Archive: July, 2009

Friday, July 31, 2009

It’s a good problem to have. That’s the baseball cliché about too much pitching depth, and it suddenly applies to the Phillies after they acquired Cliff Lee on Wednesday. But it is a problem nonetheless—what will the Phils do about their overcrowded rotation?

 Having improved the staff, the team must now decide which two of Pedro Martinez, J.A. Happ or Jamie Moyer belongs in the rotation, which of the three would be most likely to help in the bullpen, and whether to retain Rodrigo Lopez for a relief role.

Lee, the 2008 American League Cy Young Award winner, represents an enormous upgrade the top of a rotation that spent much of the first half of this season pitching inconsistently. Through the first few months of this season, Phils were always a good-hitting, smooth fielding team that hoped to overcome thin pitching. Cole Hamels was rusty, Brett Myers allowed home run after home run before injuring his hip, Joe Blanton was a constant victim of one bad inning, and Jamie Moyer finally seemed old.
           
Lately, though, Hamels has flashed that old World Series MVP swagger, Blanton has dominated and Moyer has looked like the guy who hemmed and hawed his way to 16 wins last season. And J.A. Happ, better than anyone expected since being promoted to the rotation in May, might find himself in the bullpen again.
           
The depth began to increase when the Phillies signed Pedro Martinez during the All-Star break. It was a low-risk, high reward move intended to replace Rodrigo Lopez in the rotation, and insure against the possibility that general manager Ruben Amaro Jr. would not be able to add a pitcher before yesterday’s trade deadline.
           
But Amaro did add a pitcher, and now he and the coaching staff must choose whether to exclude Happ, Martinez or Moyer from the rotation. Despite Happ’s performance as a starter, the team appears to view him as the best reliever of the three, and the injury-plagued relief corps needs help.
           
The day the Phils acquired Lee, Amaro said that he did not sign Martinez to be a reliever, though both parties were open to the possibility. Martinez’s contract includes a games-finished clause, according to a baseball source with knowledge of the deal. That clause indicates that the bullpen is not out of the question for him, though that role may or may not be plausible for a 37-year-old with a thick medical file.
           
Pitching coach Rich Dubee has said many times that he does not see Moyer as a reliever. That would seem to leave Happ as the likely candidate.
           
But there is another way to see the situation. The overworked and unhealthy bullpen would suffer if bother Moyer and Martinez, neither of whom is likely to regularly pitch deep into games, were both in the rotation. Plus, why take Happ, one of the Phils’ best starters in recent months, out a role in which he has thrived?
          
The rotation is set through Wednesday, when Happ is scheduled to start. Beyond that, the Phillies face important decisions, albeit ones they are glad to make.
Posted by Andy Martino @ 6:10 PM  Permalink | 39 comments
Thursday, July 30, 2009

The addition of Cliff Lee and impending arrival of Pedro Martinez (he makes his second rehabilitation start tomorrow in Lehigh Valley, and may need one more minor league appearance after that) creates a logjam in the rotation, of course. For at least one more start, J.A. Happ will remain one of the five.

Pitching coach Rich Dubee said that after Lee starts tomorrow, Joe Blanton will pitch Saturday and Cole Hamels Sunday. Following Monday’s off-day, Jamie Moyer will pitch Tuesday and Happ Wednesday. The team would not commit to a rotation beyond that point.

Rodrigo Lopez’s start tonight is likely his final one for the Phils, barring injury or a change in plans. The team could conceivably retain him as a reliever.

What do you think they should do?

Posted by Andy Martino @ 8:45 PM  Permalink | 49 comments
Thursday, July 30, 2009

A few quick items to pass along as I wait to board a flight. Tweeted this stuff, but hopefully some of you out there still spend a few minutes at a time away from your screens and handhelds.

 
--Shane Victorino was limping around the clubhouse after last night’s game. He bruised his knee making a catch in the first inning, and said it tightened during the game. The outfield at Chase Field is a very hard surface—think your front lawn in mid-August—with patches of dirt interrupting the grass. Not a good  bang one’s knee. After visiting with the trainer, Victorino said there was no fracture, but that he was “very, very sore.” He didn’t know if he could play tonight.
 
--Chad Durbin will throw his first bullpen session tomorrow since going on the DL with a back (lat) injury. He’s in Clearwater right now, and told me that he realized this week that the injury had affected his arm slot for several weeks. He’s hopeful that the rest and rehab will not only heal the injury, but reset his mechanics.
 
