Monday, August 31, 2015

Making Their Own Breaks

The Phillies continue to have everything go right for them, including last night's 6-2 victory over the Braves.

Making Their Own Breaks

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Greg Golson shares high fives with Scott Eyre after he scored the go-ahead run in the eighth inning on a close play at the plate.
Greg Golson shares high fives with Scott Eyre after he scored the go-ahead run in the eighth inning on a close play at the plate. RON CORTES / Inquirer Staff Photographer

Brian McCann ripped a double just underneath the left-field foul pole in the ninth inning last night at Citizens Bank Park.

The Braves thought it might have been a home run.

Scott Eyre wouldn't have been surprised had it been ruled foul.

Things have been going that good for the Phillies lately. They have won 10 of their last 11 games to take a 2 1/2 game lead over the Mets in the National League East with just five games to play. In last night's 6-2 victory over the Braves at Citizens Bank Park, they continued to make breaks for themselves. That fact hasn't been lost on Eyre. Ryan Madson worked out of a killer eighth-inning jam in Saturday's 3-2 victory over the Florida Marlins.

"Unbelievable," Eyre said.

Greg Dobbs left the game Sunday because of cramp in his right calf. Pedro Feliz took his place and ripped a two-run homer to help beat the Marlins, 5-2.

"We had that planned," Eyre said. "Didn't we tell you?"

J.A. Happ pitched well again last night. Rudy Seanez worked out of a jam in the eighth, thanks to a nice play at the plate involving Jimmy Rollins and Carlos Ruiz. Greg Golson's legs gave the Phillies a one-run lead in the eighth before Pat Burrell hit a three-run homer to put it away. So if the umpires had ruled McCann's double a foul ball? No, Eyre wouldn't have been surprised at all.

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Bob Ford tells us about Golson's memorable moment. Here's a question, if the Phillies make the postseason who is on the 25-man roster? Does Golson make it because of his speed? Or does Charlie Manuel need another bat off the bench?

Update: I thought I had a brain cramp and that Golson might not be eligible for the postseason roster. But I've been told that "any player who was on the disabled list at the time the Phillies submitted their rosters on August 31 can be replaced by any player in their organization on that date." Therefore, Golson would be eligible.

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Here are the latest Baseball Prospectus Postseason Odds:

  • The Phillies have a 95.52 percent chance to win the division, 4.10 percent chance to win the wild card and a 99.62 percent chance to make the playoffs overall.
  • The Mets have a 4.48 percent chance to win the division, 60.85 percent chance to win the wild card and a 65.33 percent chance to make the playoffs overall.
  • The Brewers have a 34.03 percent chance to win the wild card.

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In the Phillies Notebook: Geoff Jenkins ranks fourth on the list of active of players with the most games played without a postseason appearance. It appears that streak is about to end. Ryan Madson also has been pitching well. He pitched the ninth inning last night. Even if Pat Burrell had not hit a three-run homer to give the Phillies a four-run lead in the eighth, Brad Lidge was not going to pitch. He was unavailable because he had thrown so many pitches Saturday and Sunday.

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Jake Kaplan Inquirer Staff Writer
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