That new Quinnipiac poll showing Republican Chris Christie leading Gov. Corzine caught the eye of Washington Post political blogger Chris Cillizza, who writes today that the governor is likely in for a difficult race, despite New Jersey's history of strongly supporting Democrats.
Here's Cillizza's analysis:
"Corzine has had a steady run of negative job approval numbers; his résumé as a former senior executive at Goldman Sachs, once considered one of his strongest assets, is now seen as a burden with the struggles of New York's financial sector bleeding into New Jersey (the state's unemployment rate hit a 15-year high in December); and in Christie, a former U.S. Attorney, Republicans finally may have found the quality candidate they have long been searching for."
Cillizza does note several factors in Corzine's favor, however. For one, he's sure to outspend any opponent. Second, New Jersey voters tend to decide late in elections and generally swing Democratic. Lastly, Christie has yet to fully define himself and Democrats will try at every turn to link him to President Bush. (He raised money for Bush and was appointed by him).
Cillizza concludes that it's possible, though not probable, that Corzine could lose, but says the governor faces a stiff test.
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