--I got enough emails yesterday saying, “Hey, the Phils still have the pieces to acquire Halladay” that I felt compelled to ask Ruben Amaro “Just for the record, are you done upgrading your rotation before July 31?”
 
He said: “We’re very pleased with where we are right now.”
 
Kinda sounded like Hillary Clinton answering whether she’d ever run for president again. But I think that’s more matter of his style than anything else. I’ll state for the record that I’d be absolutely, totally stunned if the Phils traded for another starter this week.
 
--The biggest question now is, who will go to the bullpen? In talking to the Dubinator, Cholly and Rubio yesterday, I got the sense that a decision had not quite been made, but Happ was a strong possibility. Here’s the logic behind that: of Pedro, Father Time Moyer and Happ, the latter would be the best reliever.   On the other hand, Happ is the best starter of those three, too. So it’s a quandary.
 
But you know what? That’s a good problem for the Phillies to have.
 
--No roster moves have been announced yet, but will be later today. John Mayberry Jr. is the most likely candidate for a trip to Allentown, along with a Steven Register or Kyle Kendrick.

--Gee, I always wondered why David Ortiz suddenly got awesome around, oh...2003. Shocker!

Posted by Andy Martino @ 12:25 PM  Permalink | 31 comments
Wednesday, July 29, 2009

Two sources with knowledge of the negotiations confirmed to the Inquirer that the Phillies have agreed to trade Lou Marson, Jason Donald, Carlos Carrasco and Jason Knapp to Cleveland for pitcher Cliff Lee and outfielder Ben Francisco. The deal is done pending a review of medical records, and could be announced shortly.

Lee, 30, the 2008 American League Cy Young Award winner, is 7-9 this season with a 3.14 earned run average. Francisco, 28, is a righthanded hitting outfielder, batting .250 with 10 home runs this season.  Francisco has pinch hit twice this season, going hitless in two at-bats.

The Phillies had long been engaged in talks with the Toronto Blue Jays to acquire pitcher Roy Halladay. But the Blue Jays asked for pitcher J.A. Happ and top prospects Kyle Drabek and Dominic Brown.  Phils general manager Ruben Amaro Jr. was able to acquire a former Cy Young Award winner without trading any of those players.

The most likely roster moves for the Phils would be to option John Mayberry Jr. to Triple-A, and demote a pitcher like Steven Register or Kyle Kendrick.

Posted by Andy Martino @ 10:52 AM  Permalink | 610 comments
Tuesday, July 28, 2009

Here's a dispatch from Jim Salibury, up in Seattle.  The Inquirer has the Western time zone covered for you this week.

Toronto GM J.P. Ricciardi indicated that he's still in contact with the Phillies but they still haven't met his price for Halladay. ``We still need to be motivated and we haven't been motivated,'' said Ricciardi, who still maintains that he doesn't have to trade Halladay, who pitches tomorrow in Seattle.  

Ricciardi said other teams are in it, though he would not comment on the teams.
 
Clearly, he'd still like to get pitchers Kyle Drabek, J.A. Happ and outfield prospect Dominic Brown from the Phillies.
 
A baseball source with knowledge of the Halladay negotiations shot down a report that said the Red Sox had offered pitchers Clay Buchholz and Michael Bowden and outfielder Ryan Westmoreland. However, there were indications that the Red Sox were willing to put Buchholz in play. That would not help the Phillies' chances because the Jays like Buccholz more than the Phillies pitching prospects being mentioned. 
 
Phillies superscout Charley Kerfeld is slated to scout Seattle's Jarrod Washburn tonight and Halladay tomorrow in Seattle.

 
Poll: What is the best potential move for the Phillies? (5039 votes)
Posted by Andy Martino @ 8:04 PM  Permalink | 36 comments
Tuesday, July 28, 2009

I called Ben Badler, an editor at Baseball America, asking for an independent take on some of the Phillies prospects who have been mentioned as pieces in the various deals. People associated with teams obviously have every incentive to talk up their own talent, so I thought you might find a reality check useful.

 

First off, Gordon Edes of Yahoo, a terrific reporter, said today that the Red Sox have included Clay Buchholz in an offer to obtain Halladay.  I asked Badler who he’d rather have between the two prospects. He said:

 

“I think it depends on who you talk to, but I’d prefer to have Buchholz.  I see a more advanced repertoire, and he’s ever had the type of major arm surgery that Drabek has. You never know how that could catch up with him.”

