Now, the breakdown on the line and over/under:
Q: What's the line for Saturday night's game?
A: We opened the spread for Saturday’s rematch at Eagles +3.5. But due to heavy Dallas wagering, the spread moved to +4 just an hour after it opened.
That being said, the action is evening out quite a bit. When I checked our betting trends page yesterday, 82 percent of the bettors were on Dallas. This morning, that number dipped to 72 percent. Right now, it's down to 57 percent.
When this number came out, a few folks asked me why it was so low, considering the result of last Sunday's game. I responded that this number is exactly where it should be.
Square bettors often put way too much value on a team's most recent performance. When you look at what the Eagles did the previous six weeks, it's easy to see why the number is what it is.
I was curious about what's happened in the past when teams met in the last week of the regular season and then had a rematch the following week in the playoffs. The last eight times this happened, the team that lost the last regular season game (Eagles) was 4-4 straight up and 4-3-1 against the spread in their playoff rematch.
This number could creep a little higher, but I wouldn’t count on it. And I doubt very much that it reverts back to 3.5 unless a lot more action comes in on Philly.