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Updated Payroll. . .and Depth (Updated)

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32 comments

Updated Payroll. . .and Depth (Updated)

POSTED: Wednesday, January 6, 2010, 11:14 AM

1. Jonathon Broxton
2. Ramon Troncoso
3. Ronald Belisario
4. Hong-Chih Kuo
5. George Sherrill

Good morning. We'll start with a brain teaser. Above is a list of five names. All of them share three major commonalities. Actually, they share four major commonalities if you count the fact that they are all men. But we'll stick with the three baseball-related characteristic.

The first is easy: All five are relief pitchers. The second is pretty simple as well: All five were crucial members of the Dodgers' playoff bullpen, arguably the best in the National League, last season.

The third characteristic, while a tad more obscure, directly relates to the situation in which the Phillies find themselves with just over a month to go before pitchers and catchers report to Clearwater, Fla.

None of the five names, all of them key contributors to one of the best bullpens in the National League, were signed as major league free agents. Broxton, Troncoso, Kuo and Belisario all broke into the majors with the Dodgers. Sherrill, meanwhile, was acquired by L.A. at the trading deadline last season in a deal with the Orioles. Which brings us to the Phillies, who appear to have wrapped up the bulk of their offseason shopping, despite having at least two vacancies in the bullpen to fill.

Now, this would seem to be a precarious position for a team that is already counting on its one battle-tested lefty to come back from elbow surgery, and its one closer to come back from a season in which he blew 11 saves and posted a 7.21 ERA. And, if you were to evaluate the Phillies by the criteria they laid out for themselves at the beginning of the offseason, you'd have to say that their current situation is not an ideal one. After all, general manager Ruben Amaro Jr. labelled the acquisition of pitching depth as his No. 1 priority back in November, yet the offseason to date has resulted in a Net Loss:

1) While the Phillies added long-time muse Roy Halladay, they parted with Cliff Lee and their most major-league ready pitching prospect in Kyle Drabek.

2) At the beginning of the offseason, the Phillies expressed public confidence that veteran lefty Jamie Moyer would be at full strength by the start of spring training. Now, after a set-back from sports hernia surgery that has postponed previously-scheduled arthroscopic knee surgery until Jan. 11, they are saying he is unlikely to be healthy enough to join the rotation on Opening Day.

3) The Phillies added right-handed reliever Danys Baez, but will likely part with veteran lefty Scott Eyre, veteran righty Chan Ho Park, and righthander Clay Condrey.

4) Veteran right-handed starter Pedro Martinez is unlikely to return.

5) So the Phillies have added Halladay and Baez, and they have parted with Lee, Drabek, Eyre, Park, Condrey and Martinez.

Even if Lidge and Romero do bounce back from their 2009 campaigns, the Phillies still seem to be thin on pitching depth at the major league level. But as the Dodgers showed last season, this could end up being a blessing in disguise. While the Phillies will continue to look for bullpen pieces on the open market -- they'd like a veteran lefty, but the pool of available players is mostly unimpressive -- free agency isn't always the answer for finding relievers. Troncoso and Belisario both made their major league debuts last season at the age of 26. Troncoso led the Dodgers in innings (82.2) and was tied for first in appearances (73) while posting a 2.72 ERA. Belisario was even more impressive, posting a 2.04 ERA and 1.146 WHIP while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings in 69 appearances.

The Phillies have some talented-yet-unproven options in the minors. And their current bullpen situation will likely give one or two of those players a chance to prove themselves, much in the same way Troncoso and Belisario did early last season. Lefty Antonio Bastardo is a fireballer with an improving slider who will likely be called on to fill in for Romero as he finishes his recovery from elbow surgery (Romero should be good to go by May, but will likely miss at least a week or two of the season). Righthander Scott Mathieson, another hard thrower, is attmepting to overcome long odds (he has undergone two elbow surgeries) but was impressive in both the minors and the Arizona Fall League last year. Lefthander Sergio Escalona saw a couple stints with the Phillies last season.