 

Here was his take on some other guys.  BA gets its information from scouts, managers, farm directors and coaches across the minor leagues.  They updates their files constantly.

 

Carlos Carrasco: : "Some of Carrasco’s numbers are very good.  He strikes out a batter per inning, he has walked about three per nine innings. He’s only 22 years old.  He’s been very hittable this year, but that could just be luck.  He has a low-90s fastball, and above-average change-up and a curveball that gets mixed reviews but shows flashes. This year has been a little bit disappointing for him.”

 

Lou Marson: “It is tough to know what to make of Marson.  You always like to see players who control the strike zone like he does, but his power is limited. If Marson can develop power, that will determine his future.  But even moderate power as a catcher would make him valuable. I wouldn’t predict above-average power for him. If he develops some power—and it’s hard at this point to say if he will—he will be an average player.”

 

Jason Donald: “It’s fair to say he’s been one of the most disappointing prospects in baseball this season.  It seems to have fallen apart for Donald, and all of a sudden he’s a 24-year-old in Triple-A.  His value has plunged this year.”

 It should be noted, of course, that Donald and Marson have dealt with injuries this season. Also, I am aware that a report knocked down Edes' report.  I don't know the specifics of this particular story, but I do know that Edes is rarely wrong.

Poll: What is the best potential move for the Phillies? (5039 votes)
Posted by Andy Martino @ 5:51 PM  Permalink | 19 comments
Tuesday, July 28, 2009

The final version of my game story, where Jamie Moyer talks about an adjustment that he made before the fourth inning that reversed his night, is below.  The game ended too late to get his quotes in the paper. For the previous blog post on Cliff Lee and other plan B options, click here.  We'll keep plugging away at trade deadline stories and updates tomorrow.

Summary of the current status: 

--Phillies and Jays are still actively talking, despite some reports that negotiations are breaking down. That's according to a person with direct knowledge of the process.

--Cleveland is scouting the Reading Phils, with a particular interest in Vance Worley. 

--The Phillies have a long history of acquiring the Jayson Werth, the Shane Victorino, the Joe Blanton, the...Cliff Lee?

--The Phillies have acquired pitcher Roy Halladay for a package of J.A. Happ, Kyle Drabek and Dominic Brown.

 --That above item is inaccurate.
 
By Andy Martino
INQUIRER STAFF WRITER
PHOENIX— A summary of Jamie Moyer’s performance last night sounds like an assessment of his season to date, if not his career: after an ominous beginning, he steadied. Then, somehow, despite his age and dawdling fastball, he collected yet another win.
Moyer shut down the Arizona Diamondbacks through 6 2/3 innings in a 6-2win last night at Chase Field. He become the first Phils pitcher to reach 10 wins this season, and perhaps the most unlikely man to ever record 256 major league victories.
            “Because he changes speeds,” was Charlie Manuel’s explanation of why Moyer succeeds in particular against young teams like Arizona and Florida. Of last night’s game, Manuel said: “He was in trouble the first few innings because he got behind the hitters. He made some pitches and was able to get out of it without being hurt.”
            While the Phillies have tried to bolster their rotation via trade and the recent signing of Pedro Martinez, Moyer has quietly returned to a reasonable facsimile of his 2008 self, when he was a mere 45 years old and won 16 games. Just like last year, Moyer has dominated free-swinging teams like the Florida Marlins of late, and received generous run support in most of the games in which he pitched poorly.
            Before yesterday, Moyer had been credited with a victory in five of six starts, and his 3.68 earned run average was nearly identical to last season’s 3.71 season mark. Last night was a signature performance; the line between disaster and success seemed thin early, but he ended up fooling a young team and emerging with an impressive line.
After walking two but stranding the runners in the first, Moyer allowed three consecutive singles to begin the second. He struck out pitcher Jon Garland for the first out, then got Stephen Drew to ground sharply to second. A well-positioned Chase Utley began a double play, ending an inning that moments before had seemed to promise trouble, if not disaster, for Moyer.
“It is a game of not even inches,” Moyer said of that play. “If he gets under that ball and drives it, they probably score two or three runs…it is amazing how little things like that can make a difference.”
            The Diamondbacks immediately resumed their assault of baserunners in the third, and Moyer again countered by stranding them all. Ryan Roberts led off the inning with a hit and Moyer, seeing his pitch count climb well into the 50s, walked Justin Upton. He then struck out cleanup hitter Mark Reynolds. Minutes later, courtesy of two popups, he again strode toward the dugout with the game tied at zero. In the first three innings, seven Diamondbacks reached base, and none scored.
            Warming up before the fourth inning, Moyer made a mechanical adjustment, changing the angle of his front leg during the windup. “My mechanics were horrible the first few innings,” he said. “(Before the fourth), I picked up my leg a little differently and I said, ‘that’s it.’”
The Phils offense chose the same inning to awaken. Utley reached on a one-out single, and Ryan Howard followed with a 410-foot blast to left-center, giving his team a 2-0 lead. From there, Moyer switched from shaky to dominant.
            The Phillies scored their third run in the fifth, which Pedro Feliz led off with a single. He went to third when Garland fired a pickoff throw into right field, and scored on Jimmy Rollins’ two-out double.
            Moyer allowed a two-out double to Upton in the fifth, but pitched around it by getting Reynolds to pop up.
            The Phillies steadily added to their lead. Utley walked to begin the sixth and went to third when Howard reached on an error. Raul Ibanez, who batted .192 during the homestand while still healing from a groin injury, drove in Utley with a single.
           The Phils made use of sloppy defense to add two unearned runs in the inning, and survived an eighth-inning scare when Ryan Madson allowed two runs but stranded two.
 
