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Roster-ology 1.0: Projecting your 2013 Phillies

Here's our first stab at projecting what the Phillies' Opening Day roster will look like.

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Roster-ology 1.0: Projecting your 2013 Phillies

POSTED: Monday, February 18, 2013, 9:25 AM

David Murphy, Daily News Staff Writer

It is Day 6 of spring training, when, for the first time, hitters will face pitchers in live batting practice sessions. The exercise sounds a lot cooler on paper than in practice. Many of the hitters will not swing the bat, instead using the session to stand in the box and get acclimated to recognizing and timing pitches. The younger guys tend to be less patient.

Throughout the spring, we'll take a stab at projecting what the 25-man Opening Day roster will look like. What follows is our first attempt.

STARTING LINEUP

Jimmy Rollins SS (ODDS OF MAKING ROSTER/DL: 100 percent)
Michael Young 3B (100 percent)
Chase Utley 2B (100 percent)
Ryan Howard 1B (100 percent)
Darin Ruf LF (60 percent)
Domonic Brown RF (65 percent)
Erik Kratz C (95 percent)
Ben Revere CF (100 percent)

STARTING ROTATION

Cole Hamels LHP (100 percent)
Roy Halladay RHP (100 percent)
Cliff Lee LHP (100 percent)
Kyle Kendrick RHP (100 percent)
John Lannan LHP (95 percent)

BULLPEN

Jonathan Papelbon RHP/CL (100 percent)
Mike Adams RHP/SU (100 percent)
Antonio Bastardo LHP/SU (98 percent)
Chad Durbin RHP/MID (100 percent)
Jeremy Horst LHP/MID (75 percent)
Justin De Fratus RHP/MID (50 percent)
Raul Valdes LHP/MID (50 percent)

BENCH

Laynce Nix OF-1B/LHB (95 percent)
Kevin Frandsen 3B-2B/RHB (95 percent)
Humberto Quintero C/RHB (50 percent)
Freddy Galvis SS-2B-3B/SHB (70 percent)
John Mayberry Jr. OF-1B/RHB (80 percent)

DISABLED LIST

Delmon Young - OF/RHB (100 percent)

BREAKDOWN: The Phillies sound as if they expect Delmon Young to begin the season on the disabled list, which takes some drama out of an intense outfield battle. . .Mayberry seems likely to make the team as he is out of options and is one of the few members of the organization who has major league experience in center field, although Laynce Nix has played the position and Rule 5 pick Ender Inciarte will look to make the Phillies make a difficult decision on Mayberry. . .Young starting the season on the DL would leave the last few spots in the bullpen as the tightest roster battle. Mike Stutes, Jake Diekman and Phillippe Aumont would be the last three players off the roster in this scenario.

50 comments

Comments (50)

0 like this / 0 don't • Posted 11:03 PM, 02/18/2013

I don't think Nix or Valdes makes this team. Youcan get same or better production from younger guys. I am a big Ruf fan but, i think he is more likely to hit .220-.230 than the numbers he has shown in the minors. He wasn't even considered a prospect before this year. The scouts aren't always right but, they have a better chance of projecting a player than i do and most say he will struggle. I hope Dom Brown and Ruf get the chance to play everyday so we can see what they can do. Without solid production for these guys it will be a long year so we should at least find out if either one can play.

— phillies09

0 like this / 0 don't • Posted 11:55 PM, 02/18/2013

can't wait first spring training game is next week......baseball is back

— bigpaulie

0 like this / 0 don't • Posted 8:21 AM, 02/20/2013

I don't understand why all the nay sayers are upset with Rollins leading off. In the average game according to figures, the lead off man only leads of approximately 1.79 times. Be that as it may. What is missing is the big picture, the 4 hole hitter. If Howard hasn't improved his batting average, strikeouts, or his foot speed, leading off becomes a moot point.
Too much emphasis is placed on what Howard should do, and not enough on what he could do. If he becomes a force to be reckoned with, the Phillies will be a contender. If he remains a poke and hope hitter,
third place is realistic.

— phineas

0 like this / 0 don't • Posted 2:20 PM, 02/21/2013

I like it that Ruf and Brown will get a chance to prove their value and when Delmon Young and Chooch return, they will also have a much stronger bench no matter who gets the starting jobs in the outfiend.

— gotedge