Posted: Wednesday, January 21, 2009, 10:49 AM | 11 comments |
 
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UPDATED: Jan. 23, 2009, 4:14 p.m. to include new deals for Jayson Werth and Chad Durbin.

Doesn't it seem like just eight years ago that the Phillies had a $42 million payroll that ranked in the bottom 10 in the majors? Wait. . .it was eight years ago. But times have changed. Now, the Phillies could very well find themselves in the Top Five in all of baseball in payroll, according to our projections for 2009.

Based on our calculations, the Phillies payroll could range anywhere from $132 million to $137 million, largely depending on how much they wind up signing Ryan Howard for.

While everyone calculates payroll differently, for comparison's sake, we'll use USA Today's figure from last year, because the newspaper keeps a comprehensive database of all salaries.

Last year, the New York Mets had the second-largest payroll in the game at just under $138 million. The Red Sox had a payroll of $133 million. Now, both those numbers will likely rise. But the Phillies are now in the neighborhood that supposed big boys New York and Boston both inhabited just one year ago.

A few caveats. . .

1) Our projection includes a final installment of $3 million paid to Jim Thome as part of the trade that sent him to the White Sox. When comparing Opening Day payroll, most sources like the USA Today do not include such pay-outs.

2) High Cheese is assuming Adam Eaton is not on the Opening Day roster. Like caveat No. 1, many sources would not factor his salary into "Opening Day Payroll." So if you take Eaton and Thome away, the Phillies' payroll would likely max out somewhere around $125 million.

3) We did not factor in J.C. Romero's suspension, which I project will shave $1 million off their final payroll. Romero's suspension will cost him about $1.24 million in salary, and his replacement likely will only cost the Phillies somewhere around $200,000 (I'm assuming a young player like Kendrick or Andrew Carpenter takes that spot).

So, for accounting purposes, the payroll should be over $130 million. For technical purposes it will likely be under that.

Anyway, here is the forecast:

STARTING PITCHERS (FIVE ROSTER SPOTS, $28.8 MILLION)
Brett Myers, $12 million

Jamie Moyer, $6.5 million

Joe Blanton, $5.475 million

Cole Hamels, $4.35 million

J.A. Happ, $400,000 or Kyle Kendrick, $500,000

RELIEVERS (SEVEN ROSTER SPOTS, $26.285 MILLION)

Brad Lidge, $11.5 million

Ryan Madson, $4 million

J.C. Romero, $4 million

Chan Ho Park, $2.5 million

Scott Eyre, $2 million

Chad Durbin, $1.635

Clay Condrey $650,000

POSITION PLAYERS (EIGHT ROSTER SPOTS, $53.675 - $57.675 MILLION)

1B Ryan Howard, $14 million or $18 million

2B Chase Utley, $11 million

LF Raul Ibanez, $8.5 million (includes $2 million bonus)

SS Jimmy Rollins, $8.5 million (includes $1 million bonus)

3B Pedro Feliz, $5 million

OF Jayson Werth, $3.0 million

OF Shane Victorino, $3.125 million

C Carlos Ruiz, $550,000

RESERVES (FIVE SPOTS, $10.175 MILLION)

OF Geoff Jenkins, $6.75 million

3B Greg Dobbs, $1.15 million

OF Matt Stairs, $1 million

IF Eric Bruntlett, $800,000

C Chris Coste, $475,000

ALSO:

RHP Adam Eaton, $8.5 million

Jim Thome, $3 million

TOTAL ESTIMATED PAYROLL: $130.435 million*

*This number includes estimated raises for players and also factors in a $14 million salary for Ryan Howard.

Posted by David Murphy @ 10:49 AM  Permalink | 11 comments
11
Comments   
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:23 AM, 01/21/2009
    glad we're giving Jenkins 6.5 million....spare!
    ematusko
  • Comment removed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 11:57 AM, 01/21/2009
    Are you forgeting the new catcher ?
    freyday17
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:17 PM, 01/21/2009
    I am glad that we are paying Eaton to sit around and eat. Probably the worse signing in the last 20 years.
    thesoothseer
  • Comment removed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 12:25 PM, 01/21/2009
    An estimated payroll of over $130M is very good. I guess that puts us in the top 5 or 6 in the league?
    GHOSTPHAYCE
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:11 PM, 01/21/2009
    The the Tom Gordon, Adam Eaton, and Geoff Jenkins signings were just awful moves by Gillick. At least Gordon is off the books now, and Eaton will be after this season.
    Jeff Dowder
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 1:20 PM, 01/21/2009
    JRoll is still the best bargain in baseball.Also, just give Howard a long term deal already. He's costing more money in arbitration than just giving him a long term deal.
    Kevie Kev
  • Comment removed.
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 4:28 PM, 01/21/2009
    They should make Eaton be the Phanatic on days when it nears 100'. Give those other bargain mascot men a break.
    JayB
  • 0 like this / 0 don't   •   Posted 2:23 PM, 08/02/2009
    An estimated payroll of over $130M is pretty crazy I am amazed I would of thought it was going to me more interesting but what about Kanban is this going to effect there long term money deal in the league?
    creativesafetysupply


11 comments
About David Murphy
David Murphy joined the Daily News as its Phillies beat writer in February of 2008. Born in Upper Merion and raised in the Poconos, he attended college at La Salle University before taking jobs with the Myrtle Beach (S.C.) Sun-News and the St. Petersburg ( Fla. ) Times. E-mail Dave at dmurphy@phillynews.com.

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