The Phillies are 2.5 games behind the Mets with 35 to play.
Of their next 23 games, 20 are against teams that have winning records.
That doesn't bode well.
High Cheese's crack statistical department crunched some numbers this morning and discovered that the Phillies have the worst record against winning teams among all National League contenders.
Here they are, in order:
Team. . . .Rec. . . .Pct
Cubs. . . .29-21. . .580
Mets. . . .34-25. . .576
Marlins. . 30-30. . .500
Dodgers. . 28-28. . .500
Brewers. . 29-30. . .492
Cardinals. 26-28. . .482
DBacks. . .20-31. . .392
Phillies. .23-36. . .390
In that vein, ESPN's Buster Olney did some research a couple of days ago with attempt of finding which hitters were the most successful against good pitching. Olney's definition of "good" was a starter with an ERA under 3.75 or a reliever with an ERA under 2.75.
He found Ryan Howard hit .217 with six home runs and 20 RBI in 115 at-bats against those pitchers. Find out how he compared to other hitters.
John Smallwood feels like the Phillies' Big Four hold the key to their fate.