Saturday, December 27, 2014

Bill James Predicts ...

It seems everybody is dying for Phillies coverage these days, huh?

Bill James Predicts ...

It seems everybody is dying for Phillies coverage these days, huh?

But because Saturday's are slow days at the old Phillies Zone, we'll do something fun (oh, and easy). The Bill James Handbook 2009 has a Career Targets chapter, which gives probabilities that players reach certain milestones in their careers. The method takes into account a player's age and performance level in predicting the possibility they attain certain statistics. Take these for what they're worth, but they're at least fun to look at.

Oh, and don't worry. We've got a Phillies story in Sunday's Inquirer. Actually, it's already in our early Sunday edition, which can be found at Wawas and supermarkets and such today.

3,000 hits
Jimmy Rollins, 26 percent
Chase Utley, 4 percent

600 home runs
Ryan Howard, 32 percent

700 home runs
Howard, 16 percent

762 home runs - record
Howard, 9 percent

800 home runs
Howard, 5 percent

2,000 RBIs
Howard, 17 percent

2,298 RBIs - record
Howard, 6 percent

793 doubles
Rollins, 2 percent

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As far as news today, nothing imminent to report. Ruben Amaro Jr. hopes to complete his cabinet by announcing his third and final assistant general manager. That could come this weekend, but it might push into early next week. Amaro is considering former Reds GM Wayne Krivsky, former Mets and Orioles GM Jim Duquette, former Royals assistant GM Muzzy Jackson, and Scott Proefrock, Baltimore's director of baseball administration.

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Amaro and Charlie Manuel will interview coaching candidates next week. Sam Perlozzo is in the fold. Jim Tracy, Terry Collins and others are candidates.

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Jamie Moyer remains unsigned, but expect him to be back with the Phillies in 2009. If he returns, expect the Phillies to turn their attention to the bullpen and left field.

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The place for up-to-the-minute Phillies coverage from The Inquirer beat writer Matt Gelb and columnist Bob Brookover.

Matt Gelb Inquirer Staff Writer
Bob Brookover Inquirer Columnist
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