Sunday, September 21, 2014
Inquirer Daily News

Four score

When the Phillies score four or more runs, they win. And the general response to that will be, "Duh."

Four score

The Phillies are 34-3 when scoring four or more runs this season. (David Swanson/Staff Photographer)
The Phillies are 34-3 when scoring four or more runs this season. (David Swanson/Staff Photographer)

When the Phillies score four or more runs, they win. And the general response to that will be, "Duh."

But the Phillies don't just win when they score four or more runs. They win almost every single time it happens. And right now they are on a historic pace.

No team since 1943 has compiled as high a winning percentage when scoring four or more runs the current Phillies have. They are 34-3, winning 92 percent of the time.

SCORING FOUR OR MORE RUNS

RkTmYearGWLW-L%RSRA
1 NYG 1913 82 76 5 .938 557 272
2 CLE 1908 65 61 4 .938 422 176
3 CHC 1909 77 70 5 .933 489 181
4 CHC 1906 87 81 6 .931 577 215
5 PHI 1908 58 54 4 .931 360 143
6 STL 1943 85 78 6 .929 541 254
7 NYG 1909 69 62 5 .925 476 248
8 CIN 1919 77 71 6 .922 467 216
9 PHI 2011 37 34 3 .919 242 116
10 BAL 1968 73 67 6 .918 431 197
11 CHC 1907 73 65 6 .915 432 183
12 NYY 1943 80 73 7 .913 540 276
13 PIT 1909 91 83 8 .912 592 274
14 CHW 1906 67 61 6 .910 411 187
15 PIT 1905 88 80 8 .909 581 305
16 CLE 1954 99 88 9 .907 634 313
17 BOS 1946 98 87 9 .906 697 381
18 CIN 1990 84 76 8 .905 546 278
19 DET 1907 82 73 8 .901 570 293
20 PIT 1908 70 63 7 .900 451 212
Provided by Baseball-Reference.com: View Original Table
Generated 6/29/2011.
Who should be the Phillies’ closer until Ryan Madson returns?
Antonio Bastardo
 
  668 (45.0%)
Michael Stutes
 
  296 (19.9%)
Let’s try a closer by committee
 
  530 (35.7%)
Total votes = 1484

More than a month ago, we wrote about four being a magic number. The winning percentage is even better now. Those three losses when scoring four or more came with none of the Big Three pitching:

April 12: Nationals 7, Phillies 4 -- Joe Blanton allowed five runs in six innings. Phillies scored a meaningless run in the ninth to make it qualify under these parameters.

April 26: Diamondbacks 7, Phillies 5 -- Roy Oswalt allowed five runs in three innings, his last start before leaving for Mississippi. Ben Francisco hit a meaningless two-run home run in the ninth to make it qualify.

May 29: Mets 9, Phillies 5 -- Vance Worley was shelled, allowing eight runs in three innings. Phillies scored three in the eighth and once in the ninth, again, all meaningless runs at the time.

With John Lackey and Worley squaring off Wednesday night, this theory could be tested.


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Matt Gelb Inquirer Staff Writer
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The place for up-to-the-minute Phillies coverage from The Inquirer beat writer Matt Gelb and columnist Bob Brookover.

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