ST. LOUIS -- In more than half of the Phillies' first 40 games, they have scored three or fewer runs. They still have the best record in the National League at 25-15.
The dead ball era is alive and well in Philadelphia, eh?
A quick cursory look around the NL shows only two other teams have scored three or fewer runs more times than the Phillies. They are San Francisco (9-13) and Los Angeles (4-18).
The Phillies are 8-13 (.381) when scoring three or fewer, a record that is bested (by win percentage) by only two teams.
That winning percentage is actually very impressive given that in the NL as a whole, when scoring three or fewer runs, teams have a .225 winning percentage.
SCORING THREE OR FEWER RUNS (NL):
In 2010, only San Diego (28-56, .333) had a better winning percentage than the Phillies (24-51, .320) in these situations. So you see why a .381 winning percentage so far is impressive.
Is it sustainable? Probably not. Charlie Manuel was posed that question and he answered simply, "I think we're definitely going to have to score more runs."
He can point to this evidence: When the Phillies score four or more, they are effectively unbeatable.
SCORING FOUR OR MORE RUNS (NL):
The point is, Monday's lineup could end up being the worst one Manuel fields all season. He was without Placido Polanco, Shane Victorino and Chase Utley. Sure, you can throw Domonic Brown in there, who I still think plays a regular role eventually.
The pitching has been extremely good. If the Phillies (4.17 runs/game) can score just a tad above the league average (4.19 runs/game), it should be enough.
Of course, that does not bring solace after three lousy games or hope for Tuesday, with Jaime Garcia (1.89 ERA) on the mound.
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