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Friday, May 16, 2008
Major U.S. money drop begins

The federal government has begun a massive airlift of money to all of us.

I haven’t gotten my check yet, but the IRS says it has sent out $27 billion in economic stimulus payments so far.

Remember, the goal of the stimulus plan hatched early in the year was to flood the U.S. economy with cash to help avoid a recession.

Each person gets $600 and then goes shopping, not only spending that government check but even more. Dollars course through the commercial sector. The economy gets jolted out of its slump.

But as gas and food prices began to ratchet higher this spring, some criticized the $165 billion program, saying the U.S. would just wind up sending the money to OPEC or the Ack-a-Me.

Maybe so. That’s still consumer spending, however.

And let’s not forget that the federal government isn’t generally in the habit of returning your money to you. (Tax refunds don’t count. That’s a loan you shouldn’t have made in the first place.)

I’m talking about “found” money. That $600 you get either by direct deposit or paper check is two car payments. A household of two parents and two kids gets $1,800, and that’s a mortgage payment.

Billionaire Warren Buffett told CNBC if he owed money on a credit card charging 15 to 18 percent interest, he’d use his stimulus check to pay down that debt.

For him, the decision is a no-brainer: Most of us aren’t going to find an investment that’s going to earn a return of 15 to 18 percent.

The point of an economic stimulus program is to get lots of people to spend, spend, spend. That’s why supermarkets and other stores are offering a 10 percent match when you buy a $300 gift card. Nonprofit organizations are even appealing to you not to shop but to donate for a good cause.

But as I’ve written before, you should use the money to get your household finances in order. Pay down some debt. Start a college fund for your daughter. Put the cash into a certificate of deposit.

Consider this government check the catalyst for you to begin to change how you finance your lifestyle.

Posted by Mike Armstrong @ 3:05 AM  Permalink | 3 comments
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Comments
Posted by TheRock2020 08:11 AM, 05/16/2008
This guy Armstrong said he sleeps well at night because he does not think the local housing market has not experienced the same increase as other metropolitan areas. While the city may not have seen the same rapid increase, it has seen a very strong increase, as some condominiums downtown that sold for $95,000 in 1999 are now selling for $300,000 just 9 years later, or a 233% increase. If that is not a bubble, then I do not know what a bubble is, my friend.
Posted by JeffA 05:16 PM, 05/19/2008
TheRock - As I understand this market, you're missing some key elements. Philly did experience rapid appreciation in the housing market, but it had underperformed for over a decade before that. Many "experts" say the reason this is not a bubble is the region was in catch-up mode. The fact that the prices haven't come back down over the past year supports this theory. Go grind your axe somewhere else.
Posted by TheRock2020 01:05 PM, 05/20/2008
I will grind my axe wherever I'd like. The reason the city underperformed for the decade before that is because it deserved to, it was a complete dump that nobody wanted to live in. The crime rate was high, the city was littered with trash, landlords were uncaring scumbags, and the city was devoid of great jobs (the reason why all those Penn kids leave town for New York when they graduate). Then, suddenly, lenders began to give thousands of dollars to anybody with a pulse, and over the past 5 years (which coincides directly with the rest of the nation's housing bubble) prices here incresaed. Sounds like a bubble to me, because it's not like the city became amazing during the last 5 years. Some new restaurants and condominium buildings are great, but the wage tax is still high at 4.5%, there were over 500 murders last year, and last time I checked the only major corporate with headquarters in center city is a firm that everybody despises, Comcast. House prices have actually come down in the past year, especially in more speculative "up and coming" areas (Fishtown, Graduate Hospital, Northern Liberties), and houses for sale are on the market much longer than before. I will continue to be amazed how people, especially current homeowners and people in the real estate industry, will defend any weakness in the industry. But then again, their fortunes are directly tied to the health of the housing market, so maybe I should not be surprised at all the pom pom waving that goes on.
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About Philly Inc
Mike Armstrong, a business editor and writer for nearly two decades, is the Inquirer's business columnist and PhillyInc blog editor.