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Monday, June 22, 2009

Charlie Manuel rose through the ranks as a hitting coach. That's what he knows. The Phillies' line-up is built to hit. That's what they know. So it's only natural that in times like these -- 1-8 on this recently-completed home stand with a three-game series against the tough Rays on tap -- the focus turns to hitting. The Phillies managed one run on three hits against Jeremy Guthrie yesterday. They've scored three or fewer runs in five of the last nine games. Leadoff hitter Jimmy Rollins has just seven hits since his two-game vacation in the No. 6 hole two-plus weeks ago.

But don't be fooled. It still comes down to pitching.

Baseball is a game where failure at the plate is expected, where performance is equalized by the ebbs and flows of a long season. It's a game where teams must strike, and strike often, when the iron is hot. Because at some point, the cold stretches will come.

And that brings us to pitching. The way I see it, consistent pitching is the baseline. There are going to be stretches where a team struggles to score more than three runs. But if a pitching staff is holding an opponent under five runs on a routine basis, on the nights that struggling offense does muster up some scoring, a win is likely in the cards.

That hasn't been the case with the Phillies. For much of the first two months of the season, it seemed as if the reverse was true. The offense was consistently hot, which meant that whenever the pitching staff came through, the Phillies won. But in this sport, it is hard to play that way for an entire season. Again, it is a game of failure. Raul Ibanez wasn't going to hit .360 all season.

So now, when Ibanez is hurt, and Ryan Howard is sick, and the Phillies offense looks a little more human than it has in the past -- and, at .248 for the home stand, human is a more appropriate description than abysmal -- it is the pitching staff that is the difference between a mediocre home stand and a horrific one.

Think about it -- the Phillies had ninth-inning leads twice during the homestand that closer Ryan Madson was unable to save. Right there, a 3-5 homestand becomes a 1-8 homestand. Twice more the game was tied in the ninth before they lost in extra innings. In two other games, the Phillies scored at least five runs and lost.

Not to mention that, during times like these, past failures come back to roost. Those six ninth-inning blown saves earlier in the year could have provided a little more cushion for times like these. A 1-8 homestand looks a little better when you come out of it seven or eight games ahead in the division rather than two games.

As much focus is on the struggles of Jimmy Rollins, and the injuries, and the illnesses, the fate of this Phillies team is going to rest on its ability to put together consistent pitching, both in the starting rotation and in the bullpen.

^

Charlie Manuel seems adamant about keeping Jimmy Rollins in the leadoff spot. He was asked yesterday whether the fact that Rollins went 5-or-8 from June 6-9 while hitting sixth was just a coincidence, given the fact that Rollins has managed just seven hits since moving back to the top of the order. Yes, Manuel essentially said, it was.

Paul Hagen takes a look at the situation here. . .

^

Brad Lidge won't be back until Wednesday at the earlier, and might not be ready to join the team until Friday. He is pitching in Clearwater tomorrow and, if necesarry, Thursday.

^

The Red Sox have put struggling starter Daisuke Matsuzaka on the disabled list, which means righthander Brad Penny likely isn't going anywhere anytime soon. Hampering the Phillies' search for a starter is the utter lack of supply right now. . .

 

Posted by David Murphy @ 9:02 AM  Permalink | 9 comments
9
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Posted 09:51 AM, 06/22/2009
scottash
"Cold stretches" are different than the obvious regression of two former MVP's at the plate. Rollins offense is the equivalent of AA ball, at best, and Howard's constant flailing at lefty slop is embarrassing. A competent hitting instructor would have helped him to learn how to handle the offspeed stuff, and punch a few through to the opposite field, forcing teams out of their shift against him. Until somebody fixes these problems, teams will continue to exploit these weaknesses.
Posted 11:18 AM, 06/22/2009
Master Dreamz
Charlie contradicts himself. He asks what Shane's OBP is, making it sound like it is close to Jimmy's, and it isnt. Leading off is supposed to be a combo of speed AND OBP. It sounds like Shane is getting both of those done. I am not even saying to move Jimmy down to 6th -- why not 2nd? There he could make better use of his bunting skills and do more situational hitting. Batting leadoff is giving him to much freedom to swing away, rather than putting the ball in play to move over runners.
Posted 11:49 AM, 06/22/2009
Reggie92
Think back to last year. The Phils were embrassingly bad v the AL. Let's hope they can weather this storm and get their act together.
Posted 02:25 PM, 06/22/2009
RPAC
It wasn't just the pitching. For most of the week, the Phillies hitters had more strikeouts than hits.
Posted 02:53 PM, 06/22/2009
maximusud
Phillies hitters always have more strikeouts than hits. Rollins has never been better than a 6th hitter, except during one or two career years (which were, admittedly, great). I loved Conlin's piece last week on not trading Michael Taylor, but if Taylor plus Rollins nets us a serious #1 starter, I say do it and bring up Jason Donald.
Posted 03:09 PM, 06/22/2009
Tomme
I think Jimmy Rollins should be moved to 10th position in the batting order.
Posted 05:21 PM, 06/22/2009
Heese
@maximusud No starters besides Howard (and possibly Werth) have more Ks than hits. And Donald is hurt, so if Rollins gets dealt, Eric Bruntlett is your starting SS for now.
Posted 09:58 PM, 06/22/2009
ijj
Excellent point about the pitching. It is always the difference maker in the post-season; last year the Phillies outpitched everyone in the playoffs. This year there were a lot of April Phillies games that seemed like football scores, and the pen is pretty tired right now, regardless of the closer problems. Plus, all of the starters seem to have trouble with command of their pitches. Even Hamels is giving up lots of hits per innings pitched, and he's making lots of pitches per start. Fortunately he walks few, or else his stats would look much worse. I think this staff resembles the 07 version, and that was a pretty scary bunch. The hitters will come around, the defense is reliable, but the front office needs to do something with the pitching staff before it completely craters.
About David Murphy
David Murphy joined the Daily News as its Phillies beat writer in February of 2008. Born in Upper Merion and raised in the Poconos, he attended college at La Salle University before taking jobs with the Myrtle Beach (S.C.) Sun-News and the St. Petersburg ( Fla. ) Times.

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