Posted: Wednesday, February 15, 2012, 10:20 AM | 15 comments |
 
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(David M Warren/Staff file photo)

Here at The Phillies Zone, we're making the final preparations for a six-week trip to Clearwater. Most of this week's space has been dedicated to off-the-field business matters. Such is when the local baseball franchise morphs into a powerful commodity.

But fake baseball is nearing and that's better than no baseball. The Phillies will bring 57 players to camp this spring. Here's a brief thought on each pitcher on the roster (in alphabetical order). On Thursday, we'll do the position players.

40-MAN ROSTER

Phillippe Aumont — Even if he doesn't make the club out of spring training, he'll pitch in Philadelphia sometime in 2012.

Antonio Bastardo — The eighth inning is his to lose, despite the Phillies not publicly saying so.

Joe Blanton — His right elbow is still a question mark, but Phillies officials maintain he can be a reliable factor.

Jose Contreras — Hard to expect remotely anything from the 40-year-old until he proves he can stay healthy.

Justin De Fratus — His stuff isn't as good as Aumont's, but he has answered every challenge so far.

Jake Diekman — Lefties hit .099 in 91 at-bats against the 25-year-old at double-A Reading.

Roy Halladay — As a Phillie, he's made 70 starts (including the postseason). The Phillies have won 49 of them.

Cole Hamels — He's this close, so expect Hamels to test the market come October barring a lavish offer from the Phillies.

David Herndon — After the all-star break, Herndon quietly posted a 1.55 ERA in 29 innings.

Kyle Kendrick — His quality 2011 and relatively low 2012 salary could make him a trade candidate to stay below the luxury tax.

Cliff Lee — How different would the winter have been if Lee doesn't blow a four-run lead in Game 2?

Jonathan Papelbon — The last pitch he threw secured one of the worst collapses in baseball history. Now he's the highest-paid reliever ever.

Chad Qualls — A plummeting strikeout rate and downright scary road numbers away from Petco Park make this signing a risk.

J.C. Ramirez — He's inconsistent with a big arm. Could eventually be moved to the bullpen.

Joe Savery — The feel-good story of last September, Savery can now attempt a career as a lefty specialist.

Michael Schwimer — His brief tenure in the majors notwithstanding, Schwimer could still find a role someday. Think Chad Durbin.

Mike Stutes — The Phillies never could have expected 62 innings from the rookie. Now can he make adjustments?

Dontrelle Willis — He's on a non-guaranteed deal this spring, so the veteran lefty must prove a role in the bullpen suits him.

Vance Worley — The rest of baseball has plenty to study after a shocking 2011.

NONROSTER

Dave Bush — The Conestoga grad could lead the IronPigs rotation.

Scott Elarton — He hasn't pitched in the majors since 2008, but the Phillies apparently saw something that merited an invitation to big-league camp.

Jeremy Horst — Acquired in the Wilson Valdez trade, Horst is another lefty reliever option.

Austin Hyatt — At best, he's an innings-eater in the majors. First, he'll take a stab at triple A.

Pat Misch — Often on the Mets' yo-yo, Misch has value as a lefty swing man.

Joel Pineiro — He's pitched in only six minor-league games since 2001. But if he's willing to spend time in triple A, he could provide fine depth.

David Purcey — He was traded twice in 2011 and played for three teams. Of course he's lefthanded.

B.J. Rosenberg — Looks nothing more than organizational fodder at this point.

Brian Sanches — Take away one horrific outing when Jack McKeon abused him and Sanches had a 3.22 ERA last season. It was 2.26 in 2010 and 2.56 in 2009.

Raul Valdes — Lefties have hit for a career .322 average off this lefty specialist.


Have a question? Send it to Matt Gelb's Mailbag.