 
Posted by Andy Martino @ 1:33 AM  Permalink | 22 comments
Monday, July 27, 2009

 Amid reports that the Phils-Jays talks are not going well—but keep in mind that the teams are mid-negotiation and their dynamic could very easily change soon—I’m hearing more about Phils-Indians. Baseball sources say that Cleveland will send scouts to watch the Reading Phillies tonight and for the next several nights, demonstrating that a Cliff Lee-to-Phils deal remains a possibility.

Kyle Drabek pitches tonight for Reading, though the Phillies do not believe that would have to part with their top pitching prospect to acquire Lee, the 2008 A.L. Cy Young Award winner. A baseball source also said that the Indians will “double up” their scouts to watch Vance Worley pitch on Thursday. Worley, a righthander, is 6-8 with a 5.68 ERA this year.
 
A person with direct knowledge of the Jays thinking told the Inquirer that the team is done scouting the Phillies, though it would not be out of the realm of possibility for them to take one more look at Drabek tonight.
 
In other news on the Plan B Watch, lefty Jarrod Washburn pitches for Seattle tomorrow night. While the Phillies have always favored the idea of acquiring Roy Halladay, Seattle’s Erik Bedard and Washburn have been on their radar, as well as Lee. With Bedard now on the disabled list—and one member of the Phillies staff recently questioned to me Bedard's desire to pitch deep into games, anyway—Lee and Washburn remain the two most logical non-Halladay options.  
 
Plus, the loss of Bedard would seem to make the Mariners more likely to trade off players at the deadline. Ruben Amaro Jr. declined to say whether the Phils would send a scout to watch Washburn tomorrow.

Bottom line: They still want the horse. I'm not saying that a Lee or Washburn deal is likely, or even close.  I am saying that Phils continue to consider all possibilities.

 

Posted by Andy Martino @ 4:33 PM  Permalink | 48 comments
Sunday, July 26, 2009

There have been numerous reports on the back-and-forth between the Phils and Jays, enough to make your head spin. So here is what we know right now:

--The Phillies’ strong preference is to acquire Halladay, but they were expected to send superscout Charley Kerfeld to watch 2008 American League Cy Young Award Winner Cliff Lee pitch for Cleveland in Seattle today. While Halladay is due $15.75 million next season, Lee is owed just the remainder of his $5.75 million salary this year, and a $9 million team option for next season. Lee functions as a plan B, and a way to let the Jays know that the Phils have other options. 

Baseball sources indicate that the Phillies might be able to pry Lee away from Cleveland with a package of second-tier prospects like Carlos Carrasco and Jason Donald (by second-tier, I mean not phenoms like Kyle Drabek and Dominic Brown). 

--The Phillies are highly reluctant to surrender both Drabek and J.A. Happ. Outfield prospects Michael Taylor and Dominic Brown have been mentioned as possible pieces in a deal, and both teams believe that Brown has more potential than Taylor. A Blue Jays scout is watching Brown today in Clearwater, Fla.

