Tuesday, December 1, 2015

NFL Playoff picture: Eagles odds at making postseason

How many wins will it take for the Eagles to make the playoffs?

NFL Playoff picture: Eagles odds at making postseason

Eagles running back LeSean McCoy. (Tom Lynn/AP)
Eagles running back LeSean McCoy. (Tom Lynn/AP)

Every team in the NFL will, if they haven't already, reach double digits in games played this week. So it's a good time to take a look at the playoff picture and what the Eagles will need to do to secure a spot in the league's 12-team tournament for the Lombardi Trophy.

Luckily, the folks over at www.makeNFLplayoffs.com have crunched the numbers and broke down what to expect as the season winds down.

According to the data, the Eagles will need to win at least two games to have even have a chance to make the playoffs. Here are the odds broken down by Eagles' record in the final six games (In an ode to Donovan McNabb, the possibility of a tie was eliminated.):

W L % to make playoffs
6 0 100
5 1 99.9
4 2 86.4
3 3 26.7
2 4 21.5
1 5 0
0 6 0

With the NFC East's woes this season, the Eagles have a better chance at making the postseason as the NFC East champion (33.6%) than as a Wild Card (6.4%):

NFC East W L % to win NFC East % to earn playoff berth
*Cowboys 5 5 50.9 53.4
Eagles 5 5 33.6 40.0
**Giants 3 6 8.6 9.4
Redskins 3 6 7.3 8.2
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*The Cowboys hold the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Eagles.

**The Giants hold record-in-division-games tiebreaker over the Redskins.

Finally, the odds give a clue on what to expect the Eagles to be facing on Wild Card weekend:

First round opponent % of facing opponent
No playoffs 60.0
49ers 8.4
Panthers 6.0
Saints 4.2
First round bye 3.9
Cardinals 3.8
Lions 3.5
Cowboys 2.6
Bears 2.0
Seahawks 2.0
Packers 2.0
Rams 0.6
Giants 0.1
Redskins <0.1
Falcons <0.1
Buccaneers <0.1

As the saying goes, the games aren't played on paper. Will the Eagles turn the odds in their favor? We'll find out in the upcoming weeks.

In the meantime, check out www.makenflplayoffs.com to see the odds for yourself.

Sports Producer
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