Posted: Sunday, November 1, 2009, 1:25 PM | 12 comments |
 

A ray of hope. . .from Las Vegas
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Admit it. Your gut says the Yankees should be overwhelming favorites tonight.

But Las Vegas doesn't necessarily agree. The most recent money line has the Yankees at -170 -- a strong favorite, no doubt, but not as strong as I would have thought. In Game 1, Sabathia was a larger favorite to beat Cliff Lee (-173) than he is in Game 4 to beat Blanton. What does this mean? Maybe nothing. But it does suggest that Vegas is a tad more optimistic about the Phillies' chances than many of the experts. And Vegas tends to be a more accurate barometer than public sentiment.

Just some food for thought.


 
Posted by David Murphy @ 1:25 PM  Permalink | 12 comments
12
Comments   
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 2:43 PM, 11/01/2009
    Just beat this guy, and shut everyone - especially these national nitwits -- the heck up. You'd think we're already packing up the lockers the way everyone has turned on this team in two days. We got the split we wanted in NY, lost one game last night, and are back on the offensive with our best guy in Game 5 if we can rise to the occasion and attack this guy tonight. CC isn't exactly a picture of steely makeup himself, especially against the Phils. Come on, fans - don't let that old, familiar dread creep in and have you sitting and waiting for the other shoe to drop. Bring it, tonight - the boys need you.
    — EaglesWest
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 3:32 PM, 11/01/2009
    Tough one tonight. Very tough matchup. But the biggest thing I'm counting on is that these Phillies do NOT have the same mental makeup as so many of their fretful fans. They are one of the most willful, relentless Philadelphia teams ever (Mike Keenan's Flyers also come to mind). Yes, the Yankees have more talent; a spare $80 million will do that. But if any group of guys can move that rubber tree plant, it's these Phillies.
    — PhilaLogic
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 3:33 PM, 11/01/2009
    Wow, we're really grasping for straws now. Let's just play and see if the Phightins come out fighting tonight. The series will be written tonight.
    — Manor2009
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  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 4:09 PM, 11/01/2009
    I was surprised that the Phillies didn't get more off CC the first time. In a 7 game series with 3 NY starting pitchers I expect the Phillies to win 2 against CC and 1 against the other guys. The only Phillie starter that I am worried about is Hamels, the rest of the guys can keep us in games-- like Pettitte did last night. You are going to give up some runs in a few games, but if you can limit it to 4 or less like he did, you should be able to win some of those games.
    — jtj06
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 4:20 PM, 11/01/2009
    Someone tell Nickawampus that the winning percentage of pitchers named C.C. Sabathia on three days rest is .667
    — David_Murphy
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  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 8:15 PM, 11/01/2009
    Betting odds have a certain factor built in for homefield advantage. That's why the odds are different.
    — JimG
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 2:46 AM, 11/02/2009
    Not food for thought. Just an attempt to convince yourself that your frillies are still in it. But it's true, you're done.
    — 27thHeaven


12 comments
About David Murphy
David Murphy joined the Daily News as its Phillies beat writer in February of 2008. Born in Upper Merion and raised in the Poconos, he attended college at La Salle University before taking jobs with the Myrtle Beach (S.C.) Sun-News and the St. Petersburg ( Fla. ) Times. E-mail Dave at dmurphy@phillynews.com.

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