Monday, February 8, 2016

Phillies roster projection (Ver. 2.0)

In the wake of injuries to Darin Ruf and Freddy Galvis, a new roster prediction emerged.

Phillies roster projection (Ver. 2.0)

Ryne Sandberg watches from the dugout during an exhibition baseball game against the Boston Red Sox in Fort Myers, Fla., Saturday, March 15, 2014. (Gerald Herbert/AP)
Ryne Sandberg watches from the dugout during an exhibition baseball game against the Boston Red Sox in Fort Myers, Fla., Saturday, March 15, 2014. (Gerald Herbert/AP)

CLEARWATER, Fla. — The Phillies lost two bench players in two days to injury. They do not know how much time Darin Ruf will miss with a strained muscle in his rib cage. The same can be said for Freddy Galvis, who was hospitalized with a staph infection stemming from an abscess removal.

Such injuries are usually treated with conservatism. Their absences crystallize the roster picture with less than a week until the Phillies break camp

Our first roster prediction was made 11 days ago. Please read the caveats noted there. Here is the newest:

Carlos Ruiz
Wil Nieves

Ruiz is one of the few players who has hit with consistency this spring. The staff likes how Nieves has handled a new group of pitchers.

Ryan Howard
Chase Utley
Cody Asche
Jimmy Rollins 
Kevin Frandsen
Ronny Cedeno

Cedeno, 31, earns the nod over Reid Brignac to replace Galvis because of his 602 career major-league starts at shortstop. He can moonlight at second or third base (where is starting Friday). But Brignac, 28, has crushed the ball this spring and could win the job with a late push. (He has 156 career starts at shortstop.)

Cedeno was limited earlier in the spring by a bad back. If Cedeno is not added to the 25-man roster by Tuesday, he can ask for his release or be paid a $100,000 bonus to go to triple A.

Domonic Brown
Ben Revere
Marlon Byrd
John Mayberry Jr.
Bobby Abreu
Tony Gwynn Jr.

Abreu's bat has shown life in recent games. He is not the most nimble in right field (no 40-year-old man is) but the Phillies will keep him for his lefthanded pinch-hitting abilities. Ruf's murky status is a win for Mayberry. Gwynn, who strikes Ryne Sandberg as an ideal National League bench player because of his speed and defense.

Cliff Lee
A.J. Burnett
Kyle Kendrick
Roberto Hernandez

No changes here.

Jonathan Papelbon
Antonio Bastardo
Jake Diekman
Brad Lincoln
Justin De Fratus
Shawn Camp
B.J. Rosenberg

Camp throws strikes and is all but guaranteed a spot because of that. Rosenberg, who can provide length on this 11-man staff, is a favorite of the coaches because he can fill numerous roles. The fifth starter, whether it be Jeff Manship or David Buchanan, can start the season at triple-A Lehigh Valley. Another starter is not needed until April 14.

Cole Hamels
Mike Adams
Jonathan Pettibone
Ethan Martin
Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez
Freddy Galvis
Darin Ruf

Adams is planning for a mid-April return. Hamels is slated for May. Galvis and Ruf could be back before May. Still, it's never good to start the season with a seven-man disabled list.

Have a question? Send it to Matt Gelb's Mailbag.

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The place for up-to-the-minute Phillies coverage from The Inquirer's beat writers and columnists.

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