While the Phillies certainly would like to have more stability in the bullpen at this point, they are talented enough in other aspects of the game to ride out the early part of the season with the cards in their hand. And rather than burning money on an iffy veteran free agent, they could be in a position to add salary at the trade deadline, as the Dodgers did in acquiring Sherrill and the Rockies did in trading for Rafael Betancourt and Jose Contreras.

^

The Payroll (Updated with .Eaton, Jenkins contracts)

Here's an updated look at the Phillies' 2010 payroll. According to our records, they currently have $115.75 million committed to 17 players. Factoring in the 2009 salaries of the six players who are either arbitration eligible or under club control, and that number climbs to $127.2819 million for 23 players. Factoring in raises and major-league-minimum salaries for the two open roster spots, along with $1.25 million due Geoff Jenkins for a buyout of a mutual options and $500,000 due Adam Eaton for a buyout of the player option he exercised for 2010, and the Phillies' Opening Day payroll currently projects at right around $138 million:

Starters
Roy Halladay - 9.75
Cole Hamels - 6.65
Jamie Moyer - 8
Joe Blanton - Arb/7
J.A. Happ - .500
GUARANTEED: 3 players, 24.40
PROJECTED: 2 players, 7.50

Regulars
Ryan Howard - 19
Chase Utley - 15
Jimmy Rollins - 7.5
Placido Polanco - 5.5
Shane Victorino - Arb/6.5
Jayson Werth - 7
Raul Ibanez - 11.5
Carlos Ruiz - Arb/1.5
GUARANTEED: 6 players, 65.5
PROJECTED: 2 players, 8.0

Relievers
Brad Lidge - 11.5
J.C. Romero - 4
Ryan Madson - 4.5
Danys Baez - 2.5
Chad Durbin - Arb/2
GUARANTEED: 5 players, 22.5
PROJECTED: 1 player, 2

Bench
Greg Dobbs - 1.35
Ross Gload - 1
Brian Schneider - 1
Juan Castro - .750
Ben Francisco - .750
GUARANTEED: 4 players, 4.1
PROJECTED: 1 player, .750

