Thursday, August 21, 2014
Inquirer Daily News

Projected playoff rotations: Whose is the scariest?

Well, the trade deadline has passed. And as usual, the moves you heard least about were the ones that ended up going down. Cliff Lee makes his Phillies debut tonight. I thought I'd look into the crystal ball a little bit and take a look at how the Phillies' new-look rotation stacks up against the teams they could face in the playoffs.

Projected playoff rotations: Whose is the scariest?

Well, the trade deadline has passed. And as usual, the moves you heard least about were the ones that ended up going down. Cliff Lee makes his Phillies debut tonight. I thought I'd look into the crystal ball a little bit and take a look at how the Phillies' new-look rotation stacks up against the teams they could face in the playoffs.

First, here are the Phillies stats as of tonight:

HP Cliff Lee (7-9, 3.14 ERA, .278)
RHP Joe Blanton (7-4, 4.11, .262 BAA)
LHP Cole Hamels (7-5, 4.42, .278 BAA)
LHP Jamie Moyer (10-7, 5.32, .292 BAA)
LHP J.A. Happ (7-2, 2.97, .228 BAA)

Now, here is a look at the projected head-to-head match-ups in the playoffs, as of right now. I've included a couple of players who are projected to return from injury (Ted Lilly, Randy Johnson) and excluded John Maine, who could miss the rest of the season.

Phillies vs. Cubs (54-46)

  1. RHP Carlos Zambrano (7-4, 3.36, .242 BAA) vs. LHP Cliff Lee
  2. RHP Ryan Dempster (5-5, 4.31, .266 BAA) vs. LHP Cole Hamels
  3. RHP Rich Harden (7-6, 4.55, .244 BAA) vs. RHP Joe Blanton
  4. LHP Ted Lilly (9-7, 3.59, .249 BAA) vs. LHP J.A. Happ

Phillies vs. Cardinals

  1. RHP Adam Wainwright (12-6, 2.80, .247 BAA) vs. LHP Cliff Lee
  2. RHP Chris Carpenter (9-3, 2.19, .220 BAA) vs. LHP Cole Hamels
  3. RHP Kyle Lohse (4-6, 4.14, .252 BAA) vs. RHP Joe Blanton
  4. RHP Joel Pineiro (9-9, 2.84, .257 BAA) vs. LHP J.A. Happ

Phillies vs. Dodgers

  1. LHP Clayton Kershaw (8-5, 2.76, .200 BAA) vs. LHP Cliff Lee
  2. LHP Randy Wolf (5-5, 3.43, .235 BAA) vs. LHP Cole Hamels
  3. RHP Chad Billingsley (10-6, 3.96, .241 BAA) vs. RHP Joe Blanton
  4. RHP Hiroki Kuroda (3-5, 4.44, .244 BAA) vs. LHP J.A. Happ

Phillies vs. Giants

  1. RHP Tim Lincecum (11-3, 2.30 ERA, .214 BAA) vs. LHP Cliff Lee
  2. RHP Matt Cain (12-2, 2.12 ERA, .222 BAA) vs. LHP Cole Hamels
  3. LHP Randy Johnson (8-6, 4.81 ERA, .256 BAA) vs. RHP Joe Blanton
  4. LHP Jonathan Sanchez (4-9, 4.81 ERA, .230 BAA) vs. LHP J.A. Happ

Phillies vs. Braves

  1. RHP Derek Lowe (10-7, 4.20, .278 BAA) vs. LHP Cliff Lee
  2. RHP Javier Vazquez (8-7, 3.01, .230 BAA) vs. LHP Cole Hamels
  3. RHP Jair Jurrjens (9-7, 2.69, .233 BAA) vs. RHP Joe Blanton
  4. RHP Tommy Hanson (5-1, 2.95, .230 BAA) vs. LHP J.A. Happ

Phillies vs. Mets

  1. LHP Johan Santana (12-8, 2.96, .235 BAA) vs. LHP Cliff Lee
  2. RHP Mike Pelfrey (8-6, 4.72, .286 BAA) vs. LHP Cole Hamels
  3. RHP Livan Hernandez (7-5, 4.87, .305 BAA) vs. RHP Joe Blanton
  4. LHP Oliver Perez (2-3, 7.42, .279 BAA) vs. LHP J.A. Happ

Phillies vs. Florida

  1. RHP Josh Johnson (10-2, 2.87, .232 BAA) vs. LHP Cliff Lee
  2. RHP Chris Volstad (8-9, 4.44, .256) vs. LHP Cole Hamels
  3. LHP Andrew Miller (3-5, 4.81, .272) vs. RHP Joe Blanton
  4. RHP Ricky Nolasco (7-7, 5.24, .277) vs. LHP J.A. Happ

Phillies vs. Rockies

  1. RHP Aaron Cook (10-3, 3.87, .285 BAA) vs. LHP Cliff Lee
  2. RHP Jason Marquis (12-7, 3.47, .254 BAA) vs. LHP Cole Hamels
  3. RHP Ubaldo Jimenez (7-9, 3.85, .240 BAA) vs. RHP Joe Blanton
  4. LHP Jorge De La Rosa (9-7, 4.68, .248 BAA) vs. LHP J.A. Happ

As you can see, there are lots of tough match-ups here. The toughest would have to be the Dodgers, who could throw two tough lefties against the Phillies. The Phils have had mixed results off of both Kershaw and Wolf. Obviously, no team wants to face the Giants in the playoffs.

Any thoughts? Who scares you the most? Who has the best rotation?

David Murphy Daily News Staff Writer
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