a real estate coach and trainer. I have seen the market go up and down over the years. Agents and clients are still doing business when they take advantage of the newer internet tools and marketing methods. The people that shift and change with the trends are going to be ok. I coach agents and investors on how to do this, and have free info added all the time on my website. Here is a podcast for free that I posted yesterday http://www.drsallywitt.com/podcast-recording-for-realtors-getting-started-in-social-networking/. Sellers and agents do not have to wait 2 years to put together great real estate transactions. We are still in a desirable area. People want to live here and there are great terms for mortgages right now.
3 comments
About Philly Inc
Mike Armstrong, a business editor and writer for nearly two decades, is the Inquirer's business columnist and PhillyInc blog editor.