OVERALL GUARANTEED: 17 players, $116.50

OVERALL CLUB CONTROL: 2 players, $0.8219

OVERALL ARB ELIGIBLE: 4 players, $10.71

OVERALL TOTAL: 23 players, $128.0319

TOTAL WITH PROJECTED RAISES: 23 players, 134.895

32 comments
Comments  (32)
  • Comment removed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 5:38 PM, 01/06/2010
    The bench is three times better than last year. And I'd bet money that Hamels will return to form.
    bobbyd24
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 6:12 PM, 01/06/2010
    I hope they know what they're doing but I don't think we have improved ourselves and have probably even taken a step back. Either don't trade Lee or keep both Lee and Halladay. With Lee and Halladay the bullpen does not become as much of an issue but now everything is riding on Hamels and Lidge.
    fthebirds
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 6:50 PM, 01/06/2010
    Murph - According to COTS, the Phils owe deferred payments of 1.25 mil and 500,000 to Jenkings and Eaton, respectively. They also owe Feliz 500,000 for the option buyout. Combine that with Halladay's 9.75, and the Phils have exactly 3 mil less in their budget than you indicated. Rube has very little felxibility left...
    ChrisInVT
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 7:20 PM, 01/06/2010
    Moyer is killing the team. He is done, period. They must come to that conclusion because he is not going to be able to throw 3 innings regardless of the 5-6 innings that they need from him. Kyle could do OK but then the minors have no one else who is even near being a starter. Carpenter can't throw 90 mph. When you use Murph's synopsis , it appears the Phils would have been better negotiating with Cliff and at least winning this year without a doubt.
    KGKoons
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 8:36 PM, 01/06/2010
    Murphy - Rollins signing bonus was paid out $1M per year through this year. So, he should be listed as $8.5M. Jenkins had a $1.25M buy-out & Eaton had a $500K buy-out for 2010 option years. Cot's includes those option payments in the year of the option year. Other sites include those option payments in the year prior to the option year. If you are choosing the latter, you should probably include Romero's 250K buyout & Castro's 50K buyout (which you may have already, because his 2010 salary is only $700K).
    Charlie Mustgo
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 8:52 PM, 01/06/2010
    Nice work! You did it again. Keep up the work! scrapbooking | scrapbooking stickers (HTML deleted)
  • Comment removed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 9:45 PM, 01/06/2010
    Great work. I appreciate the in depth analysis that you always provide in your columns.
    jfar86
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 10:37 PM, 01/06/2010
    I think everyone should be prepared for, if things go bad early especially with pitching, that Jason Werth will get traded. Hard to see the Phillies paying him if he has another big year like last year and they have at least SOME depth there between Francisco, Gload & Brown (at some point). Werth has even 80% of the year he had this year, he will be up for a big, long-term contract next year. And with decisions coming soon on Howard, Hamels, Victorino, Ruiz & Rollins in the next few years, not sure Werth will be here. I'm just saying - don;t be surprised to hear that chatter if things go bad in the pitching department.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:52 AM, 01/07/2010
    I have argued this before and continue to argue that the key to next season is Lidge even more so than Hamels. If Lidge implodes than the Phillies could suffer like the Mets when Wagner collapsed, as Madson can't close and Myers is gone. I doubt that Baez is now an option as closer, given that his days of closing are well past. Not to beat a dead horse, but where Lee was valuable was his ability to go deep into games, saving the bullpen, something not shown this past season by Blanton, Moyer, Hamels, and even Happ as the season progressed. Halladay also goes deep into games. Lee would have been valuable as well in interleague ball where the Phillies positively stink year after year after year, thereby putting more pressure on them against the NL. Halladay will certainly help in that regard. If Lidge returns to form, then Baez, if at all dependable, along with Madson, will shorten games considerably. If Lidge reeks again???
    chuckw
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 6:40 AM, 01/07/2010
    I stand corrected on the dead money issue. Phils owe Eaton 500K (he had a player option for 2010 that the Phils bought out), and Jenkins 1.25 mil for a buyout of a mutual 2010 option.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 8:40 AM, 01/07/2010
    Chuckw....Here are the Phils starting pitchers average innings pitched per start: Roy Halladay- 7 1/3 (last 3 seasons) Colbert Hamels- 6 1/3 (career) Joe Blanton- 6 1/3 (career) JA Happ- 6 1/3 (2009 only) Jamie Moyer- 6 (last 3 seasons) As you can see, our starters all averaged atleast 6 innings per start either for their career or in the last 3 seasons. You can't ask for much more than that. I'll put money that we are one of the few teams to have this much depth. The difference between the best pitcher in baseball and Joe Blanton is 2/3 of an inning. Not exactly a HUGE difference. Guys, just remember "In Rueban We Trust." He is doing the best he can with what he has to spend.
    BammBamm
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 8:45 AM, 01/07/2010
    So if the Phils had kept Cliff Lee for a season for $9 million, they would have been a measly $7 million -- 4.7% -- over their sacrosanct self-imposed $140 million payroll cap. Would it have put a crimp in the multimillionaire (or billionaire) owners' luxury lifestyles to have financed an extra $7 million? Trading Lee was the worst BS move the team has made in many years.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 9:59 AM, 01/07/2010
    frankenslade, singular and plural are not tenses. Also, according to most handbooks, "none," unlike "everyone" or "anyone," can take either a singular or plural verb. This is confirmed by the "usage note" in "The American Heritage Dictionary of the English Language," 3rd ed. Murph does sometimes botch his grammar, but this was not one of those times.


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