--The entire Phillies front office will be on a plane to Arizona tonight to discuss these issues.  They typically only travel with one executive, but trade deadline week is a wild one. Stay tuned.

Posted by Andy Martino @ 4:10 PM  Permalink | 91 comments
Friday, July 24, 2009

Well, here it is, the Blue Jays asking price for Roy Halladay: Jays GM J.P. Ricciardi has spoken to the Phillies within the past 24 hours and negotiations are underway in earnest, baseball sources tell the Inquirer. They want Kyle Drabek, J.A. Happ and Dominic Brown.

That's what they've asked for. It remains to be seen how the Phils will respond to that.  Keep in mind that in a negotiating process, offers evolve; this would not necessarily be the deal, if one is done.  The Phils could counter with something entirely different.

When Charlie Manuel said yesterday “I prefer the horse,” the horse had a name: Halladay. As the Phillies and Blue Jays negotiate, figuring out who to include or not in a potential trade, there is a buzz around the clubhouse. Phillies players have pulled me aside, asking, “Hey, off the record, are we going to get Doc? What will we have to give up?

Manuel was asked today if he’d revised the thoughts he expressed about two weeks ago re: giving up Drabek. Here’s what he said a few hours ago: "I like Drabek and the basic reason I say that is, when I look at him, the style of pitcher that he is, I look at his upside. I look at his tools. I look at the kind of pitcher he is - I call him a drop and drive pitcher - and I think he's on the order of Nolan Ryan or Tom Seaver or Colon, guys like that with a real strong core, strong legs, get a big push off the rubber to produce power. It's a style that usually makes for a long career. That's what I see."
               
Two weeks ago, he said clearly: “For me, it would be tough to trade Drabek.” Today, compliments about the kid, no concrete plea to keep him around.
 
So which is it, Charlie--do you want the horse or the pony? You probably can’t have both. And if you can, you sure can’t have J.A. Happ anymore.
 
***
A conversation I had with Cole Hamels a few hours ago made me think about another way that Halladay could help this team. Hamels has struggled all season with the concept of being an ace, sometimes wanting to play that role so badly that it affected his performance.
 
Today he talked about how having Brett Myers pitching well helped him down the stretch last year: “The past couple years, Brett was here, and we had that awesome camaraderie, competition to make each other better,” he said. “He's gone. Happ and Blanton have stepped up, and that's good. That makes it a little easier on me.”
 
In other words, now that Blanton and Happ are pitching well, Hamels has been able to let go of his need to be a stopper, which has enabled him to just pitch. The impact of this was clear last night when Hamels allowed three runs in the fourth inning. When the Phils were on a losing streak in Toronto and Atlanta recently, Hamels wanted so badly to be an ace that, when things went badly, he got all upset and pitched even worse. Last night, he was able to regroup, stay calm and post another three scoreless innings, partially because he knew that the team did not absolutely NEED to win the game he started.
 
 Can you imagine what it would do for him to have Halladay here? The new guy would not only grab all the attention, and take it off Hamels. And, the man they call Doc is a fully realized pitcher, and could teach young Colbert  new things about throwing a white sphere past large men carrying wooden bats.
 
***
I leave you with two pieces of advice: 1) Enjoy Happ tonight, on the chance it’s his final start here. You can’t let him hold up a Halladay deal, and I don’t believe the Phillies would, but he is a fun pitcher to watch. He’s confident without being arrogant, aggressive and intelligent. He’s helped to set a tone for the rotation lately that has helped them get on a roll.  The past few weeks have been tough on him, enduring all the speculation and questions, and it will all be over one way or another very soon. I'm not saying he's a goner, but I knew the Jays are interested in him.
 
2) Turn off the computer, turn off the radio, de-tweetify your handheld device. There is a higher demand for information than there is actual information during deadline time, and the whole thing gets very silly. GMs offer strategic half-truths to the media, who rush them online just to feed the beast. Let’s just enjoy the games. Check in occasionally and I’ll let you know when news happens.
Poll: Should the Phillies make this trade? (4245 votes)
Posted by Andy Martino @ 6:18 PM  Permalink | 322 comments
Pages: 1  |  2  |  3  |  4
About Andy Martino
Andy Martino is in his first season on the Phillies beat. A former New York City public school teacher and graduate of the Columbia University Graduate School of Journalism, he previously wrote for the New York Daily News, where he covered baseball and worked with the award-winning investigative sports "I-team."
PHILLIES SCOREBOARD