Posted by Matt Gelb @ 10:20 AM  Permalink | 15 comments
15
Comments   
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:07 PM, 02/15/2012
    I am pumped for this season to start! I think a lot of cheap young guys will be manning this bullpen in 2012. Expect some surprises.
    Clt Philly Fan
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:28 PM, 02/15/2012
    Hopefully Raul Valdes makes the cut. He can fill the emotional void left by both Raul Ibanez and Wilson Valdez all in one fell swoop.
    guyguy4
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:35 PM, 02/15/2012
    if you expect surprises... are they really surprises?
    sn11
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 4:08 PM, 02/15/2012
    Like the 150 character assessments format - good job guys. 24 and I are in Clearwater awaiting Sunday (well, he's actually in body only, in spirit he's over in Tampa with the Yanks). Go Phils!
    24sDad
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 5:03 PM, 02/15/2012
    Sign Hamels to a long-term deal already.
    Boru
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 5:19 PM, 02/15/2012
    Really rooting for Dontrelle but come on, only three major league relief appearances in his career. But sure like that career .286 batting average as a pinch hitter. Way way higher than Thome and Nix career pinch hitting averages.
    Dull
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 6:24 PM, 02/15/2012
    Who wrote this? Whoever it was must be a Ryan Madson fan. This is the second straight cheap shot at Papelbon, blaming him for the Red Sox collapse last September. Yes, Pap blew a save in the final game. But I saw a lot of those September games and Boston's set-up guy, Daniel Bard, was in freefall thanks to Francona's overuse. Time and again, Papelbon pitched 1 2/3 and 2-innings in relief. He never complained. He pitched well. He was in great shape. He took the ball. You can count the number of Red Sox on one hand (Ellsbury, Pedroia, Papelbon, maybe Scutaro) who did NOT choke last September. Our new closer belongs on that list, not the longer one.
    eman
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 10:12 PM, 02/15/2012
    good point- cheap shot on Paps there..if you watched the sox down the stretch, it wasnt his fault.
    so, phils reported in on the Cuban Soler? hard to believe they'd have the cash sitting around to do that, but it would be nice.
    jim715
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:17 PM, 02/15/2012
    Papelbon will join the ranks of Lidge, Blanton, Howard, Ibanez, Polanco, etc as too-expensive too-long bust-signings or extensions ... he's consistently ranked in SI player poll as one of most overrated players in baseball and anyone who followed Yanks-RedSox past many years knows that he's far from reliable in big situations..wih his flyballs blowing out of CBP while Madson continues his assent as one of the top relievers in game, clueless rube and his apologist-fans will try to make excuses for this awful signing just like they continue to try to justify the Howard debacle -- a waste of $125 million on an at-best mediocre player who is not even one of top 80 players in game
    warbiscuit
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:22 PM, 02/15/2012
    With the oddball windup can Donntrelle be effective holding runners
    on base?
    Philvegas
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:32 PM, 02/15/2012
    Papelbon will join the ranks of Lidge, Blanton, Howard, Ibanez, Polanco, etc as too-expensive too-long bust-signings or extensions ... he's consistently ranked in SI player poll as one of most overrated players in baseball and anyone who followed Yanks-RedSox past many years knows that he's far from reliable in big situations..wih his flyballs blowing out of CBP while Madson continues his ascent as one of the top relievers in game, clueless rube and his apologist-fans will try to make excuses for this awful signing just like they continue to try to justify the Howard debacle -- a waste of $125 million on an at-best mediocre player who is not even one of top 80 players in game, along with this waste of $50 mil and $24 mil. on Blanton --hey with extra $200 mil they might have been able to re-sign Hamels and gotten a 3rd baseman who can hit and a cleanup hitter who can slug
    warbiscuit
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 7:50 AM, 02/16/2012
    Dedicated to warbiscuit
    http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-best-pitches-of-2011-fastball/
    PITCHf/x: 64.5%, 94.8 mph, -6.6 X-move, 8.6 Y-move
    Results: 15.7% SwStrk, 74.3% Strk, 9.5 wFA, 1.87 wFA/C
    Comments: Papelbon’s season didn’t end particularly well: he was on the mound for the Sox’ last game of the season, conceding a one-run lead and then the game — a loss that, coupled with a Tampa Bay victory literally minutes later, kept the Red Sox out of the playoffs. That said, Papelbon’s season as a whole was probably his best as a major leaguer, as the right-hander recorded the lowest FIP- and xFIP- of his career (37 and 54, respectively). While Papelbon’s splitter has certainly become a formidable pitch in its own right, he still threw the four-seamer about 65% of the time — and, per PITCHf/x, Papelbon displayed the most excellent combination of whiff-inducing and strike-throwing of any pitcher in the league, getting swinging strikes on 15.7% of fastballs, while throwing 74.3% of them for strikes. Also of note is this: even in that last appearance, Papelbon’s fastball was excellent. Per Brooks Baseball, he threw 14 total four-seamers, 10 (71.4%) of them for strikes, and five (35.7%) of those on swinging strikes — all while averaging 96.0 mph.
    pattymac3
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 7:54 AM, 02/16/2012
    Honestly, I would rather see one of the youngsters Aumont, DeFratus, etc take the roster spot from Qualls. To me this guy is close to being washed up. Yes, his numbers looked OK last year but again pitching in Petco Park half the year makes a huge difference.

    Cheap shot also on Rosenberg. This kid actually had potential closer material before an injury. he is working his way back.

    Agree with what others said on Papelbon another cheap shot.

    And enough of the Herndon stats already. The guy pitched in meaningless situations most of the time. For the most part if he came into the game in a meaningful situation he was a train wreck. Thus, he came into alot of blow outs.
    Back up the Bus for Gload and Bowker
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 7:55 AM, 02/16/2012
    Yea Paps stinks lol! overpaid yes. Stinks no!
    http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/index.php/the-best-pitches-of-2011-fastball/
    Papelbon displayed the most excellent combination of whiff-inducing and strike-throwing of any pitcher in the league, getting swinging strikes on 15.7% of fastballs, while throwing 74.3% of them for strikes. Also of note is this: even in that last appearance, Papelbon’s fastball was excellent. Per Brooks Baseball, he threw 14 total four-seamers, 10 (71.4%) of them for strikes, and five (35.7%) of those on swinging strikes — all while averaging 96.0 mph.
    pattymac3
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:12 PM, 02/17/2012
    Lee blew a game , Papelbon blew a game, baloney you win as a team you loose as a team. Your talking about 2 of the more successful pitchers over the last few years. Sometimes you get them sometimes they get you. With Lee and Papelbon they have done most of the getting. I am a big Madson fan and unhappy about his departure. I felt he had the arm to succeed in a big way. I never bought the idea he could not close. All that being said I feel good about Paps. Quite possibly Amaro felt he could not get a deal done with Boras. Will see how it plays out.
    Don w


15 comments
About Matt Gelb and Bob Brookover












Bob Brookover and Matt Gelb team up for their third straight season covering the Phillies for the Inquirer and philly.com.

This is Brookover’s second stint writing about the Phillies, having joined the coverage team after seven years as an Eagles beat writer. Brookover was hired by The Inquirer in 2000 as the Phillies beat writer after spending 13 years writing about the team for two suburban newspapers. While on the Eagles beat, Brookover, who had covered just two winning Phillies teams in 15 seasons, saw the Phillies move into a cash-cow new ballpark and begin playing a brand of the game he found unrecognizable. Follow him on Twitter here.

Gelb is in his third season covering the Phillies. He was hired by The Inquirer in August 2009 after graduating from Syracuse University. He has also covered baseball at The Star-Ledger and Cape Cod Times. Born and raised in Bucks County, he attended Central Bucks High School West. Follow him on Twitter here.
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